F1 · resolved market
Will McLaren have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cdf7e0b7420ceeb340e71490dbe732d8504317b32a2bbd56811fdef692b429f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,460
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked No | 39c | 604.26$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.12 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e37…03d2backed Yes | 52c | 604.17$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.66 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…5a9abacked Yes | 60c | 563.76$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.26 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f1…851cbacked Yes | 65c | 305.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes | 65c | 248.43$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.43 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…c035backed No | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 62cpaid | -44%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 56c | 191.62$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.04 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes | 48c | 145.52$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.39 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.41per pick | 44cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…39e2backed No | 42c | 144.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0330…eb8fbacked Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67dc…a64bbacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -54%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 55c | 94.95$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.73 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f7…c927backed Yes | 63c | 93.42$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558b…e5aabacked Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa811…dc76backed No | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e2…75aebacked Yes | 61c | 81.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…2d87backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…d95cbacked No | 20c | 78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2033…7581backed Yes | 65c | 69.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…1b20backed No | 35c | 68.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 43c | 59.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.39 | 144 | 29.9%43 W · 101 L | +14.2wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…c6a8backed Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f7…5136backed Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8266…c472backed No | 48c | 41.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 34c | 40.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8210…aa2cbacked Yes | 70c | 32.03$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50d8…f015backed No | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6285…9c9dbacked Yes | 72c | 21.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Yes | 66c | 21.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…8a53backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b6…f9d9backed Yes | 61c | 18.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will McLaren have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?this page
- Will Ferrari have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?No won
- Will Mercedes have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?No won
- Will Red Bull have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.