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Tennis · resolved market

Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoe

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Frances Tiafoeof Brandon Nakashima, Frances Tiafoe
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,089,397
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,126,965

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,089,397 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 501 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb85…152fbacked Frances Tiafoe50c99,279$50,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,278.9318545.4%84 W · 101 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Brandon Nakashima40c90,710$35,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,926.981,25046.2%578 W · 672 L-1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7523…4c4cbacked Frances Tiafoe48c50,000$24,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,999.917545.3%34 W · 41 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8bfe…2d74backed Brandon Nakashima58c37,536$21,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,771.158766.7%58 W · 29 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Frances Tiafoe54c35,300$19,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,224.461,44742.8%620 W · 827 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Brandon Nakashima51c33,000$16,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,829.89837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-49.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca64…4f43backed Frances Tiafoe49c30,843$15,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,729.866552.3%34 W · 31 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-0.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Frances Tiafoe48c30,000$14,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,60011941.2%49 W · 70 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x457f…aa1abacked Brandon Nakashima24c30,000$7,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,299.971145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8718…5040backed Frances Tiafoe67c29,851$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,850.7514565.5%95 W · 50 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick66cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed Frances Tiafoe49c26,342$13,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,342.1335957.1%205 W · 154 L+1.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5901…63a2backed Frances Tiafoe49c22,448$10,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,448.311051.8%57 W · 53 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Brandon Nakashima51c22,222$11,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,333.278047.2%368 W · 412 L+2.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf377…4159backed Brandon Nakashima52c20,000$10,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,40018148.1%87 W · 94 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Frances Tiafoe48c20,000$9,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,399.9318450.5%93 W · 91 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e60…3badbacked Brandon Nakashima47c19,796$9,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,395.838743.7%38 W · 49 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick37cpaid0%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Frances Tiafoe74c18,996$14,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,851.144,30545%1,939 W · 2,366 L+20.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd607…842abacked Brandon Nakashima52c18,846$9,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,8006553.8%35 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked Brandon Nakashima52c17,692$9,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,199.9928651.4%147 W · 139 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Frances Tiafoe49c17,143$8,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,742.8676939.8%306 W · 463 L-2.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6340…e272backed Brandon Nakashima50c15,777$7,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,966.2717849.4%88 W · 90 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3a1…bf4bbacked Frances Tiafoe44c15,588$6,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,729.3212846.1%59 W · 69 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Brandon Nakashima59c13,678$8,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,069.9737144.5%165 W · 206 L-22.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Brandon Nakashima50c13,555$6,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,777.516165.2%105 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c03…31bbbacked Brandon Nakashima50c11,800$5,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,899.9910064%64 W · 36 L+12.9wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x072c…f037backed Brandon Nakashima56c10,721$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,000742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9c4…7433backed Brandon Nakashima50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00021642.6%92 W · 124 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe390…e80fbacked Brandon Nakashima51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,100425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Brandon Nakashima34c10,000$3,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,441.6614743.5%64 W · 83 L-14.7wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-31.3%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Brandon Nakashima52c9,591$4,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,987.5560753.7%326 W · 281 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Brandon Nakashima40c9,261$3,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,724.329,26736.2%3,352 W · 5,915 L-199.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3622…3facbacked Brandon Nakashima53c9,205$4,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,863.589766%64 W · 33 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce36…2b99backed Frances Tiafoe44c8,433$3,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,698.026719.4%13 W · 54 L-6.5wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-43.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Frances Tiafoe61c8,277$5,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,209.547337%27 W · 46 L-6.5wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x98fe…ffa7backed Brandon Nakashima35c8,007$2,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,802.4710449%51 W · 53 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Brandon Nakashima51c8,000$4,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,06028342%119 W · 164 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Frances Tiafoe57c7,536$4,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,211.8411,87743.3%5,143 W · 6,734 L+19.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Brandon Nakashima8c7,282$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.81,2107.9%96 W · 1,114 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+79.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Brandon Nakashima43c6,916$2,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,989.393,77642.6%1,608 W · 2,168 L-44.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Frances Tiafoe48c6,900$3,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,587.9922143.9%97 W · 124 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Frances Tiafoe48c6,250$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,249.9737338.6%144 W · 229 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Brandon Nakashima52c6,000$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,12068249.6%338 W · 344 L-12.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Frances Tiafoe48c5,660$2,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,942.982,58138.7%999 W · 1,582 L+100.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Frances Tiafoe55c5,590$3,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,537.718,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f3c…2f57backed Frances Tiafoe49c5,116$2,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,609.1330940.5%125 W · 184 L-24.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc408…7f32backed Frances Tiafoe56c5,065$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,215.064746.8%22 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Frances Tiafoe48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,60074353%394 W · 349 L+37.