World Politics · resolved market
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x689eb479c285abbe526ea31e32f3b300c8f77d7f144e78f3f2d35e200e52c2b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,477,096
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,684,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,477,096 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 860 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 24c | 338,775$82,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82,238.54 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +194.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c62…5d44backed Yes | 68c | 275,504$187,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88,118.8 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9a20…9cb5backed Yes | 80c | 181,688$145,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,372.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 80cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x790c…0a8dbacked Yes | 73c | 157,406$114,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,796.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ee…fdddbacked Yes | 69c | 138,617$96,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,518.49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa414…0186backed Yes | 69c | 130,000$89,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,720.69 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ee…5a28backed No | 32c | 122,718$39,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,032.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed No | 16c | 120,042$19,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,638.56 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a2…e78abacked No | 43c | 101,883$43,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,809.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc99b…dcd3backed Yes | 57c | 101,883$58,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,809.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…4be8backed No | 27c | 95,619$26,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,248.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…b784backed Yes | 72c | 93,061$66,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,245.13 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed Yes | 68c | 87,938$59,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,545.48 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaab…8e6cbacked Yes | 66c | 83,079$54,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,573.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…acd1backed No | 16c | 79,296$12,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,685.55 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x716c…65cabacked No | 19c | 78,918$14,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,615.07 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 25c | 78,737$19,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,599.69 | 278 | 28.1%78 W · 200 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d0…61e7backed Yes | 72c | 74,503$54,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,495.16 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe270…d7ebbacked No | 20c | 73,859$14,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,473.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +52%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10c1…9deebacked No | 31c | 73,688$23,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,046.87 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed No | 30c | 72,445$21,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,706.41 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f2…79d0backed No | 19c | 71,546$13,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,703.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfed…df12backed No | 21c | 66,981$14,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,222.62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 18c | 58,966$10,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,706.3 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed No | 35c | 56,818$19,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,861.19 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 0c | 55,644$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.64 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…b979backed Yes | 74c | 53,290$39,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,057.58 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 25cpaid | +274.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x05e2…6e12backed Yes | 80c | 51,541$41,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,375.81 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…09febacked No | 22c | 50,814$11,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,241.86 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 74c | 50,461$37,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,293.28 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x305d…54afbacked No | 39c | 50,157$19,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,515.49 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x592b…aedcbacked Yes | 73c | 50,000$36,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,587.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 21c | 49,755$10,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,476.4 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ced…12b2backed Yes | 71c | 48,539$34,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,168.14 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28b…af39backed Yes | 71c | 46,399$32,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,636.59 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…9c5ebacked No | 17c | 45,329$7,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,857 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked No | 34c | 44,559$14,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,943.39 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…ab0ebacked Yes | 73c | 44,558$32,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,952.55 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…2a77backed No | 25c | 44,553$11,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,253.47 | 80 | 25%20 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +187.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bba…e48dbacked No | 15c | 44,205$6,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,617.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x173c…bf6fbacked No | 29c | 43,080$12,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,289.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa43…df2cbacked No | 31c | 42,611$13,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,286.23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked Yes | 70c | 41,419$28,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,495.7 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x255d…1f3dbacked No | 31c | 41,168$12,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,566.53 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…4eccbacked Yes | 65c | 40,000$25,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,150 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1c…4d4dbacked Yes | 77c | 39,997$30,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,229.89 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68c…f3e9backed No | 33c | 37,100$12,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,368.08 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fa…0f63backed No | 20c | 36,966$7,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,338.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8951…43efbacked No | 27c | 35,950$9,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,708.38 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7957…d144backed No | 34c | 35,025$11,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,918.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d01…dd4bbacked No | 29c | 33,500$9,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,703.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5b…23cabacked Yes | 71c | 33,296$23,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,517.32 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x337d…c858backed No | 30c | 33,089$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceda…1bd9backed No | 30c | 32,475$9,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,821.06 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe306…627ebacked No | 26c | 32,347$8,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,533.74 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe362…7430backed No | 22c | 31,773$6,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,891.02 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3668…ae02backed No | 28c | 31,325$8,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,693.7 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Yes | 73c | 27,875$20,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,612.34 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed No | 22c | 27,527$6,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,109.42 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd80…7e2cbacked Yes | 68c | 27,442$18,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,832.47 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d70…2698backed No | 35c | 27,097$9,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,521.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd909…fd75backed Yes | 79c | 26,608$21,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,477.85 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…e54ebacked No | 26c | 26,484$6,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,970.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2644…daecbacked No | 32c | 25,288$8,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…9674backed Yes | 75c | 25,124$18,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,177.73 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe77a…7a8fbacked No | 31c | 25,019$7,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,703.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c03…bb32backed Yes | 69c | 24,828$17,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,717.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a01…ae2abacked No | 24c | 24,613$5,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,929.61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf431…4853backed No | 27c | 23,232$6,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,273.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…ac84backed Yes | 74c | 21,385$15,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,637.56 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64c9…155ebacked No | 21c | 21,100$4,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,476.7 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe316…c49fbacked No | 39c | 20,909$8,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,142.92 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…f088backed No | 26c | 20,500$5,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,430.69 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5e…7f28backed Yes | 65c | 20,280$13,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,097.9 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 69c | 20,273$13,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,277.77 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff9e…56a1backed No | 26c | 19,990$5,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,289.13 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…2921backed No | 36c | 19,676$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa847…88a5backed No | 20c | 19,634$3,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,926.74 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -87%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6130…144abacked Yes | 61c | 19,359$11,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,457.86 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecea…889abacked Yes | 64c | 19,188$12,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,923.61 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3348…37d3backed No | 31c | 17,871$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +153.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7923…e7cfbacked No | 21c | 17,799$3,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,783.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ea…1a6fbacked No | 19c | 17,557$3,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,366.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed Yes | 68c | 17,500$11,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,625 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c2…336bbacked No | 29c | 17,188$4,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,984.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +133.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9a…2301backed Yes | 76c | 17,146$13,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,115.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea7d…7c29backed Yes | 76c | 17,136$13,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,107.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6142…dc66backed Yes | 76c | 17,062$12,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,139.08 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf8…89b0backed No | 28c | 16,798$4,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,672.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0f…6619backed No | 40c | 16,778$6,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,739.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bb…e6aabacked Yes | 77c | 16,692$12,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,850.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0802…8cb0backed Yes | 77c | 16,600$12,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,883.01 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…22c8backed No | 37c | 16,511$6,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,145.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 74c | 16,444$12,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,204.32 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x979d…ac25backed Yes | 77c | 16,050$12,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,691.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3c…b218backed No | 22c | 15,902$3,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,555.4 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1859…fc9cbacked No | 24c | 15,080$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600.22 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0af…4cd3backed No | 42c | 14,907$6,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,267.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc580…5dc1backed Yes | 69c | 14,863$10,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,606.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…b753backed No | 29c | 14,676$4,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,247.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.