TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Earnings · resolved market

Will Wendy’s (WEN) beat quarterly earnings?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,789
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,678

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,789 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Earnings
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf1f0…58dfbacked No7c2,500$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.593522.9%8 W · 27 L+5.5wins+0.16per pick7cpaid+324.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf6e6…98b2backed No1c1,547$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c9a…553bbacked Yes38c755.9$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.913960.4%84 W · 55 L+14.8wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+34.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x68db…e12bbacked No53c698.99$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.472330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c0…be99backed No59c615$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.247262.5%45 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes40c603.24$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.0576137.6%286 W · 475 L+35.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1a1…dd34backed Yes45c598.17$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.3115564.5%100 W · 55 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes44c553.04$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.5426334.6%91 W · 172 L-14.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee17…6ea1backed Yes41c511.03$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.66016.7%10 W · 50 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33b3…d03dbacked No58c499.99$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.99425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-64.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x707b…69f2backed Yes61c461.37$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.781850%9 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-29.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x62e2…7b24backed No65c450$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2911631.3%5 W · 11 L-5.1wins-0.32per pick63cpaid-60%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xdacf…8d11backed No60c446.78$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.18541.2%35 W · 50 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes37c410$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes33c363.98$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.8546314.3%66 W · 397 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ca…1383backed Yes36c363.73$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.5421820.2%44 W · 174 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3458…b5a7backed No66c302.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001040%4 W · 6 L-3.4wins-0.34per pick74cpaid-48.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcdbf…1926backed No38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11420729.5%61 W · 146 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6628…ad47backed No62c300$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.753724.3%9 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30c3…1331backed Yes57c261.76$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.764524.4%11 W · 34 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-27.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ce8…b14bbacked Yes42c238.84$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.844746.8%22 W · 25 L-5.1wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3f45…8753backed No64c219.53$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+59.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8152…bfdabacked No52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb4b…ab60backed No68c199$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.871631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-44.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x470d…b463backed Yes48c196.17$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.087561.3%46 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbddd…3d9abacked No61c193.24$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.082259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cde…5b98backed No11c181$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.91283.6%1 W · 27 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-70.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb81…1cf3backed No11c181$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.91496.1%3 W · 46 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-52.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4eb…11a4backed No58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca35…5b58backed Yes45c165.44$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.34540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick24cpaid-8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No36c154.27$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1129024.1%70 W · 220 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-22.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c6f…f078backed No67c149.64$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+28.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x027c…60f2backed No68c147.46$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9379…2e25backed Yes37c134.56$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.56988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.4wins+0.38per pick51cpaid+133.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed Yes33c133.16$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.221526.7%4 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick17cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7e3…300ebacked No64c131.87$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick67cpaid-39.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x75e7…9080backed Yes32c130.62$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.824427.3%12 W · 32 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf00a…0d74backed No59c128.06$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.1771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+64.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e88…301cbacked Yes31c127.08$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.6947138.6%182 W · 289 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd14e…7e5fbacked Yes45c126.78$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+123.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f82…5716backed No55c117.14$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c66…31e3backed Yes56c110.99$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8411860.2%71 W · 47 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf57…053bbacked No58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78b1…f58fbacked No69c100$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.721741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6e2…73bebacked No66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.962864.3%18 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick70cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeda3…bdbebacked No44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.93250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+75.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90c8…9617backed No53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3db7…1456backed No55c90$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.53928.2%11 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-26.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc97b…7f7fbacked No61c82.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502454.2%13 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9368…6f3fbacked Yes41c81.22$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.222100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+85.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2953…2ed5backed No60c80$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.82770.4%19 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefbf…79f6backed No63c79.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.391573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf900…2e68backed Yes64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.135754.4%31 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0e3…37fabacked No59c76.63$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+27.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa313…8fa9backed No56c71.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes35c71.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.411831.4%37 W · 81 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ee8…3352backed Yes36c68.87$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.873100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+259.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb283…7019backed No34c64.22$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.833138.7%12 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes31c63.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.53324.2%8 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-33.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4768…ffe8backed No64c62.02$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x734c…fc6ebacked Yes43c61.71$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.942100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+253.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3412…3a3cbacked No61c60.88$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8630%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa960…dbebbacked Yes41c59.84$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.11127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf36…94e8backed No66c55$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.32842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-30.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc667…a381backed No58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf37…2454backed Yes39c50.88$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.882425%6 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-46.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2361…e16ebacked Yes59c50.84$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.848058.8%47 W · 33 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd0…53b4backed Yes67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.58634.9%30 W · 56 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10bb…d49dbacked No67c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.510272.5%74 W · 28 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x564b…8ba2backed Yes63c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+49.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c0…1c8ebacked No42c49.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2121861%133 W · 85 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d9d…3585backed No67c49.25$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f1…c502backed Yes43c46.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.111566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+28.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed No29c45.53$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.233025.2%83 W · 247 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d7b…1790backed Yes44c45.08$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.19742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick34cpaid-12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c7d…d6ebbacked No34c42.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.542433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick42cpaid+100.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x744e…0f25backed No49c40.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19c0…35f8backed No67c37.16$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0509…6e98backed Yes39c35.8$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8320331.5%64 W · 139 L-14.1wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5fe5…8b99backed No47c34.05$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166952.2%36 W · 33 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7e6…696bbacked Yes63c33.78$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+92.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5dd4…d37abacked No62c32.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick60cpaid+5.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x47f7…8d38backed No66c30.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeeb3…df33backed No60c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-35%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fa0…aa66backed No68c28$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0430%0 W · 3 L-2.2wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x35e4…5bbcbacked Yes41c26.54$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.541717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-47.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x244e…ca5bbacked No66c26$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1620%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x705f…7258backed Yes59c25.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes71c23$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6757939%226 W · 353 L-25.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c8e…ce30backed No56c22.9$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.842445.8%11 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x64d7…4d00backed Yes71c22.53$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5321357.3%122 W · 91 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x00a9…36bbbacked No65c20.72$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.47862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes63c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.420742%87 W · 120 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe70a…6a5cbacked Yes66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31a5…ec07backed Yes67c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6850%4 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x98cc…852fbacked No61c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e27…9890backed Yes66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+76.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e96…633fbacked No65c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134650%23 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+34.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc83e…4f88backed Yes63c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf88b…232abacked No61c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.