TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x05a8…92aa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst NHL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2025, EDT3767.6%25 W · 12 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+87.2%+$34.29
Pistons vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EST+44.9%+$44.39
Lakers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EST+40.8%+$43.36
Magic vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EST-100%-$55.19
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+38.9%+$46.34
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+29.9%+$42.06
Trail Blazers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+26.6%+$33.32
Pelicans vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+31.6%+$39.63
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$144.19
Raptors vs. Magicbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+244.8%+$130
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$21.01
Pistons vs. Jazzbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+29.9%+$40.47
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+26.6%+$31.14
Wizards vs. Heatbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$38.55
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+38.9%+$29.97
Bucks vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$69.59
Wizards vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$121.21
Pacers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+163.2%+$74.55
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$57.98
Spurs vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST+72.4%+$111.52
Nets vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST+138.1%+$285.36
Bulls vs. 76ersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST+170.3%+$52.95
Spurs vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST+85.2%+$107.39
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST-100%-$58.32
Hornets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST-100%-$62.65
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2025, EST2240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blues vs. Kingsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EST-100%-$33.45
Jets vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST-100%-$109.46
Flames vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$115.41
Maple Leafs vs. Penguinsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST+58.7%+$78.16
Maple Leafs vs. Rangersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+85.2%+$72.67
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+75.4%+$34.23
Blue Jackets vs. Red Wingsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST+127.3%+$61.08
Sabres vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST+49.3%+$49.64
Devils vs. Avalanchebacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST-100%-$16.69
Jets vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$101.62
Avalanche vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST-100%-$64.86
Utah vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$47.23
Capitals vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$41.59
Senators vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST-100%-$64.21
Golden Knights vs. Rangersbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST-100%-$59.92
Predators vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+103.1%+$62.17
Islanders vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST-100%-$63.23
Kings vs. Red Wingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST-100%-$63.03
Panthers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST+88.7%+$36.46
Jets vs. Avalanchebacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST+119.4%+$44.89
Senators vs. Rangersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$56.83
Penguins vs. Sabresbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST+110.3%+$106.89
All 22 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 20, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yankees vs. Raysbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$32.08
Marlins vs. Redsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.45
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Feyenoord win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$63.5
Will Atalanta win on 2025-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$74.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST+108.3%+$73.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST+88.7%+$52.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bitcoin all time high by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$16.45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.