Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2d7cbed366ad8d308771f07b80c5786925b2ff96227aa3406dc045816764d37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $172,693
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $160,512
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,693 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed Yes | 27c | 31,800$8,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,207.66 | 128 | 20.3%26 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…5d71backed Yes | 26c | 9,305$2,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,847.94 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…0fe9backed Yes | 28c | 7,851$2,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,668.57 | 104 | 33.7%35 W · 69 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 30c | 6,933$2,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,868.51 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +159%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 32c | 6,295$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,278.37 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4758…0b34backed No | 8c | 6,002$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98fa…d698backed Yes | 29c | 5,940$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,190.34 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 72c | 5,519$3,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,971.7 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked No | 11c | 4,362$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.82 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 9cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 27c | 3,630$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,656.14 | 199 | 31.7%63 W · 136 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18aa…f6ecbacked Yes | 29c | 3,100$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.22 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 39c | 3,024$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.69 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffc…8236backed Yes | 26c | 2,733$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.83 | 224 | 33.9%76 W · 148 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +69%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 28c | 2,715$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,946.97 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…0581backed No | 10c | 2,400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b03…e8afbacked Yes | 27c | 2,310$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.99 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 71c | 2,260$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.88 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 72c | 2,177$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565.42 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ea…d556backed Yes | 27c | 2,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0d…8250backed Yes | 40c | 1,476$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 27c | 1,263$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.43 | 140 | 24.3%34 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fa…f2f0backed Yes | 29c | 1,253$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ab…070ebacked Yes | 26c | 1,233$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.59 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df7…afb0backed Yes | 26c | 1,199$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.83 | 90 | 24.4%22 W · 68 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e2…b98cbacked Yes | 27c | 1,100$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.3 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…a403backed Yes | 23c | 1,070$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.88 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc24a…fdbcbacked Yes | 27c | 1,008$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.9 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93c…689cbacked Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3161…daf5backed Yes | 28c | 976.98$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.67 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Yes | 24c | 936.66$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.19 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d6…fdd3backed Yes | 28c | 914$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.61 | 67 | 7.5%5 W · 62 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…bc3dbacked Yes | 27c | 894.17$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.74 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 26c | 860$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.4 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbab…2cd0backed No | 72c | 745.99$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.85 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked No | 72c | 723.97$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.94 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x430f…d787backed Yes | 32c | 577.97$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.58 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc230…6192backed No | 64c | 549.02$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.54 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed Yes | 26c | 506.25$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.36 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e7…fc15backed Yes | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 28c | 475$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.25 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed Yes | 32c | 455$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 20cpaid | +189.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57bd…cf55backed Yes | 26c | 406$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.19 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7b…782fbacked Yes | 29c | 400$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 37c | 399.55$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.12 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…fd88backed No | 67c | 372.26$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97fc…eaf9backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 26c | 302.12$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.35 | 233 | 30.5%71 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked No | 63c | 300$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 25c | 300$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cae…aa17backed Yes | 34c | 295$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ec…b5fcbacked No | 73c | 280$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…9e17backed Yes | 37c | 257.86$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +114.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…b275backed Yes | 27c | 245.89$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…aee5backed Yes | 30c | 236$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.74 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…c083backed Yes | 27c | 235.59$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.48 | 133 | 38.3%51 W · 82 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x064c…2de1backed No | 67c | 235.15$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.66 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc1…0469backed Yes | 26c | 226.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +277.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 75c | 217.11$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.8 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8815…e147backed Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +121%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x296b…2cf2backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59ee…7ad7backed No | 15c | 198$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…a540backed No | 75c | 163.99$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.65 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…56d0backed Yes | 34c | 163.39$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.39 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f8…a80abacked Yes | 30c | 151.72$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda78…e9c1backed No | 75c | 130$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x337d…6ff3backed Yes | 26c | 116.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +288%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6547…8043backed Yes | 32c | 110$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…93d4backed Yes | 25c | 108$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 143 | 25.2%36 W · 107 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 27c | 107.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.74 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…00c7backed Yes | 28c | 104.23$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.05 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68d9…00edbacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e80…3082backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb118…8d34backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 33c | 91.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7c9fbacked No | 78c | 84$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.31 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf37b…da7abacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d71…af7abacked Yes | 29c | 60.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9394…37dabacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14bf…e895backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 67c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe24d…0a3ebacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +240.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…6d8abacked Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6864…294bbacked Yes | 29c | 39.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a92…6fffbacked No | 75c | 33.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7f…a00cbacked Yes | 36c | 30.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 66c | 26.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d1…5129backed No | 69c | 20.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…4651backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in June?this page
- Will monthly inflation increase by 0.0% or less in June?No won
- Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% in June?No won
- Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in June?No won
- Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% or more in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.