TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x19c0…35f8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
43
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Music, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Music at 55 out of 100; worst Earnings at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST1741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick32cpaid-5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will turnout in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election be between 36% and 38%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will turnout in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election be between 34% and 36%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$43
Will turnout in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election be less than 34%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+300%+$75
Will Cătălin Drulă get between 10% and 15% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+124.3%+$53.47
Will Cătălin Drulă get between 15% and 20% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Will Daniel Băluță get between 25% and 30% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Will Daniel Băluță get between 20% and 25% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+143.9%+$59
Will Anca Alexandrescu get between 15% and 20% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Anca Alexandrescu get between 10% and 15% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$12.4
Will Anca Alexandrescu get at least 25% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+33.6%+$25.15
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$119.3
Will PAS win a majority of seats in Moldova elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+65%+$104.04
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Victor Ponta?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ionuț Dumitru?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.5
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT+41.4%+$29.42
Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?backed Dan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$128
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+196.7%+$456.24
All 17 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick31cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Music — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.2
Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+98.4%+$103.89
Will Romania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+213.1%+$144.31
Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.89
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$135.32
Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+299.1%+$150.17
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$41
Will Switzerland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 11 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-44.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick30cpaid+92%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$61
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+44.9%+$44.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.