TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Wild vs. Stars

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Wildof Wild, Stars
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,304
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,809

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,304 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 378 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1608…a990backed Wild52c9,143$4,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,371.239747.4%46 W · 51 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Stars47c5,880$2,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,765.3292848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Stars57c3,042$1,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,727.5335545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1596…4361backed Wild39c1,263$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.551978.9%15 W · 4 L+4.8wins+0.25per pick54cpaid+57%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfc8c…2cb4backed Stars61c1,263$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.54616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick52cpaid-74.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Wild13c1,243$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.8514949.7%74 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Stars1c1,100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Wild36c1,073$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.791,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Wild25c1,000$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75013361.7%82 W · 51 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Wild20c1,000$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4711…61b3backed Stars1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7327…151abacked Wild16c999$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.167532%24 W · 51 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick26cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Wild36c772.76$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.5331334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2a3…1698backed Stars61c763.08$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.48757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Stars75c725.01$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.261,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2758…66e1backed Stars71c725$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Wild34c699.94$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.966642.4%28 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Wild35c600.63$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.6318136.5%66 W · 115 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60a5…2da4backed Wild34c528.39$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.741136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Stars67c500$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.81,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Stars63c500$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3161,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Wild38c405.23$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.9238040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Wild33c404.92$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.31,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d7b…d15ebacked Stars67c373.13$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37cd…5b44backed Stars54c370$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.8520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-75%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Stars59c350.96$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.0725340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Stars60c334.01$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.431849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Stars67c283.6$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.693,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16cd…c341backed Stars61c272.22$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.81366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x60c5…0feebacked Wild40c268.25$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.95540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Stars61c250$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15373157.5%420 W · 311 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc018…018abacked Wild29c250$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1786752.2%35 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e20…f3e7backed Wild41c246.59$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.595347.2%25 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Stars65c213.73$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.9354349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd445…abf3backed Stars67c208.65$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.512040%8 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc26f…7055backed Stars71c200$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1422373.9%17 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4ed…ce43backed Stars66c200$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x913a…4689backed Wild34c200$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1321100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24fe…e52cbacked Wild35c199.98$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.994440.9%18 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5961…d0d5backed Stars65c190.4$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.45337.7%20 W · 33 L-7.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1d64…b03fbacked Stars71c190$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.91984.2%16 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick67cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8e8c…c206backed Stars59c184.71$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.988633.7%29 W · 57 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Wild39c173.51$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.9372444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5de…8ed4backed Wild35c171.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.432259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x589e…c63ebacked Stars63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004271.4%30 W · 12 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+24.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Stars65c153$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.0623144.6%103 W · 128 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed Stars65c153$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.0611445.6%52 W · 62 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Stars66c150.72$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015456.5%87 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Wild20c142.74$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.1491334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Stars65c125.25$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.0219647.4%93 W · 103 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Stars66c122.73$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.479861.2%60 W · 38 L+0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked Stars65c115$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.364839.6%19 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Wild35c114.29$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.2924945.8%114 W · 135 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x964b…167abacked Wild36c111.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.112050%10 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Stars60c111$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.619150.8%97 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe7e…f37fbacked Wild39c110.26$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.261145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Wild34c101.25$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9926547.5%126 W · 139 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Stars55c100.73$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.428542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Wild33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6781846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Stars63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6350049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9f…624cbacked Wild34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6634032.4%110 W · 230 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc224…cd43backed Wild41c98.05$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.0519057.9%110 W · 80 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2686…7a67backed Stars67c89.83$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609665.6%63 W · 33 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Stars65c86.65$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9347249.2%232 W · 240 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x031e…bbcbbacked Wild38c80.15$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.342100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+117.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x522c…86a4backed Stars63c75.74$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+47.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4820…9243backed Stars67c74.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa188…3fccbacked Stars80c73.46$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.773154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6d9…3535backed Stars62c72.57$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-35.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf7d…0bbcbacked Wild39c64.22$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.172100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+118.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc00a…1a53backed Stars62c61.05$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6223…0671backed Stars61c60.69$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.818237.8%31 W · 51 L-10.1wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-24.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x541e…f6fabacked Stars61c60.33$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.53333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6785…82debacked Stars61c60$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb498…335bbacked Wild40c60$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48e8…0f40backed Wild39c60$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+111.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf665…8708backed Wild41c59.02$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.021233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8c7…9ea4backed Wild38c55.7$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.53666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+35.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed4b…d5cebacked Stars62c55.03$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.12450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb782…70c0backed Stars62c55$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1000…b1a2backed Wild38c55$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.13100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+133.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x10b7…443dbacked Wild37c54.08$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.115100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+114.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa042…bef3backed Stars61c53.96$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ff…349ebacked Wild40c52.98$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.79450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f7b…6d87backed Wild39c52.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.76966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+35.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5714…30fdbacked Stars63c51.97$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.74560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfde1…a1d5backed Stars63c51.89$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.69650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Wild38c51.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1284051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e11…5574backed Wild39c49.52$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+155.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x763e…0476backed Stars61c47.91$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.02666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2644…d131backed Stars67c47.76$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-0.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf93f…ad93backed Wild39c47.39$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.911060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c28…72c2backed Wild40c47.14$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.513100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+97.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f54…0374backed Stars60c46.21$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.73450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45c4…769dbacked Stars63c45.49$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6130%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ed2…e7ccbacked Stars61c45.32$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.81346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7346…f416backed Wild45c44.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.851747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac97…ba57backed Wild41c44.63$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.331637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7be6…0530backed Stars58c44.16$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.431080%8 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+49.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9cf3…c58bbacked Wild40c44.13$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.