TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xffd2…d7ae

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
675
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Champions League, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 59 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT16643.4%72 W · 94 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 166 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,805Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$988.75
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,179Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$470.99
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+391.3%+$119.47
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Will Mamdani make NYC buses free by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+92.3%+$16.26
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,344Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,344.43
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,253Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,253.21
Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+44.9%+$77.5
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$618Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+37.5%+$232
Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$561Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$561
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$220
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+156.4%+$183
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$46
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$11
Will Donald Trump visit France in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.5
Panick in the White Housebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$556Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$556.39
Will Trump announce a national housing emergency in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$76
Will Trump veto a bill in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+300%+$74.99
Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,086Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$1,086.33
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+85.3%+$230.18
Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$56.99
Showing 25 of 166 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT6827.9%19 W · 49 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$216
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$21.57
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.4
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$255
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$183
Will annual inflation increase by 3.8% in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+402.6%+$147.38
Will annual inflation increase by 3.7% in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$453Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$453.38
Will annual inflation increase by 3.4% in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.51
Will annual inflation increase by 3.6% in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.63
Will annual inflation increase by 3.5% in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.22
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.06
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% or less in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.1
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.56
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+139.2%+$593.59
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.74
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.19
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,988Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,987.65
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.5
Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.76
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+195.3%+$463.21
Will the US add between 75k and 100k jobs in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+34.3%+$16.61
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be over 5.0%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+25%+$20
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$55.85
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT5438.9%21 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$747Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$746.54
Will two people dissent the March Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$331Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+262.5%+$869
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+58.5%+$123.11
Jerome Powell federally charged in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,426Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,426.47
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$84.5
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$172.5
Will Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45.65
Will Trump announce Scott Bessent as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Lisa Cook federally charged in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$63.5
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$106
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20.75
Bank of England rate cut in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+194.1%+$165
Will two people dissent the December Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+69.5%+$41
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$115.5
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$116.13
Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$91.99
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+600%+$120
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50.5
Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+42.9%+$15
Fed rate hike in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+29.6%+$32
Will one person dissent the October Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.8
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT4934.7%17 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Zheng (-1.5) vs Eala (+1.5)backed Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$59.2
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$475.99
Set Handicap: Eala (-1.5) vs Zheng (+1.5)backed Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$31.02
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Zverev (+2.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$58
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.42
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Jannik Sinner vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21
Will Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.99
Karolina Muchova vs. Linda Noskova: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$168
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$124
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+228.5%+$313
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.4
Will Arthur Fery be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will Félix Auger-Aliassime be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Wimbledon WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Karolina Muchovabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$140
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
BMW Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Zizou Bergsbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.06
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Djokovic (+1.5)backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$729Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+117.1%+$853.7
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$57.68
Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 4.5backed Over 4.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.69
Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$560
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,776Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$1,776.2
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$755Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$755.48
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST4436.4%16 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
F1 — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen leave Red Bull before 2026? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+49.3%+$33
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$58.26
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+195.3%+$436.5
Will Mercedes finish third in the 2025 F1 Constructors' Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
Will Max Verstappen finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$165
Will Lando Norris finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+96.1%+$58.8
Will Ferrari finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$584Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$583.59
Will Sauber finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Constructors' Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Will George Russell finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Charles Leclerc finish fourth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Will McLaren have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$42.73
Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$52
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.5
F1 Dutch GP: Alonso vs. Stroll backed Alonso · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.83
F1 Dutch Grand Prix: Ferrari vs. Mercedesbacked Ferrari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.5
F1 Dutch GP: Hamilton vs. Russell backed Hamilton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.5
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$61
F1 Hungarian GP: Alonso vs. Stroll backed Alonso · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+36.3%+$27.35
F1 Hungarian GP: Hamilton vs. Russell backed Hamilton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.49
F1 Hungarian GP: Leclerc vs. Verstappenbacked Verstappen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
F1 Hungarian GP: Albon vs. Sainz backed Albon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.02
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$72
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT4330.2%13 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-6.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$292
Will Leeds be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
Will Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,339Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,339.24
Will Chelsea finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$619Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$619.2
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$192
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$466Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+70.2%+$327.07
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$161.99
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$44
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+58.7%+$111
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+40%+$100
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+154.2%+$91
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$24.11
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+733.3%+$176
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$158
Will Liverpool vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$76
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+115.1%+$107
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.79
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$162
Will Chelsea vs. Brighton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$448
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.3
Will Everton win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$52
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT4214.3%6 W · 36 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-65.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the March Meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$62
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$53.76
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.74
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.44
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Trump meets Xi, Putin, and Kim by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$111
Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$47.99
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$451Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$451
Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$123
Will Trump meet with Putin by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$156.72
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$170
Russia announces air truce by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.5
