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NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Heat

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Heatof Pacers, Heat
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$382,424
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$405,241

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $382,424 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 259 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5c00…a074backed Pacers63c89,850$56,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,605.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb403…06f0backed Heat37c89,850$33,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,605.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Heat43c18,000$7,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,259.9947848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e8…6300backed Pacers63c16,014$10,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,088.543652.8%19 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa84b…5055backed Heat79c15,492$12,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,252.016361.9%39 W · 24 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick72cpaid-13.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Pacers79c14,459$11,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,482.9336057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Pacers41c12,079$5,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,010.5534532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Heat38c11,596$4,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,214.513,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e94…3f94backed Heat44c7,979$3,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,481.551241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Heat37c6,358$2,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,005.5820047%94 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d34…b76fbacked Pacers62c6,000$3,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,719.987860.3%47 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Pacers37c5,850$2,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,150.941,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x850b…b238backed Pacers62c5,504$3,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,412.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Heat40c5,439$2,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,249.2737448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Heat42c5,268$2,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,055.1576249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Pacers51c4,907$2,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,504.1129738.7%115 W · 182 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58a3…279fbacked Pacers36c4,101$1,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,460.67163.4%45 W · 26 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+29.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Pacers60c3,865$2,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,315.1113560.7%82 W · 53 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88db…3843backed Pacers62c3,500$2,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,17017546.3%81 W · 94 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Heat37c3,382$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,126.2477745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x873c…ac48backed Heat38c3,158$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,957.925833.7%87 W · 171 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Heat37c3,002$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,89112540%50 W · 75 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pacers61c2,980$1,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,817.3896447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Heat42c2,793$1,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,619.941,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3603…ac36backed Heat39c2,564$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.111355.8%63 W · 50 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Pacers61c2,402$1,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,475.8636843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f01…4dc0backed Pacers64c2,328$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,49010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfab…3f66backed Heat37c2,324$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,464.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Pacers62c2,280$1,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,417.231,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Pacers42c2,200$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.5272341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Pacers61c2,000$1,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,213.271,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaae…8a95backed Pacers63c2,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,260837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick59cpaid-36.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf8df…2521backed Heat37c2,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2601163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+61.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Pacers13c2,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2601,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Heat45c1,692$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.55,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25f2…edf8backed Heat38c1,627$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.7410643.4%46 W · 60 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked Pacers76c1,546$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,174.5920447.1%96 W · 108 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Heat38c1,525$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.9273051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Pacers38c1,514$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.6870640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa5…f7b9backed Heat41c1,503$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.931225%3 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Heat28c1,500$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0761,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9139…fbc0backed Pacers61c1,475$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.931346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Heat54c1,444$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.5247656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbc3…7e27backed Heat37c1,351$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.35955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x721c…9bfcbacked Pacers59c1,274$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7506347.6%30 W · 33 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Heat39c1,249$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.7219147.6%91 W · 100 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Pacers59c1,208$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.2550245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Pacers51c1,193$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.1988053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked Heat38c1,053$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.6311443.9%50 W · 64 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf08…bfc7backed Pacers68c1,004$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.994557.8%26 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Pacers1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Heat38c1,000$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62033945.1%153 W · 186 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Heat38c985$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.718354.1%99 W · 84 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d51…a3cbbacked Pacers64c937.5$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Pacers43c927.84$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.6920851.4%107 W · 101 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Pacers58c903.23$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.8833931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Pacers1c900$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Heat35c760.8$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.8447229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Pacers2c759$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.845502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad25…7678backed Pacers57c707.14$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.079038.9%35 W · 55 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe742…7559backed Pacers50c700$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35012955%71 W · 58 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Pacers61c679.99$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.791,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Heat38c665.79$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.7920153.7%108 W · 93 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Pacers61c600$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3631,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Heat41c585$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.7750047.2%236 W · 264 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Heat36c558.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.3334524.3%84 W · 261 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Heat41c547.11$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.7957760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed Heat37c540.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.5426124.1%63 W · 198 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39dc…8d05backed Heat38c526.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.3214051.4%72 W · 68 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Pacers58c523.93$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.2585542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ec…6064backed Heat37c516.63$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.4713929.5%41 W · 98 L+0.5wins0.00per pick29cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94eb…37e6backed Pacers58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2905156.9%29 W · 22 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-16.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4e2e…9937backed Pacers64c414.06$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Pacers58c400$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23219149.7%95 W · 96 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Pacers40c374.08$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15093036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03cb…4bf9backed Heat38c371.43$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.4326640.2%107 W · 159 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1aea…abf1backed Pacers28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007857.7%45 W · 33 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2b0…69e9backed Heat67c355.73$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.7324846.4%115 W · 133 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Pacers15c350$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.547535.8%170 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Heat38c348.21$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.891,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Pacers3c342$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.241,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fcc…4b05backed Pacers62c337.22$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b13…2f61backed Heat39c324.37$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.37250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fc4…0bfdbacked Heat61c304.58$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.791457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Pacers63c300$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18940448.3%195 W · 209 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Heat42c300$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1741,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Pacers61c300$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18330351.8%157 W · 146 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Pacers61c300$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18329747.5%141 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Pacers62c300$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18650453.8%271 W · 233 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Pacers34c300$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10131935.1%112 W · 207 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a33…2534backed Heat38c263$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.0610042%42 W · 58 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cd3…9642backed Heat39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.4130354.1%164 W · 139 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a63…7a21backed Heat39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.412100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+134.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x898b…8d76backed Heat59c252.92$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.9217943.6%78 W · 101 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Heat79c252.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.517335.8%62 W · 111 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x19af…4d7ebacked Pacers62c250.81$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.57247.2%34 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Pacers62c243.21$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.7916440.9%67 W · 97 L-11.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Heat43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5689353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6301…657fbacked Pacers59c218.08$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.671172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa14f…00ffbacked Heat37c216.22$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.2213445.5%61 W · 73 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.