Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84356d5bc0f4ab25e70869ace61e562219d9bfdbd57773f6591c74e085388778
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $151,040
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $149,050
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,040 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa84d…5d71backed Yes | 44c | 23,738$10,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,453.73 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 48c | 12,374$5,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,945.73 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…0581backed Yes | 1c | 12,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98fa…d698backed Yes | 47c | 9,835$4,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,573.37 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…0fe9backed Yes | 47c | 7,116$3,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,358.94 | 104 | 33.7%35 W · 69 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 54c | 6,934$3,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,177.6 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 57c | 5,575$3,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,424.1 | 233 | 30.5%71 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ea…d556backed Yes | 46c | 4,940$2,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,286.29 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ab…070ebacked Yes | 39c | 4,246$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676.15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 44c | 3,600$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.98 | 199 | 31.7%63 W · 136 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…c149backed Yes | 42c | 3,526$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.95 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +208.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b03…e8afbacked Yes | 46c | 3,400$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.16 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked Yes | 16c | 3,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 9cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 53c | 2,726$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.8 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…a403backed Yes | 43c | 2,494$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.11 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…705bbacked Yes | 46c | 2,289$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.29 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 49c | 2,200$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc24a…fdbcbacked Yes | 48c | 1,758$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.62 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2503…4f5ebacked Yes | 45c | 1,701$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fa…f2f0backed Yes | 51c | 1,612$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3161…daf5backed Yes | 48c | 1,533$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.29 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffc…8236backed Yes | 50c | 1,502$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.8 | 224 | 33.9%76 W · 148 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +69%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbab…2cd0backed Yes | 47c | 1,500$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.5 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6547…8043backed Yes | 52c | 1,480$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.99 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 51c | 1,119$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.97 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b4…e4a0backed Yes | 56c | 1,042$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…878abacked Yes | 49c | 1,021$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df7…afb0backed Yes | 41c | 942.37$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.39 | 90 | 24.4%22 W · 68 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…4651backed Yes | 53c | 932.84$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.7 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Yes | 41c | 899$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.16 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 42c | 701.96$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.83 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x430f…d787backed Yes | 48c | 645.6$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e7…fc15backed Yes | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…00c7backed Yes | 39c | 533.51$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.07 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 45c | 527.18$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.38 | 140 | 24.3%34 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked No | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfda7…153bbacked Yes | 50c | 495.73$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…b071backed Yes | 47c | 479.05$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.11 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…93f4backed Yes | 50c | 336.18$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2684…d3d6backed Yes | 46c | 324.43$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.24 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6de…7c3ebacked Yes | 47c | 320$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked No | 51c | 295.56$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.7 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16be…23d9backed Yes | 45c | 290$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…a540backed No | 52c | 287$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.76 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc230…6192backed No | 54c | 279.08$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…56d0backed Yes | 44c | 274.27$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda78…e9c1backed Yes | 37c | 260$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.2 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68d9…00edbacked Yes | 47c | 249.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdee…b0d0backed Yes | 48c | 207.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ec…b5fcbacked No | 56c | 190.07$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.01 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed Yes | 48c | 185$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1542…7474backed Yes | 44c | 163.2$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c36…8d72backed No | 58c | 147.24$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…b275backed Yes | 49c | 132.31$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57bd…cf55backed Yes | 49c | 130$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe571…7c4ebacked No | 59c | 127.17$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…93d4backed Yes | 50c | 108$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 143 | 25.2%36 W · 107 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x899a…3ec0backed Yes | 44c | 103.09$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd737…71bbbacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 46c | 97.61$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 175 | 28%49 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 62c | 82$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…aee5backed Yes | 43c | 82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064c…2de1backed No | 59c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.41 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1325…b555backed Yes | 52c | 74.46$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596e…8cc7backed Yes | 49c | 74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 51c | 70.77$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7c9fbacked No | 51c | 65.65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.46 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4346…3d4dbacked Yes | 50c | 59.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5950…701cbacked Yes | 47c | 52.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…6d8abacked Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 46c | 46.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 202 | 42.1%85 W · 117 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7b…435cbacked Yes | 45c | 44.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6864…294bbacked No | 53c | 43.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Yes | 50c | 43.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9105…721bbacked Yes | 63c | 42.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09a2…eb8abacked Yes | 52c | 38.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8035…c57fbacked No | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 44c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 299 | 13.7%41 W · 258 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…1d8bbacked No | 51c | 35.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fea…4ed2backed Yes | 45c | 24.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…c6c4backed No | 50c | 23.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3aa…bddcbacked No | 52c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf25e…5462backed Yes | 59c | 17.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in June?this page
- Will monthly inflation increase by 0.0% or less in June?No won
- Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% in June?No won
- Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in June?Yes won
- Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% or more in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.