TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xee17…6ea1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
140
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NBA, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 63 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST6016.7%10 W · 50 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Visa (V) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Capital One (COF) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+922.1%+$1,122.07
Will GameStop (GME) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$71.1
Will Academy Sports and Outdoors (ASO) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+507%+$252.49
Will Build-A-Bear Workshop (BBW) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$147.09
Will Dollar Tree (DLTR) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$41.55
Will Snowflake (SNOW) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$57.79
Will United Natural Foods (UNFI) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$34.6
Will Walmart (WMT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$82.57
Will AECOM (ACM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$51.68
Will Home Depot (HD) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$738Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$738.03
Will Quantum Computing (QUBT) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+234.2%+$210.29
Will The Walt Disney Company (DIS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$421.16
Will Circle Internet Group (CRCL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$931Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$930.72
Will Paramount Group (PSKY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$95.58
Will Chegg (CHGG) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+186.6%+$171.51
Will Tyson Foods (TSN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$272.3
Will Franklin Resources (BEN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$828Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$827.87
Will Wendy’s (WEN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+145.2%+$302.6
Will Expedia Group (EXPE) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$18.02
Will SanDisk (SNDK) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$227.16
Will ICU Medical (ICUI) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Sweetgreen (SG) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$118.83
Will Akamai Technologies (AKAM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$118.51
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3622.2%8 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$5,184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,184
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,736Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,736.12
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,919Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,919.16
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$713Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$712.5
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$2,578Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,578.09
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$886.79
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,166Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$1,116.01
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,566Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$609.1
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$995Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$584.45
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$996Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$996.01
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$930Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$930
Will Tunisia vs. Netherlands end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+900%+$9,000
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,100
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$2,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,400
Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$840
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.27per pick35cpaid+90.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.08
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,697Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+245.8%+$4,169.48
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$6,299Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+45.6%+$2,873.32
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,133Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$9,169.09
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17,948Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+63.4%+$11,379.5
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11,788Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7,224.66
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be 36% or higher?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,028Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+79.4%+$815.71
Will Andrew Cuomo get more than 35% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$1,159.86
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,788Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+257.1%+$4,597.93
Will Andrew Cuomo win Staten Island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$562Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+116.7%+$656.16
Will Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$722Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$721.71
Democratic sweep?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,283Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$1,283.01
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$2,256Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$2,256.32
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+3.6wins+0.52per pick34cpaid+174.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12,245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,245.04
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,080Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$1,920
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+525%+$1,680
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$940Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,060
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$980Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$1,989.79
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$5,550Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$9,450
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21,400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+133.6%+$28,600
All 7 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+131.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+84.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$142,910Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+113.4%+$162,100.65
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,710Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$961.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Xi shake hands for 10 seconds or more on October 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+244.6%+$964.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$38,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$37,999.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$29,410Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29,410.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$845Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$845.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$721Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$721.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,119.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.