Music · resolved market
Will Switzerland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d2454c1044175fba3b4af251d2d14b9357d2bf7a0470578c869e644e1c57f00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,910
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,994
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,910 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbe70…33f9backed Yes | 0c | 14,240$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 4c | 2,336$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.6 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Yes | 8c | 1,619$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 6c | 1,344$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.45 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Yes | 8c | 984.17$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.19 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc011…6a60backed Yes | 9c | 955.76$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.66 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 821.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.39 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbba4…f8c6backed Yes | 12c | 718$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 9c | 660.94$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.17 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…5c81backed Yes | 9c | 581.41$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +76%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed Yes | 10c | 511.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.69 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19c0…35f8backed Yes | 8c | 496.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51c0…0305backed Yes | 10c | 436.64$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Yes | 4c | 414.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -41%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75c…f6c2backed Yes | 15c | 379.15$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.86 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed Yes | 10c | 371.43$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed Yes | 5c | 344.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…c417backed Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 76c | 297.89$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.02 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 11c | 272.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 7c | 262.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7002…62eabacked Yes | 6c | 256.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 10c | 242.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c4…f812backed Yes | 6c | 233.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 6c | 222$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x242b…de00backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…e20cbacked Yes | 7c | 191.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa895…5548backed Yes | 8c | 171.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked Yes | 11c | 165$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc881…0cf9backed Yes | 25c | 162.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff1…de19backed Yes | 15c | 155$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x753f…d672backed Yes | 7c | 151.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e2…4d51backed Yes | 8c | 148.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…5232backed Yes | 15c | 133$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd85c…f1f0backed Yes | 28c | 108.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d9…9695backed Yes | 15c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4da…2db1backed Yes | 22c | 67.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 29cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Switzerland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?this page
- Will Albania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
- Will Austria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?Yes won
- Will Belgium be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
- Will Czechia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
- Will Estonia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
- Will Finland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
- Will France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
- Will Israel be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
- Will Italy be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
- Will Malta be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
- Will Netherlands be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
- Will Sweden be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
- Will Ukraine be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
- Will another country be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.