NBA · resolved market
Nets vs. Wizards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc78f33a01f718dd593187e9e93f35acd2519f3bf2c205d9658c52f66fc33a743
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Nets, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $559,773
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $568,308
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $559,773 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 485 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Nets | 45c | 56,854$25,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,815.57 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Wizards | 61c | 55,852$34,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,736.08 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards | 44c | 24,746$10,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,899.61 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Wizards | 61c | 17,140$10,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,719.91 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…279fbacked Wizards | 70c | 15,965$11,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,730.06 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Nets | 57c | 15,306$8,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,721.31 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nets | 57c | 14,449$8,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,227.86 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Nets | 48c | 13,080$6,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,305.82 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Wizards | 43c | 12,292$5,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,048.06 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Nets | 44c | 12,042$5,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,293.83 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Wizards | 43c | 11,690$5,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,662.9 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Nets | 48c | 11,504$5,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,549.76 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Nets | 38c | 9,228$3,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,536.55 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Nets | 42c | 8,224$3,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,431.28 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Nets | 60c | 6,712$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Wizards | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d34…b76fbacked Wizards | 41c | 4,500$1,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,654.81 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Wizards | 42c | 4,387$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,547.29 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…d18bbacked Wizards | 42c | 4,111$1,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,384.34 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Wizards | 43c | 3,715$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,117.62 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…3f0ebacked Nets | 60c | 3,596$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Nets | 68c | 3,382$2,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,308.48 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Wizards | 40c | 3,340$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,003.74 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Nets | 51c | 3,113$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.47 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nets | 48c | 2,696$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.21 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Wizards | 41c | 2,574$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.16 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Nets | 39c | 2,568$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Wizards | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59c0…cd82backed Wizards | 41c | 2,300$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8322…fd9bbacked Wizards | 42c | 2,112$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Nets | 58c | 2,089$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.82 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Wizards | 43c | 1,977$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.74 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…20bebacked Wizards | 43c | 1,977$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.74 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Wizards | 40c | 1,875$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.42 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Nets | 35c | 1,803$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.68 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Nets | 47c | 1,777$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.32 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Nets | 46c | 1,729$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.05 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Nets | 58c | 1,717$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Nets | 60c | 1,669$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.45 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Nets | 59c | 1,653$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.68 | 436 | 53.2%232 W · 204 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…2485backed Nets | 58c | 1,502$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.16 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8086…22b7backed Wizards | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 43cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Wizards | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.94 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Nets | 58c | 1,481$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.98 | 81 | 67.9%55 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Nets | 1c | 1,468$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3495…dca1backed Nets | 58c | 1,397$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.17 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4407…8f2bbacked Nets | 51c | 1,367$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.95 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3315…937dbacked Wizards | 42c | 1,338$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.89 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Wizards | 65c | 1,335$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.45 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0445…e4dfbacked Nets | 58c | 1,316$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.14 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Wizards | 70c | 1,300$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.3 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaefb…6a8fbacked Nets | 58c | 1,300$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Nets | 59c | 1,294$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.46 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4422…79aebacked Wizards | 42c | 1,100$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e62…ec52backed Nets | 58c | 1,100$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4329…ba41backed Nets | 40c | 1,089$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.24 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.31per pick | 40cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Nets | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Nets | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Nets | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed Nets | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c72…0946backed Nets | 58c | 999.95$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.97 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…2a60backed Nets | 50c | 962.17$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.8 | 456 | 47.8%218 W · 238 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d9…3bf4backed Wizards | 41c | 907.94$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.69 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9f…a67fbacked Nets | 58c | 899.95$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.97 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Wizards | 40c | 875.18$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.61 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Wizards | 66c | 864.68$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.99 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Nets | 58c | 861.98$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad4…dc12backed Wizards | 32c | 820.48$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.72 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb50…10d7backed Nets | 59c | 786.8$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.21 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67d9…60c9backed Wizards | 40c | 752.59$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cc…59f4backed Wizards | 43c | 750.09$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Nets | 58c | 720.99$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.47 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Wizards | 42c | 687$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.46 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…7559backed Nets | 46c | 686.98$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.6 | 129 | 55%71 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Nets | 58c | 681.88$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.49 | 275 | 46.9%129 W · 146 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Nets | 59c | 668.01$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.13 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Wizards | 50c | 613.73$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.4 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821a…4920backed Wizards | 41c | 600.61$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +124.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Wizards | 42c | 600$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36e4…cde0backed Wizards | 43c | 574.42$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.42 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7da…deb7backed Nets | 58c | 574.14$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed Nets | 59c | 560$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.4 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c3…daecbacked Nets | 59c | 552.54$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…8d05backed Wizards | 43c | 536.3$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.3 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17aa…cb3dbacked Nets | 61c | 524$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1d…1319backed Wizards | 43c | 523.26$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 26cpaid | +185.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Nets | 54c | 521.41$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.56 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Nets | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 208 | 51.4%107 W · 101 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7e…697fbacked Nets | 59c | 512.02$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.09 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadcb…33cebacked Wizards | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…e51bbacked Nets | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +5.0wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9abe…8956backed Nets | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd1…77b7backed Nets | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2d…8a06backed Wizards | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb3…2545backed Wizards | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Wizards | 41c | 499.97$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.98 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977f…b0bdbacked Wizards | 41c | 497.07$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.27 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e8…7599backed Wizards | 43c | 493.02$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +318.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05a8…92aabacked Wizards | 42c | 492$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.36 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Wizards | 58c | 490.69$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.38 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.