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5455…8b2abacked Brandon Nakashima53c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,65013239.4%52 W · 80 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd422…7e43backed Frances Tiafoe70c4,580$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.832661.5%16 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Brandon Nakashima50c4,444$2,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,22217845.5%81 W · 97 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd395…a793backed Brandon Nakashima51c4,200$2,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1422339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Brandon Nakashima48c4,159$1,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9911,13642.9%487 W · 649 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab9d…cf12backed Frances Tiafoe73c4,110$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.663262.5%20 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Brandon Nakashima50c3,958$1,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,965.632,25537.1%836 W · 1,419 L+43.1wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Frances Tiafoe57c3,534$2,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,509.795,48656.3%3,088 W · 2,398 L+232.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Brandon Nakashima26c3,478$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.61,03450.2%519 W · 515 L+12.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec37…85bdbacked Brandon Nakashima36c3,475$1,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,255.123751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf12f…b30fbacked Brandon Nakashima52c3,365$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,75074840.9%306 W · 442 L+3.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Frances Tiafoe78c3,253$2,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.1945948.8%224 W · 235 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdc3…c0eabacked Frances Tiafoe77c3,035$2,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.0313464.2%86 W · 48 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xafe6…8192backed Frances Tiafoe49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,53025940.9%106 W · 153 L+12.8wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Brandon Nakashima35c3,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0501,45428.5%414 W · 1,040 L+2.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Brandon Nakashima9c2,943$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.219897.9%78 W · 911 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-27.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x634a…dddfbacked Brandon Nakashima40c2,826$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,13033348%160 W · 173 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Frances Tiafoe49c2,565$1,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,308.1539235.5%139 W · 253 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e47…5c64backed Brandon Nakashima51c2,500$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2751457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Frances Tiafoe48c2,500$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.9938738.5%149 W · 238 L+16.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x68b6…99b4backed Brandon Nakashima23c2,446$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.5715852.5%83 W · 75 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Frances Tiafoe57c2,443$1,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.843,23857.3%1,854 W · 1,384 L+179.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x99fb…acbabacked Frances Tiafoe77c2,441$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.4726165.1%170 W · 91 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4ef…82b8backed Brandon Nakashima40c2,400$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9605451.9%28 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid+5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Frances Tiafoe72c2,173$1,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.131,81546.5%844 W · 971 L-6.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb00c…dfa2backed Frances Tiafoe49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.8210951.4%56 W · 53 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c70…caf0backed Frances Tiafoe49c2,022$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.910770.1%75 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Brandon Nakashima51c2,021$1,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.742,54551.2%1,303 W · 1,242 L+14.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59ab…f844backed Brandon Nakashima52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0401338.5%5 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77d5…732ebacked Brandon Nakashima51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02037153.6%199 W · 172 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Brandon Nakashima36c1,971$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.3815253.3%81 W · 71 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xacf8…e791backed Brandon Nakashima52c1,959$1,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.4934737.8%131 W · 216 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ebb…cb1abacked Frances Tiafoe53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.7931955.8%178 W · 141 L-1.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9217…ce22backed Frances Tiafoe49c1,878$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.685050%25 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6170…f3fdbacked Frances Tiafoe49c1,837$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.7329362.8%184 W · 109 L+19.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x60ef…abd6backed Brandon Nakashima52c1,827$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9502420.8%5 W · 19 L-4.4wins-0.18per pick39cpaid-51.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9deb…536fbacked Frances Tiafoe49c1,796$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.8514756.5%83 W · 64 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a95…3a16backed Frances Tiafoe56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.717467.6%50 W · 24 L+8.8wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+15.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Frances Tiafoe49c1,781$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.2456241.5%233 W · 329 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x66b2…0fdfbacked Frances Tiafoe48c1,726$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.35056%28 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Brandon Nakashima58c1,724$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00044263.6%281 W · 161 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f2e…9d0bbacked Frances Tiafoe60c1,675$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.672277.3%17 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Frances Tiafoe51c1,642$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.256,70050.8%3,401 W · 3,299 L+267.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Frances Tiafoe48c1,600$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8326735.8%24 W · 43 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-28.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x28e0…2e6bbacked Brandon Nakashima46c1,600$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.9953344.1%235 W · 298 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x022c…5ef0backed Brandon Nakashima38c1,576$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b14…3ca3backed Frances Tiafoe49c1,566$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.2250746.7%237 W · 270 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Brandon Nakashima8c1,500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12011746.2%54 W · 63 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed Frances Tiafoe48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.99933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-36.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x70fb…946bbacked Brandon Nakashima52c1,484$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.877342.5%31 W · 42 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Frances Tiafoe48c1,458$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.167,79147.8%3,722 W · 4,069 L+39.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2bb…3250backed Brandon Nakashima36c1,389$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50025052%130 W · 120 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9767…1a16backed Frances Tiafoe77c1,371$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.3236150.4%182 W · 179 L+14.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.