TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0dd0…bc3d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
228
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Us Midterms, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Us Midterms at 56 out of 100; worst Movies at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST5437%20 W · 34 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+0.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+495.7%+$2,579.58
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Will Trump pardon Rudy Giuliani in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+488.2%+$215.8
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$27
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$38
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.32
Will Trump release more Epstein files before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+150%+$1,800
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 6% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
First round leader wins NYC Democratic primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$99
Did the FBI destroy Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$104.13
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 200,000 or more between December and June? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,691Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+28.5%+$482.39
Will Qatar gift Trump a new Air Force One before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.32
Will Joe Biden be named in Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.41
Will Al Gore be named in Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$12.8
Will Ellen DeGeneres be named in Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.14
Elon out of Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$112
Elon out of Trump administration before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+362%+$330.98
US-China trade deal before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+86%+$447.52
Will Trump's approval rating be between 43.0% and 43.9% on May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.6
Will Trump pardon 1,500 or more Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$308.82
Will TikTok be on the App Store on May 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$351.03
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2737%10 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+340.3%+$865.27
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Lazarus Chakwera win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.88
Starmer out before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$140.5
Will Han Duck-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$4,408Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+224.4%+$9,892.58
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,366Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,365.93
Will the Liberal Party win between 41% and 44% of the vote in the 2025 Canadian election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$94.78
Will Carney government pass a confidence vote before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$109.3
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$6,513Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$2,532.64
Will the next Pope be from Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$106.62
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$4,382Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+30.6%+$1,340.38
Will the Greens be part of the next German government?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$10.66
Will George Simion win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$2,340Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,340.26
Will Călin Georgescu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$131.99
Will Elena Lasconi advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,395Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,394.6
Will Crin Antonescu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+51.9%+$285.32
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,642Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,642.36
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$756Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+488.2%+$3,689.35
Will Luisa González win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$262.92
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$720
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,375Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$2,150.65
Will the CDU/CSU win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$301.35
Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,000
Greens win over 15% of vote in German election? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.5
Will SPD win the second most seats in the next German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$64.95
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+30%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dogecoin all time high before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$365.08
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+92.3%+$83.35
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$819Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$819.31
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$183.7
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$708Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$708
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$461Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+192.4%+$888
Ethereum all time high before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+525%+$168
Will Ethereum reach $3000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$802Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$413.39
Will Bitcoin reach $115K in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,139Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+81.5%+$1,743.74
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+100%+$100
Bitcoin all time high in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$72
Bitcoin all time high by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,364Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,363.55
Will Ethereum reach $2000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$61
Ethereum all time high by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$5,088Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$1,787.51
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$348
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST-100%-$620
Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST+75.4%+$21.5
All 17 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-53.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "28 Years Later" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $34m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$225
Will 'Shadow Force' gross between $1.2-1.6m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will 'Minecraft' gross more than 120m on opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$171
Will Sritala die in Season 3 of the White Lotus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.67
Will Gaitok die in Season 3 of the White Lotus?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+37%+$10.8
Will Greg/Gary die in Season 3 of the White Lotus?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$13.2
Will Timothy Ratliff die in Season 3 of the White Lotus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.04
Will Saxson die in Season 3 of the White Lotus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$84.84
Will Chelsea die in Season 3 of the White Lotus?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.99
Will 'Nosferatu' win an Oscar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+36.4%+$240
Will Jesse Eisenberg win the Golden Globe for Best Actor in a Movie - Musical or Comedy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+108.3%+$26
'Mufasa' vs. 'Sonic 3' opening weekend box office?backed Mufasa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST-100%-$108.23
Will 'Kraven the Hunter' gross between $16-19m on 3-day opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2024, EST-100%-$17.5
All 13 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$715Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+170.3%+$1,217.1
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$588Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$462
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,962Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,962.02
Another Houthi strike on Israel before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+54.3%+$207.27
Israel withdraws from Lebanon before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$191.78
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$5,133Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$2,528.16
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$9,153Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+56.8%+$5,199.19
US military action against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,942Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+467.7%+$9,080.97
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$9,832Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$9,831.58
Will Russia pull out of Syria before April 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$213.44
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$489.5
Will the U.S. remove HTS from terror list before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$44.09
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 5, 2025, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shedeur Sanders cut before Week 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$126.53
Will 125-130 million people watch Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+426.3%+$486
Will 120-125 million people watch Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
Will there be a missed extra point attempt in Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Will Jared Verse win NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$42.7
Will Jayden Daniels win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$514Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$514.33
Will the Eagles win the NFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$132
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$7,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+38.9%+$2,800
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+44.9%+$188.52
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the NFC East?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$21.86
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the AFC South?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$16.03
Belichick next UNC head coach?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$31.5
All 12 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 14, 2025, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Any Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.16
OpenAI announces development of glasses/headset before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
Will GPT-5 be released by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+277.4%+$29.36
Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$402.74
Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.96
Will Musk say "Trump" during the Q1 2025 Tesla earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+63.6%+$17.58
Will Musk say "DOGE" during the Q1 2025 Tesla earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+272.3%+$89.23
Will GPT-5 be released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$95.51
Will Grok remain the #1 model through March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$130.58
Elon Musk bans Apple devices at his companies?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$54.11
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick28cpaid-5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$9,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$3,000
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$2,216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,215.86
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$192
Will the Nuggets beat the Clippers 4-3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+426.3%+$162
Will the Clippers beat the Nuggets 4-2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$832Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$468.07
Will Domantas Sabonis lead the NBA in Rebounds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$12
Will Lebron James be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2024 NBA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST-100%-$19
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2024 NBA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST-100%-$19
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2025, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bernie Sanders votes to confirm RFK Jr?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST-100%-$42
RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$4,964Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+41%+$2,036.12
Will 54 or more Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$303.54
Less than 49 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$456Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+31.6%+$144
Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$518Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$518.1
Bernie Sanders votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,824Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+32.8%+$598.73
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,277Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+46.9%+$1,067.32
Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+61.3%+$104.29
Will Lara Trump be appointed as the next Florida senator?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,413Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+70.1%+$990.57
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-25.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-24%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-45.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2025, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-70.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Space — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek confirmed to have used banned Nvidia chips?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$282.13
Will Supreme Court delay the Tiktok ban?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,361Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+37%+$503.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+605.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Napoli win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+605.4%+$1,674.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,800Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$5,200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the fight go the distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+75.4%+$430
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liverpool wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$7,760Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+28.9%+$2,240
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Kolkata Knight Riders win the 2025 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 800-849 times Feb 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$346.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will G2 win the PGL Bucharest Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Yankees win the AL East Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.94
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.