Music · resolved market
Will Austria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f8047af51a3399478d05516b4b93bbd2fdb1a26578e16dc54bb96b3ad30cb8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $385,002
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $388,459
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $385,002 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 224 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xade7…d5c8backed No | 69c | 34,533$23,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,827.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa988…5fd1backed Yes | 31c | 34,533$10,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,827.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3d…ac6dbacked Yes | 34c | 33,576$11,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,160.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a7…7cebbacked No | 66c | 33,576$22,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,160.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc095…3830backed No | 53c | 32,749$17,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,356.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3684…ebf7backed Yes | 47c | 32,749$15,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,356.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…2e60backed No | 47c | 32,334$15,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,196.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x122f…0412backed Yes | 53c | 32,334$17,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,196.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb75…098bbacked No | 58c | 26,876$15,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,588.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a53…d226backed Yes | 42c | 26,876$11,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,588.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a1…de3dbacked Yes | 41c | 6,111$2,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,576.61 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed No | 59c | 2,910$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,717.04 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5b…23cabacked No | 61c | 2,642$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622.21 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 37c | 2,500$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.68 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Yes | 46c | 2,005$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.47 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 52c | 1,459$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.09 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 43c | 1,459$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.16 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 54c | 1,301$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.06 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 49c | 1,208$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.93 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 64c | 1,153$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.2 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…4953backed Yes | 50c | 1,050$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.62 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…8814backed Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…637ebacked Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…caefbacked No | 64c | 989.83$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.26 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d6…488abacked No | 53c | 950$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc271…9ef5backed Yes | 41c | 922.43$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1368…220fbacked Yes | 43c | 884.57$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.57 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…398dbacked Yes | 40c | 819.99$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.89 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 52c | 814.94$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.94 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2df5…dd1cbacked Yes | 46c | 809.89$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51c0…0305backed Yes | 47c | 766.5$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 53c | 754.67$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.29 | 149 | 38.9%58 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1952…c5c8backed No | 57c | 701.77$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 54c | 683.95$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.32 | 226 | 40.3%91 W · 135 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9781…bc2abacked Yes | 44c | 682.53$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.53 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.29per pick | 28cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9d…33ccbacked No | 57c | 650$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6c…edddbacked Yes | 43c | 650$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 44c | 625.5$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.09 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffa…0ae6backed No | 52c | 615$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27c1…f4acbacked Yes | 50c | 600.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.78 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes | 55c | 592.92$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…bc3dbacked Yes | 45c | 591.96$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01b0…0f03backed Yes | 48c | 590$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 55c | 558.45$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.18 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1479…487cbacked Yes | 47c | 555.03$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.95 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd46c…f641backed No | 61c | 550.5$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.47 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 44c | 535.72$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.28 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked Yes | 47c | 510.79$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.48 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865c…ad2abacked Yes | 43c | 505.14$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.04 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed No | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ac…6096backed Yes | 49c | 420.23$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +233.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed No | 61c | 400$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…3ddabacked No | 71c | 399$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.25 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -5.3wins | -0.41per pick | 56cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xccc1…b2b3backed Yes | 50c | 396.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.06 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4b…559cbacked No | 64c | 392.45$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.29 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Yes | 44c | 386.69$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.44 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2af…3911backed Yes | 51c | 382.88$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +227.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91e9…62c3backed Yes | 53c | 375.47$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0212…dc7fbacked Yes | 48c | 365$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5364…b4debacked No | 52c | 365$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed No | 53c | 353.77$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.15 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 30c | 332.01$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.88 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked No | 59c | 315.58$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.52 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c61…ac8bbacked Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 65c | 299.96$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.98 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…96bbbacked Yes | 57c | 297.07$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.07 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…9941backed Yes | 34c | 292.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.57 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…2264backed No | 47c | 275.47$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.47 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc011…6a60backed Yes | 49c | 262$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.62 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked No | 50c | 255.32$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.9 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c37…92a4backed Yes | 37c | 250$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 34c | 249.38$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.72 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa890…1c30backed Yes | 49c | 245$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.95 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…1226backed Yes | 47c | 245$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6457…834fbacked Yes | 47c | 244.99$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 49c | 242.14$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.49 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 59c | 238.26$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.32 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 51c | 229.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…f9f2backed No | 52c | 223.26$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked Yes | 45c | 216$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.11 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…58f5backed Yes | 44c | 205.01$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +130.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d5…8517backed Yes | 49c | 204.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ece…b2e7backed Yes | 50c | 201.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.62 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…50a2backed Yes | 50c | 201.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.82 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed No | 62c | 200$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…24c2backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 25cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed No | 56c | 186.59$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.69 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Yes | 55c | 180.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.36 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x482b…34acbacked Yes | 48c | 170$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +124.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…b68fbacked Yes | 47c | 170$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…4864backed No | 52c | 163.49$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.33 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed No | 54c | 161.83$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.65 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…f203backed No | 62c | 158.6$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b8…4c9cbacked Yes | 52c | 158.14$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.15 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +191.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d7…6547backed Yes | 48c | 153$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Yes | 39c | 150$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2675…2374backed Yes | 36c | 150$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 39c | 146.64$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.37 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1a…83eabacked Yes | 40c | 138.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 50c | 130.44$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.24 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Austria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?this page
- Will Albania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
- Will Belgium be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
- Will Czechia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
- Will Estonia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
- Will Finland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
- Will France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
- Will Israel be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
- Will Italy be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
- Will Malta be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
- Will Netherlands be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
- Will Sweden be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
- Will Switzerland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
- Will Ukraine be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
- Will another country be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.