TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Real Madrid vs. Dortmund: 3+ Goals Scored?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,490
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,951

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,490 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4fcb…0426backed No30c16,667$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.743666.7%24 W · 12 L+5.6wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Yes70c10,520$7,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,155.8917348%83 W · 90 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4167…2427backed No36c9,752$3,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,510.754738.3%18 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4073…f770backed Yes62c5,717$3,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,182.29850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Yes64c4,739$3,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,683.312060%12 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked Yes61c4,078$2,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,590.339159.3%54 W · 37 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No39c3,440$1,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329.2444955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Yes67c3,041$2,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.376950.7%35 W · 34 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x76aa…ba27backed Yes62c2,500$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.99862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+94.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ed0…77f7backed No38c2,371$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.961656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+38.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked Yes77c1,826$1,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.5410337.9%39 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No37c1,703$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.5140222.9%92 W · 310 L+0.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ea8…2948backed Yes64c1,665$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.87580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+68.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Yes61c904.25$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.2518758.8%110 W · 77 L+18.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+33.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes64c899.59$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.858452.4%44 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe411…04c5backed Yes62c814.66$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.572157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed No15c790.25$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.442250%11 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdeb…1a50backed Yes63c789.18$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.185350.9%27 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Yes63c715.57$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.776830.9%21 W · 47 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes63c714.29$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.2922054.1%119 W · 101 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes71c690.72$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.7220667.5%139 W · 67 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed No37c675$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.757625%19 W · 57 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Yes63c636.09$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.0916447.6%78 W · 86 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed No40c600$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.8511735.9%42 W · 75 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No38c557.45$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.0628357.2%162 W · 121 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked No39c511.54$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.57742.9%33 W · 44 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6332…6128backed Yes70c508.99$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.71030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-53.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18025450%127 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d0f…933abacked No55c416.13$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.62250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No36c399.99$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14424742.5%105 W · 142 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe781…5e52backed No39c385$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+123.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1ec…57c3backed Yes70c367.5$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.25862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0678…9fd0backed No38c328.95$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1255038%19 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe937…f91bbacked No12c312.5$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.51233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Yes63c302.86$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1126056.7%34 W · 26 L+8.2wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+21.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed No6c293.73$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.629046.7%42 W · 48 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x785b…c51dbacked Yes45c291.13$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.121233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Yes62c250$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958241.5%34 W · 48 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+45.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ed5…e9bfbacked No57c235.53$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.151118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-56%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca1e…75edbacked Yes57c219$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.33100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+85.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6955…41e9backed Yes62c213.81$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.571560%9 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+26.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Yes62c210$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.84839.6%19 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4078…22ddbacked No39c205.35$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3eb0…8826backed Yes64c201.56$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.565040%20 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8599…d597backed No39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782025%5 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cf3…2b57backed No27c187.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06d0…5081backed No39c153.85$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601225%3 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-43.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd5dd…7564backed No39c150$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.51741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Yes30c139.98$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.284040%16 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ba6…09eabacked Yes61c132.79$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.791353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+64.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No38c131$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7846956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23d0…a38abacked No75c125$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.751060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2d5…9562backed Yes45c123.38$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.86450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cb7…5fbfbacked No14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd469…6255backed No10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a7b…fdd1backed No40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4014655.5%81 W · 65 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked No38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.055125.5%13 W · 38 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-39.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed Yes61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396858.8%40 W · 28 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ed4…8c3cbacked Yes62c96.77$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.772147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid-7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Yes74c95.02$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.849863.3%62 W · 36 L+0.4wins0.00per pick63cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc33…16e5backed No37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes62c80$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.419344%85 W · 108 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Yes63c80$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.68040%32 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b5…41f0backed Yes64c78.56$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.561580%12 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+20.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ed4…ee6abacked Yes64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.131163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b9e…4580backed Yes60c75.41$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.414955.1%27 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes61c70$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.053458.8%20 W · 14 L+5.0wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+29.8%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x5a30…fca1backed Yes62c70$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.62171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+32.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No38c66$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0838356.7%217 W · 166 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a85…1811backed Yes70c64.29$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.294445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10f4…3b7ebacked Yes64c62.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.56643.9%29 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fa7…04bfbacked No49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02a2…71e2backed No38c60.95$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.16425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-46.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc6c…a22bbacked Yes60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244252.4%22 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2518…c763backed No39c58.97$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd8…3047backed Yes62c56.45$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.45837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-39.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09c5…0d31backed No47c56.11$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.37450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf82…c406backed No39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6771…b783backed No39c50.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.764656.5%26 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x224b…f6b8backed Yes62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197946.8%37 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f0…13b0backed No39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac2…1966backed No38c45.38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.247042.9%30 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1ef…b4d9backed No64c45.22$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.052334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3647…6250backed Yes71c42.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.251866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9861…1603backed Yes64c41.81$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.05666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+32.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed No49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204564.4%29 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes61c39.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.612854.7%70 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Yes64c39.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0622847.8%109 W · 119 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8aed…e4f4backed No53c38.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cc1…9556backed Yes62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xafbc…a8b5backed Yes62c32.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.268353%44 W · 39 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4849…2e69backed Yes64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.252268.2%15 W · 7 L+4.7wins+0.21per pick47cpaid+45.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2953…2ed5backed Yes64c31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.167656.6%43 W · 33 L+0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdda9…d4cbbacked No37c30.68$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.351233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-35%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa2c…58e5backed No37c28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.36520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-52.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9893…5fa7backed No40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad42…1a79backed No40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-65.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb96…cd51backed Yes64c23.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.441668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a85…a309backed Yes64c23.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.441668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6836…00f2backed Yes58c23.15$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.651070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+43.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.