TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Hurricanes vs. Capitals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hurricanesof Hurricanes, Capitals
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$210,966
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$230,688

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $210,966 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 406 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6919…5effbacked Capitals40c25,734$10,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,284.773040%12 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Hurricanes60c25,334$15,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,133.436242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Hurricanes60c23,998$14,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,667.8331546.3%146 W · 169 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Hurricanes60c20,270$12,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,019.031,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Capitals40c10,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.99825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-46.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ca4…db1dbacked Hurricanes61c9,999$6,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,899.612100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+101%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x78b4…a5ebbacked Capitals39c9,998$3,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,899.1720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Capitals40c9,179$3,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,671.72437.5%9 W · 15 L-4.3wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-38.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Hurricanes61c7,887$4,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,114.9866951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b3d…7422backed Hurricanes60c7,527$4,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,010.914057.9%81 W · 59 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc84…3e67backed Hurricanes61c5,894$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,293.714852.1%25 W · 23 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Capitals39c5,800$2,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,261.962646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc642…565ebacked Capitals43c5,041$2,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,164.851717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-59.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Capitals39c4,999$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,949.5323642.8%101 W · 135 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Hurricanes57c4,717$2,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,028.3111352.2%59 W · 54 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Hurricanes61c4,479$2,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,741.9211441.2%47 W · 67 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Capitals40c4,433$1,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,773.3364242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Capitals39c4,240$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,650.2437738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f2…5495backed Hurricanes60c4,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6004151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ed0…77f7backed Capitals39c3,800$1,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4824438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked Capitals39c3,286$1,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,281.57250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07cb…743cbacked Hurricanes61c3,204$1,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,249.75728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick54cpaid-58.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0ec…6064backed Capitals39c3,000$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.961127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Hurricanes61c2,810$1,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,095.98854.5%48 W · 40 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f3d…f7afbacked Hurricanes61c2,800$1,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0921080%8 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+51.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Capitals40c2,605$1,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.6930549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb17…abebbacked Capitals39c2,500$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Capitals39c2,500$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.9648050.6%243 W · 237 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f86…0fa0backed Capitals41c2,439$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Capitals40c2,412$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.8811145.9%51 W · 60 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0475…3cc5backed Capitals39c2,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8efa…f8c4backed Hurricanes61c1,928$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.823775.7%28 W · 9 L+7.7wins+0.21per pick55cpaid+37.6%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Capitals37c1,803$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.391,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Capitals39c1,800$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.972661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+20.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7be6…0530backed Hurricanes61c1,642$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.271080%8 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+49.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8655…a314backed Capitals39c1,640$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.61435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-40.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed Capitals38c1,624$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.978749.4%43 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x659c…8dfcbacked Hurricanes73c1,519$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.691580%12 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Capitals40c1,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.997352.1%38 W · 35 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Capitals9c1,417$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.0918520.5%38 W · 147 L-0.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-45.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Hurricanes72c1,383$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.913348.1%64 W · 69 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77fa…179dbacked Hurricanes61c1,345$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.85450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…d63bbacked Hurricanes61c1,270$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x438e…67c7backed Hurricanes61c1,230$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75aa…58f1backed Capitals40c1,150$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.082544%11 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Capitals38c1,047$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.121,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Hurricanes54c1,035$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.511,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ccc…660ebacked Hurricanes61c1,016$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-18%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Capitals1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae36…8fb5backed Capitals40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6ac…957dbacked Hurricanes60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4004650%23 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Hurricanes61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9879…105abacked Hurricanes61c984$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.762100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+113.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Capitals39c955$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.4514538.6%56 W · 89 L-19.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-32.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Capitals4c939.75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3554418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Capitals41c909.76$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3732040%8 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Hurricanes76c872.55$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.5523761.6%146 W · 91 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b88…d628backed Hurricanes56c854.62$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.565534.5%19 W · 36 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Capitals49c817.71$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.689550.5%48 W · 47 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Hurricanes57c761.45$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.421,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Capitals2c760$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.71458.3%12 W · 133 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick5cpaid+135.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Capitals40c750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30075251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Capitals40c750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012556.8%71 W · 54 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6391…bc1cbacked Capitals39c718.92$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.816144.3%27 W · 34 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe98f…a7b9backed Hurricanes60c690.35$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.84862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b0b…f9d6backed Capitals40c689.99$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.993145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Capitals39c612.7$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.9284051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd468…9472backed Hurricanes61c522.95$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.95333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick23cpaid-45.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2b8…9cafbacked Hurricanes60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f9a…06d0backed Hurricanes60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-23.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xce4d…a7fabacked Capitals24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12025555.3%141 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Hurricanes60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20051044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Hurricanes55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22527958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7225…36a2backed Hurricanes60c499.99$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38e0…ccb5backed Hurricanes61c491.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.82770.4%19 W · 8 L+3.9wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+24.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa329…26a2backed Capitals41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-70.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Hurricanes62c483.87$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.8719848.5%96 W · 102 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x40b3…6159backed Capitals42c473.02$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1998870.5%62 W · 26 L+9.2wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+16.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xecf7…ee71backed Capitals41c441.46$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf442…ccf8backed Hurricanes61c421.81$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.298451.2%43 W · 41 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Hurricanes61c400$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15612955.8%72 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc91a…c6b8backed Hurricanes58c399.99$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1701942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Hurricanes60c397.92$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.173354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Hurricanes59c391.29$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.4339752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeba0…d509backed Hurricanes57c387.14$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.361241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9320…f7d7backed Capitals40c387$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.81540%6 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72f3…ba51backed Hurricanes60c340$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Capitals38c338.98$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.83633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Capitals45c329.62$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.3385464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Capitals41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12337254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Hurricanes60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1205966.1%39 W · 20 L+6.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+21%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc164…5fcebacked Capitals45c287.53$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.091060%6 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+42.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Capitals40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Capitals40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Capitals40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007454.1%40 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3088…ec44backed Hurricanes60c249.99$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.161723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.24per pick48cpaid-58.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Hurricanes60c242.04$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.821,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Capitals41c230.64$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.5128440.1%114 W · 170 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf8c…4bc2backed Capitals40c230$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9225358.5%148 W · 105 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Hurricanes18c212$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.8418237.9%69 W · 113 L+29.4wins+0.16per pick22cpaid+202.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.