TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,012,649
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,970,263

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,012,649 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,587 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x53be…456abacked Yes31c1,388,080$430,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430,304.66650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked No69c969,503$668,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300,741.1133538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No56c433,984$243,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190,461.974752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No51c298,634$152,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146,243.071,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5c2…2ab0backed Yes77c176,765$136,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136,382.46812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.37per pick50cpaid-79.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked No69c100,000$69,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,0003046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked No69c97,507$66,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,712.1638734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8024…5de2backed Yes0c91,467$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503312.1%4 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-55.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked No14c81,111$11,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69,475.5149441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes36c81,024$29,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,318.98,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes58c69,758$40,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,459.3942541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1b2…40cabacked Yes30c68,506$20,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,551.911216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+35.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No69c68,387$47,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,199.881,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2c1…4cf3backed Yes31c64,516$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,0002740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf751…fec8backed Yes31c61,800$19,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,1589747.4%46 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes31c52,949$16,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,394.862,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed No69c48,750$33,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,112.59247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed No69c42,479$29,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,168.499345.2%42 W · 51 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Yes1c42,426$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.2628229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x875b…0878backed Yes40c35,617$14,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,220.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No69c35,093$24,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,769.1129952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9912…5d4abacked Yes43c35,008$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,0003063.3%19 W · 11 L+6.0wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+22.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Yes32c29,975$9,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,591.954235.7%15 W · 27 L-5.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-24.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No37c25,861$9,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,377.323,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fad…668dbacked Yes59c25,424$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,000850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No69c25,073$17,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,772.641,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e4…07b1backed Yes57c22,649$13,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,00018343.7%80 W · 103 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes61c20,929$12,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,750.3179231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No70c19,998$14,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,949.437269.4%50 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No24c19,882$4,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,182.756541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfed7…b06abacked Yes40c18,722$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,5005320.8%11 W · 42 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes9c18,009$1,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,676.6236939.6%146 W · 223 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Yes62c17,100$10,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,598.9538333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes60c15,663$9,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,414.294,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8de…3111backed Yes0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159515.8%15 W · 80 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-52.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x514b…5fa9backed No58c14,335$8,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,020.887538.7%29 W · 46 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes61c14,299$8,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,694.7421141.7%88 W · 123 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No49c14,210$6,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,234.812,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No49c14,056$6,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,133.0442043.1%181 W · 239 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No69c13,676$9,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,289.182,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No69c13,552$9,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,201.123,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed No13c13,237$1,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,543.3824441.8%102 W · 142 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb00a…77f1backed Yes30c13,044$3,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,913.321136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-44.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1fd…948ebacked Yes0c13,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517416.1%28 W · 146 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-37.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7a4…e371backed Yes30c13,000$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9004235.7%15 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No69c12,500$8,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,87574447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x203d…2b2cbacked Yes31c12,494$3,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,873.036526.2%17 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-34.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec23…24fdbacked Yes36c11,431$4,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,090.82751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+27.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked No16c10,759$1,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,085.3523540.4%95 W · 140 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee17…6ea1backed Yes29c10,345$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0003622.2%8 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes37c10,000$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,70017842.7%76 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb05d…dcdcbacked Yes1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005612.5%7 W · 49 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70ef…e6ddbacked Yes45c10,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,499.9910840.7%44 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Yes45c10,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,499.9721937%81 W · 138 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Yes45c9,555$4,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,339.1225844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Yes32c9,375$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00013544.4%60 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No53c9,232$4,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,326.1733337.8%126 W · 207 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes30c9,227$2,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,768.11,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No23c8,894$2,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,853.6445039.6%178 W · 272 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfeee…20fbbacked Yes52c8,674$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5002445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2458…df0ebacked Yes74c8,416$6,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,233.048425%21 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf393…9b65backed Yes49c8,300$4,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,071.9210624.5%26 W · 80 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4550…f741backed Yes31c7,419$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3003125.8%8 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a2a…1fcabacked No70c7,146$5,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,143.798048.8%39 W · 41 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No67c6,860$4,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,263.9231945.1%144 W · 175 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf59c…a682backed Yes60c6,667$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0007636.8%28 W · 48 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes31c6,452$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00048526.8%130 W · 355 L+0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Yes4c6,437$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.8921314.1%30 W · 183 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+135.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No67c6,213$4,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,056.462,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No65c6,135$3,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,174.2331945.5%145 W · 174 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No70c6,000$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,80022451.3%115 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Yes31c6,000$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8607035.7%25 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x225b…9a83backed No35c5,988$2,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,890.9229333.8%99 W · 194 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No69c5,972$4,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,833.642,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Yes1c5,500$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7034731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb014…4969backed Yes0c5,189$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513953.2%74 W · 65 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed No69c5,000$3,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5506842.6%29 W · 39 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x209b…5706backed Yes41c5,000$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0508845.5%40 W · 48 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafe8…42ccbacked Yes30c5,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50035621.9%78 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb750…c6ebbacked Yes6c5,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001384.6%11 W · 2 L+8.5wins+0.65per pick20cpaid+308.8%equal weight75+0.22 edge/pick
0x87ec…138fbacked No41c4,981$2,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,949.9518851.1%96 W · 92 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked No17c4,900$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,06714250%71 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a98…1b92backed No63c4,819$3,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,786.8211249.1%55 W · 57 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No59c4,808$2,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,955.882,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes71c4,676$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,30045428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No71c4,223$2,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.7226454.5%144 W · 120 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5b57…1f2ebacked Yes45c4,200$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8902552%13 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae97…3edcbacked Yes37c4,151$1,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,535.73253.1%17 W · 15 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+24.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d16…f032backed Yes33c4,130$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.895639.3%22 W · 34 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a57…d10fbacked Yes6c4,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2403619.4%7 W · 29 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick9cpaid+506.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2106…4deabacked No71c4,000$2,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.9818843.6%82 W · 106 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20cc…8ffebacked Yes58c3,952$2,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,290.59944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Yes10c3,945$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.0716325.8%42 W · 121 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-36.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d9f…ff8ebacked Yes77c3,896$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1685…6de4backed Yes65c3,846$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50027239%106 W · 166 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde7c…c933backed Yes64c3,800$2,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4325234.6%18 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Yes1c3,750$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019218.8%36 W · 156 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No71c3,697$2,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,072.131,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Yes14c3,641$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.0858642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78cd…6a61backed No70c3,581$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0813171%22 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+1.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.