TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,714,081
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,508,867

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,714,081 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,646 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf031…c80cbacked No70c1,072,146$750,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321,622.4233538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Yes30c680,000$204,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204,00022348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes30c327,282$97,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97,903.582,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed No70c220,766$154,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,229.7116546.1%76 W · 89 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No70c212,033$148,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63,230.7677152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes23c125,217$29,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,195.428332.5%27 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No75c122,622$91,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,903.8274752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes21c101,124$21,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,201.778,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9243…658ebacked Yes29c100,000$29,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,999.9115249.3%75 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes29c90,000$26,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,099.862313%3 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick13cpaid-52.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes21c76,603$16,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,086.6342541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No75c73,686$55,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,453.462,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Yes30c66,667$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00017840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14b9…f378backed Yes29c57,585$16,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,699.656929%20 W · 49 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21b7…8daebacked No71c53,272$37,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,352.251770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4718…e2e8backed Yes32c51,307$16,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,6654829.2%14 W · 34 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No71c45,860$32,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,168.791,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa79e…1fb0backed No72c40,527$29,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,347.511877.8%14 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+26.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Yes22c37,288$8,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,249.3324441.8%102 W · 142 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes21c31,051$6,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,436.874,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2c1…4cf3backed Yes30c28,381$8,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,514.342740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No70c27,693$19,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,256.9429952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Yes29c26,473$7,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,677.263943.6%17 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Yes29c26,000$7,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,539.988135.8%29 W · 52 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+33.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7bc1…8db4backed Yes33c25,714$8,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,4902714.8%4 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-73.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d16…f032backed Yes31c21,307$6,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,549.435639.3%22 W · 34 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Yes29c17,994$5,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,218.2721836.2%79 W · 139 L-19.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Yes30c16,667$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00010457.7%60 W · 44 L+10.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes30c13,501$4,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,036.1879231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed Yes36c13,000$4,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,68040%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ad4…6866backed Yes30c12,300$3,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6908435.7%30 W · 54 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No68c12,025$8,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,794.5136939.6%146 W · 223 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No71c12,000$8,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,48036250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Yes32c11,598$3,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,68214231.7%45 W · 97 L-13.4wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No68c11,580$7,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,691.4831945.1%144 W · 175 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6e4…07b1backed Yes35c11,320$3,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,936.5118343.7%80 W · 103 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No74c11,116$8,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,888.442043.1%181 W · 239 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked No73c10,988$8,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,973.3323540.4%95 W · 140 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16d3…7c23backed No70c10,854$7,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,256.172653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-13.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x97cf…237abacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb767…d848backed Yes30c10,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0009653.1%51 W · 45 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes30c10,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00032429.9%97 W · 227 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Yes29c10,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,90013533.3%45 W · 90 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed No70c10,000$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00020044.5%89 W · 111 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No75c9,704$7,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,385.4131945.5%145 W · 174 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43f0…a0dbbacked Yes35c8,630$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No71c8,626$6,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,501.541,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes30c8,423$2,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,532.3944539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc60f…5b36backed Yes30c8,233$2,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4397630.3%23 W · 53 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a2a…1fcabacked No71c8,134$5,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,358.998048.8%39 W · 41 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x225b…9a83backed Yes21c8,048$1,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,658.2729333.8%99 W · 194 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked No75c7,887$5,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,957.1738734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9912…5d4abacked Yes8c7,273$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003063.3%19 W · 11 L+6.0wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+22.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No72c6,951$4,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,967.751,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62cd…02babacked No72c6,753$4,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,890.753638.9%14 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x072f…ffddbacked No70c6,700$4,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,009.968450%42 W · 42 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5964…776bbacked Yes30c6,667$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0009443.6%41 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6370…e2f4backed Yes30c6,667$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.19per pick38cpaid-53%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Yes30c6,667$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0006241.9%26 W · 36 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd32e…b577backed Yes32c6,654$2,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,129.2811254.5%61 W · 51 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Yes9c6,635$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.1115844.3%70 W · 88 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No71c6,628$4,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,918.4156541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4eb…1a6ebacked Yes25c6,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5004323.3%10 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes23c5,653$1,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,273.7793542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No65c5,582$3,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,962.2945039.6%178 W · 272 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0ba…fa03backed Yes28c5,350$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002931%9 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Yes30c5,337$1,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5847744.2%34 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x176f…cd75backed Yes31c5,119$1,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,585.784427.3%12 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+11.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Yes30c5,107$1,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,532.1812248.4%59 W · 63 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked No71c5,050$3,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,464.54669.6%32 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick69cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes29c5,000$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,45014226.8%38 W · 104 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes31c5,000$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,55059230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb143…f649backed Yes32c5,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6009242.4%39 W · 53 L+0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid+18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed No70c5,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.9924144.8%108 W · 133 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87ec…138fbacked No75c4,985$3,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.5318851.1%96 W · 92 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1d9…5896backed Yes30c4,877$1,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,463.187646.1%35 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+41.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13e0…a97ebacked Yes30c4,813$1,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4448133.3%27 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No71c4,800$3,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,39237850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd888…3c9fbacked Yes35c4,406$1,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,542.023234.4%11 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes26c4,362$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,123.981,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8046…6ea0backed Yes30c4,235$1,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,270.618723%20 W · 67 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick25cpaid+38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No71c4,200$2,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,21838351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca97…49f6backed Yes27c4,155$1,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,11513036.2%47 W · 83 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No71c4,129$2,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,194.692,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7852…3a25backed Yes19c3,776$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.041315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No78c3,709$2,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.1933337.8%126 W · 207 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dee…a0f4backed Yes30c3,707$1,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,112.138052.5%42 W · 38 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd881…af24backed No71c3,604$2,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.1222450.4%113 W · 111 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No71c3,600$2,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04435251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb909…c20bbacked Yes30c3,542$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0757445.9%34 W · 40 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb0…34ecbacked No72c3,472$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.223658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8b5…a5cabacked No71c3,450$2,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.43366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c4d…a427backed Yes30c3,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0674…f212backed Yes29c3,276$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9404228.6%12 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+41.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d30…fad8backed Yes31c3,226$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003138.7%12 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+26.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Yes31c3,226$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012334.1%42 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes19c3,217$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.9565835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Yes30c3,200$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94835424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa33b…287dbacked Yes31c3,175$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-33.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c4…bbb5backed Yes35c3,143$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1001338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.