TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Rome: Francesca Jones vs Lucia Bronzetti

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Francesca Jonesof Francesca Jones, Lucia Bronzetti
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$138,854
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$157,676

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,854 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Lucia Bronzetti17c24,821$4,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,304.8911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Francesca Jones62c8,155$5,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,098.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+43.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Lucia Bronzetti39c3,388$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,325.674,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Lucia Bronzetti11c3,016$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.64,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lucia Bronzetti24c2,584$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.728,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Francesca Jones71c2,546$1,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.813,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x707b…69f2backed Lucia Bronzetti44c2,273$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00031146%143 W · 168 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Francesca Jones56c2,100$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.9928850.3%145 W · 143 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Francesca Jones56c1,698$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7403,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Francesca Jones56c1,585$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.512,37551.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L+8.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde0f…ddd3backed Lucia Bronzetti26c1,519$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010437.5%39 W · 65 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c00…d030backed Francesca Jones60c1,500$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6006651.5%34 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Lucia Bronzetti44c1,364$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60036545.2%165 W · 200 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Lucia Bronzetti23c1,304$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,68150%841 W · 840 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd050…c915backed Lucia Bronzetti33c1,273$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42020846.2%96 W · 112 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8546…35b8backed Lucia Bronzetti40c1,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020860.6%126 W · 82 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67ff…3214backed Lucia Bronzetti9c1,212$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.0538422.4%86 W · 298 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Lucia Bronzetti44c1,168$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.12,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Lucia Bronzetti23c1,052$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2421,42848.2%689 W · 739 L+4.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1083…42f1backed Lucia Bronzetti11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Lucia Bronzetti7c872.25$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0546435.3%164 W · 300 L-19.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Lucia Bronzetti33c831.46$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2781,02341.3%422 W · 601 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Lucia Bronzetti33c813.32$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.1135932.6%117 W · 242 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Lucia Bronzetti43c697.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Lucia Bronzetti6c695.76$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.45,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d74…f2abbacked Lucia Bronzetti17c650.31$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.543334.9%151 W · 282 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bae…e6c5backed Lucia Bronzetti16c630.87$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.5417818%32 W · 146 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-39.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Lucia Bronzetti42c580$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.71,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88da…e801backed Lucia Bronzetti30c542.12$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16012143%52 W · 69 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Lucia Bronzetti42c510$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.29,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16a3…74f8backed Lucia Bronzetti40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3f9…45a7backed Francesca Jones62c434.84$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.8438066.3%252 W · 128 L-0.7wins0.00per pick67cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb84a…e02fbacked Francesca Jones55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.641747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab70…774cbacked Francesca Jones61c322.96$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.116957.4%97 W · 72 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Lucia Bronzetti42c271.43$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1142,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b4…d723backed Lucia Bronzetti38c250.26$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.119146.6%89 W · 102 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Lucia Bronzetti41c224.39$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9296035.4%340 W · 620 L-40.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dae…125cbacked Lucia Bronzetti23c220$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.622346.6%104 W · 119 L+15.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Francesca Jones64c219.51$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9427554.9%151 W · 124 L+18.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Lucia Bronzetti32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x807f…9615backed Lucia Bronzetti40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8015349.7%76 W · 77 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Lucia Bronzetti28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Lucia Bronzetti13c187.23$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.242,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x065c…47debacked Lucia Bronzetti39c181.98$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9713850.7%70 W · 68 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Lucia Bronzetti22c181.34$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.741,42944.2%631 W · 798 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d0a…ea32backed Lucia Bronzetti13c151.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9843618.3%80 W · 356 L-21.4wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x12b8…ff48backed Francesca Jones69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9310955%60 W · 49 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa182…3106backed Francesca Jones76c139.47$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4760962.7%382 W · 227 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0373…3e8cbacked Lucia Bronzetti15c130.29$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1630246.7%141 W · 161 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Lucia Bronzetti15c129.73$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.936,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Lucia Bronzetti42c126.19$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe10f…e8bbbacked Francesca Jones80c125.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4418572.4%134 W · 51 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x715d…a4babacked Lucia Bronzetti42c125$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.534047.6%162 W · 178 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Lucia Bronzetti42c121.43$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56f1…e83ebacked Francesca Jones61c120.06$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4226253.8%141 W · 121 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Lucia Bronzetti42c107.14$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451,35638.3%520 W · 836 L+2.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Lucia Bronzetti42c102.38$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebde…1de0backed Lucia Bronzetti13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1389134.3%306 W · 585 L-40.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9527…f108backed Francesca Jones78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2252739.3%207 W · 320 L+37.6wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-7.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Francesca Jones77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.91,70844.8%766 W · 942 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4224…31fbbacked Lucia Bronzetti28c96.52$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2722138.9%86 W · 135 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Lucia Bronzetti18c94.29$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7899244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee4f…daa3backed Lucia Bronzetti15c93.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1420332.5%66 W · 137 L-12.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Francesca Jones62c81.3$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.324159.3%143 W · 98 L-0.7wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e0b…1435backed Lucia Bronzetti35c81.05$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6439035.9%140 W · 250 L-61.1wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-43.1%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Lucia Bronzetti38c75.42$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.661,06231.8%338 W · 724 L-27.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd6f…e043backed Francesca Jones61c68.27$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.438042.5%34 W · 46 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Francesca Jones57c67$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.812,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0677…2a28backed Lucia Bronzetti44c65.91$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2910135.6%36 W · 65 L-11.3wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-31%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7629…226cbacked Francesca Jones80c62.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.623581.7%192 W · 43 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick80cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fd9…039bbacked Lucia Bronzetti42c59.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,00838.3%386 W · 622 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Lucia Bronzetti20c58.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.391,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf753…bcfebacked Lucia Bronzetti39c50.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2053736.9%198 W · 339 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6796…453fbacked Lucia Bronzetti34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.194447.7%450 W · 494 L+34.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c22…0a8cbacked Lucia Bronzetti36c49.58$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6846440.5%188 W · 276 L-36.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Lucia Bronzetti43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf768…7831backed Francesca Jones80c37.4$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6678957.8%456 W · 333 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Lucia Bronzetti40c36.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.511,10256.5%623 W · 479 L+52.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe99…506bbacked Francesca Jones57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0967852.1%353 W · 325 L-2.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Francesca Jones56c34.42$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.151,62449.8%809 W · 815 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e4b…0a04backed Francesca Jones80c31$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.225259.9%151 W · 101 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Lucia Bronzetti39c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.831,62949%798 W · 831 L-51.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15cf…4d9bbacked Lucia Bronzetti44c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.257449.1%282 W · 292 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c75…fd50backed Francesca Jones78c28.87$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4616467.1%110 W · 54 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8d…d241backed Lucia Bronzetti36c28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ea0…86b1backed Lucia Bronzetti38c28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.683458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe246…dedcbacked Francesca Jones62c27.23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3530055.7%167 W · 133 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcd6…f3c8backed Lucia Bronzetti44c23.83$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4947251.3%242 W · 230 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Francesca Jones76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.782,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71f6…3b16backed Francesca Jones57c19.3$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.35349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9808…6c1abacked Francesca Jones79c13.92$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.925062%31 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d70…f555backed Francesca Jones80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.53066.7%20 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick77cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.