TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7be6…0530

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NHL, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 58 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2025, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+49.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,001Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$640.27
Avalanche vs. Flamesbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,006Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+56.2%+$565.74
Capitals vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$19.55
Utah vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$23.53
Golden Knights vs. Devilsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+104.1%+$24.55
Jets vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+117.4%+$26.34
Devils vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST+104.9%+$25.31
Kraken vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2025, EST+101.4%+$22.32
Wild vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$25.43
Capitals vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST+75.4%+$17.28
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2025, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,018Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$436.2
Hornets vs. Raptorsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$487Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$487.04
76ers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,039Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$535.31
Mavericks vs. Spursbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$476Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$1,011.83
Nets vs. Wizardsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$29.31
Celtics vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20.21
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST+69.5%+$19.14
All 7 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-67.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. White Soxbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$622Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$622.34
Dodgers vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$353.08
Rangers vs. Piratesbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,055Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$646.76
Tigers vs. White Soxbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$611Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$610.5
Rangers vs. White Soxbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,025Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,024.75
All 5 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2024, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dolphins vs. Texansbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$17.8
49ers vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST+75.4%+$20.27
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST-100%-$13
Steelers vs. Commandersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+132.6%+$33.3
All 4 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,007.72
Will Lazio vs. Cagliari end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,193Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+33.3%+$397.48
Will US Cremonese win on 2025-10-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$437.74
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+196.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$371Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$1,056.72
Will Benfica win on 2025-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+108.3%+$24.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,140Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$465.74
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-02-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,105.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Algeria vs. Burkina Faso end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,035Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+40.8%+$422.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,049Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+40.8%+$428.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-05-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,082Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$360.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Charlotte FC vs. New York City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$398.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Qingdao Eagles vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Qingdao Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$556Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$555.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,009Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,009.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fresno State vs. Colorado Statebacked Fresno State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,098Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,098.04
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.