TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x88da…e801

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
134
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 52 out of 100; worst Lol at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT11843.2%51 W · 67 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 118 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roehampton 2: George Loffhagen vs Alastair Graybacked Alastair Gray · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Roehampton 2: Alec Deckers vs Luca Potenzabacked Alec Deckers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$31.2
Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Donna Vekicbacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+145.7%+$21.86
Winston-Salem Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Francisco Comesanabacked Francisco Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
US Open, Qualification WTA: Erika Andreeva vs Mariam Bolkvadzebacked Erika Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
US Open, Qualification WTA: Rebecca Marino vs Fiona Ferrobacked Fiona Ferro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Roehampton 2: Alexis Gautier vs Alec Deckersbacked Alec Deckers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10
Augsburg: Federico Iannaccone vs Oleksii Krutykhbacked Oleksii Krutykh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.95
Augsburg: Denis Yevseyev vs Svyatoslav Gulinbacked Svyatoslav Gulin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$18.85
Monterrey Open: Mayar Sherif vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Abedallah Shelbayh vs Dhakshineswar Sureshbacked Abedallah Shelbayh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Felix Balshaw vs Sebastian Gorznybacked Felix Balshaw · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$46.92
Augsburg: Mika Petkovic vs Federico Iannacconebacked Mika Petkovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.9
Augsburg: Maximilian Marterer vs Benjamin Hassanbacked Benjamin Hassan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
Augsburg: Matthew William Donald vs Giorgio Tabaccobacked Matthew William Donald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+70.3%+$42.17
Augsburg: Georgii Kravchenko vs Dominik Recekbacked Georgii Kravchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Roehampton 2: Alex Rybakov vs Oliver Bondingbacked Oliver Bonding · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$29.48
Augsburg: Kai Wehnelt vs Daniel Siniakovbacked Daniel Siniakov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoebacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatekbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+141.4%+$84.84
Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Abedallah Shelbayh vs Ryan Seggermanbacked Ryan Seggerman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.6
Quebec City: Hugo Gaston vs Luca Van Asschebacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Felix Balshaw vs Luca Powbacked Felix Balshaw · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Prague 2: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Jan Kumstatbacked Jan Kumstat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32.94
Sion: Benjamin Hassan vs Dominic Stephan Strickerbacked Dominic Stephan Stricker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$25.57
Showing 25 of 118 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+49.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+400%+$400
Spain to score first vs. Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$54.07
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+278.8%+$55.76
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-68.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.