TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Kraken vs. Blue Jackets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Blue Jacketsof Kraken, Blue Jackets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,387
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$73,079

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,387 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 220 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6c35…9e9abacked Blue Jackets49c10,051$4,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,125.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab76…8c37backed Kraken51c10,037$5,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,118.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Kraken0c4,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Blue Jackets51c3,938$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,937.5815261.8%94 W · 58 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Kraken49c3,316$1,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,625.535545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Kraken52c2,717$1,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,413.4686649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Blue Jackets48c2,500$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.9631849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0bc…7267backed Blue Jackets49c1,450$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaee…dff3backed Kraken51c1,450$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.29250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Kraken50c1,363$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.031,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c2b…2368backed Kraken51c1,333$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9813…aa36backed Blue Jackets49c1,333$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d9a…f083backed Blue Jackets47c1,050$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb9…254cbacked Kraken53c1,050$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Kraken1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101031%1 W · 102 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick4cpaid-97.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Kraken55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.7985148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1396…b149backed Blue Jackets50c994.49$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.515648.2%27 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d7b…d15ebacked Kraken52c968.74$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x162c…a71cbacked Kraken54c865$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.11275%9 W · 3 L+4.0wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+100.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Kraken5c723.57$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.951895.3%10 W · 179 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e09…1c3fbacked Kraken50c675$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.59153.8%49 W · 42 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x091c…1600backed Blue Jackets52c569.57$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Kraken2c566.02$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.177450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x716b…e2d6backed Kraken52c555.73$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.9540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Kraken50c528.45$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.2329847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Kraken54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2701,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x967f…3750backed Kraken52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.67837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x390f…9ef2backed Blue Jackets50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Blue Jackets48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26054349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Kraken55c499.94$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.971,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8c4…5cdcbacked Blue Jackets46c490$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.63100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+190.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Kraken50c486.31$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.154452.3%23 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+24.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Blue Jackets51c390.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.2713457.5%77 W · 57 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Blue Jackets52c386.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.5412859.4%76 W · 52 L+0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x416a…fd6cbacked Blue Jackets48c372.62$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.351060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+28.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Blue Jackets45c370.78$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.4131334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f64…5715backed Blue Jackets46c360$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jackets42c356.23$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.611,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Blue Jackets57c300$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.3514949.7%74 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Kraken45c262.18$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.7291334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Blue Jackets47c255$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.279251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Blue Jackets47c254.99$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.241851.4%215 W · 203 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Blue Jackets51c235.29$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.2915456.5%87 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc629…3cd0backed Kraken52c224.04$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.540%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6657…a58dbacked Blue Jackets50c224$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+22.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5619…e5b0backed Blue Jackets50c220$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x135c…f019backed Kraken52c219.23$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+63.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5301…2d04backed Blue Jackets50c215.96$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x870c…ead0backed Kraken52c215.38$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11250%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8367…6f09backed Blue Jackets50c210$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf1a…c551backed Kraken52c209.62$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb9c…d01bbacked Blue Jackets48c208.47$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.474951%25 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed3d…47aebacked Blue Jackets50c208$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd1d…a3dbbacked Kraken52c207.69$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b7d…164ebacked Blue Jackets50c206$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc847…116cbacked Kraken52c205.77$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26ff…27c8backed Kraken51c204.08$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02b7…0fe7backed Kraken52c204.04$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa045…97ccbacked Blue Jackets50c204$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd2…411fbacked Blue Jackets50c204$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+29.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83d4…9764backed Blue Jackets50c202$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02bb…63d0backed Kraken52c201.92$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-56.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e11…40ffbacked Kraken52c201.61$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.43333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62b6…9585backed Blue Jackets50c201.6$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Blue Jackets47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1066654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Blue Jackets48c200$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.172444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4e2…0187backed Blue Jackets49c199.99$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.9913953.2%74 W · 65 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48c4…60f3backed Kraken52c177.31$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+58.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43b3…0bf9backed Blue Jackets50c176$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Blue Jackets46c173.83$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.8748654.1%263 W · 223 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62fc…7d8bbacked Blue Jackets49c169$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee03…af86backed Kraken51c166.51$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Blue Jackets47c153$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.1247249.2%232 W · 240 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd383…05fdbacked Blue Jackets50c122$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x298b…d53fbacked Kraken52c121.58$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x945e…2acabacked Blue Jackets49c118.83$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.338950.6%45 W · 44 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x892e…6407backed Kraken52c107.44$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe69b…39a4backed Blue Jackets50c107.33$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.82250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc95c…cef3backed Blue Jackets49c104.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.5519347.2%91 W · 102 L-14.9wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2fb4…2794backed Kraken53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Blue Jackets47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5350049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7099…118abacked Kraken52c94.54$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9243…b260backed Blue Jackets48c94.17$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.17475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+50.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fa3…78c6backed Kraken54c92.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-52.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x397b…00ecbacked Blue Jackets51c86.84$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d42…52a1backed Kraken49c86.73$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Blue Jackets48c83.48$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4824945.8%114 W · 135 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd35…4ed5backed Kraken54c74.59$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+34.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5243…dd69backed Blue Jackets48c73.3$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9658…8f9dbacked Kraken51c73$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.23742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3296…8d88backed Blue Jackets49c73$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.23955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd4…8643backed Blue Jackets70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4318259.9%109 W · 73 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf4d5…ede5backed Kraken52c71$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.92728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-45.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7bbb…5176backed Blue Jackets50c71$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c57…9780backed Kraken53c70.92$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.352638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Blue Jackets64c70$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.417054.7%93 W · 77 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac96…0cc5backed Blue Jackets49c64.12$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+114.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a4c…3abbbacked Blue Jackets49c62.65$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf725…6dccbacked Blue Jackets50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0453…fcf0backed Kraken52c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.