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT3458.8%20 W · 14 L+5.0wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+29.8%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
Champions League — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+700%+$875
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+100%+$100
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+138.1%+$32
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+257.1%+$39.22
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$88
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$80
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.4
Will Vitinha win the Golden Ball at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.5
Will Gonzalo García be the top goalscorer at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Pedro Neto be the top goalscorer at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.1
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia score a goal in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+48.1%+$32.49
Will Trump attend the FIFA Club World Cup finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+190.5%+$229.49
Will PSG beat Real Madrid in Regulation Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$17.01
Will PSG beat Real Madrid in regulation time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$27.5
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Real Madrid (To Advance)backed PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$21.5
FIFA Club World Cup: Will Vinicius Junior score another goal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$19
PSG vs. Real Madrid: 3+ Goals Scored? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Will Chelsea beat Fluminense in Regulation Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$20
Fluminense vs. Chelsea: 3+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Real Madrid vs. Dortmund: 3+ Goals Scored? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+63%+$27.05
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Bayern (To Advance) backed PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$69
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT3327.3%9 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.36
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$101
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+400%+$800
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$829.99
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$185.38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$123
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.76
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.5
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$143
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.45
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$132
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$66.48
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$186
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$46
US x Saudi security agreement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+75.4%+$43
Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+488.2%+$249
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$95.3
Israel strikes Gaza by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT2740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$62
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.8
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$71.5
Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$101
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+137%+$115.57
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$19
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the October meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$130.76
North Korea missile launch by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$86
Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
Another France debt downgrade by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
Will the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
North Korea missile test by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+455.6%+$246
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.4
Will Han Duck-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$38
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.5
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during Carney visit on May 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Will Trump say "Ripped" or "Ripping" during Carney visit on May 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$26
Will Trump say "Canada" 7+ times during Carney visit on May 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$12
Will Călin Georgescu win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Călin Georgescu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.2
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Daniel Noboa win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+100%+$25
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+219.1%+$206
Canada election called before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$18.5
Will Trump designate cartels as terrorists before March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$63
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT2433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the 2025 NBA Playoffs in scoring?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$243.68
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.5
Will Jalen Brunson lead the 2025 NBA Playoffs in scoring?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.33
Will the New York Knicks win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$442Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$442
Will Knicks vs. Thunder be the 2025 NBA Finals matchup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.29
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$266.99
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+30.1%+$92.5
Will Knicks vs. Nuggets be the 2025 NBA Finals matchup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.23
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.07
NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Nuggets (To Advance)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.75
NBA Playoffs: Celtics vs. Knicks (To Advance)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,685Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+27.5%+$739.62
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,039.98
NBA Playoffs: Timberwolves vs. Warriors (To Advance)backed Twolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$42
May 14 NBA Parlay: Celtics and Timberwolves both win? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$122.5
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$60.2
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+1,036.4%+$228
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+111.3%+$105.33
Will Payton Pritchard win 2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+40.2%+$45.5
Will Domantas Sabonis lead the NBA in Rebounds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$977Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$977.2
Will another player lead the NBA in Rebounds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+43.6%+$30.38
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers finish with the best regular season record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.38
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$52
Will Luka Doncic play against the Pacers on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST-100%-$35.65
All 24 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$604Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+69.6%+$420.26
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Trump and Xi handshake last less than 2 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.7
Will Hong Kong have between 150-160mm of precipitation in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.74
Will Hong Kong have between 130-140mm of precipitation in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+60.7%+$63.83
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+189.9%+$546.86
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.39
People's Bank of China rate cut by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$43.7
DeepSeek V4 released by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$183
Will Li Guyi perform at the Spring Festival Gala?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100.1
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$572Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+46%+$263.31
Will China lift rare earths export ban by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$183.86
Will Liu Zhenli be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+60.6%+$24.5
Will Zhang Shengmin be the next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$29
Xi Jinping seen in public by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT+141.7%+$234.5
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$15
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$43
TikTok removed from App Store by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$45
All 21 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-44.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atlas have an iOS app live by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$145
Will Robinhood launch stock tokens in the US before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+33.3%+$25
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Pope Francis be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$83.16
Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$122.5
Will Google’s Gemini 2.5 Pro lose the NOF1.ai competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Will xAI’s Grok 4 win the NOF1.ai competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$83.77
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,702Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+135%+$2,297.84
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
OpenAI social app in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$132
Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.99
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$505Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$505
Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$714Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT+32.9%+$234.69
OpenAI browser in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$568Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+45.9%+$260.72
Will xAI have the top AI model on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$164
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1520%3 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-67.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.91
Will England be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.31
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.99
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.75
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$120
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$312
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.5
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$195
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.52
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.84
Will Belgium qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+53.8%+$17.5
All 15 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+43.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$937Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$937
Will Zohran Mamdani win Staten Island in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$19.5
Will Zohran Mamdani win The Bronx in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$843Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+32.5%+$274.23
Will Katie Wilson win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+175.9%+$509.99
Will Bruce Harrell win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$5,433Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$5,433.32
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$6.78
Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+57.4%+$132.84
All 8 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+61.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 12, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Washington Capitals win the 2025 President’s Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ohio State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+29.9%+$10.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ohio State win the Big Ten conference tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ye banned on X in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Smurfs" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $11-13m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kanye launch a coin in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$38
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.