TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9139…fbc0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.6
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$444Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$444
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$150.5
Magic vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$455Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+42.9%+$195
Trail Blazers vs. Kingsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$202.22
Lakers vs. Pacersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$572Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$507.6
Bulls vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$579.99
Mavericks vs. Netsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$240
Celtics vs. Trail Blazersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$280
76ers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$394.05
Pelicans vs. Lakersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$14.4
Warriors vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$930Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$929.97
Pacers vs. Heatbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$899.93
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Ducks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$741Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$741
Maple Leafs vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$840Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+78.6%+$660
Utah vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+92.3%+$216
Avalanche vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$10
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$504
Stars vs. Oilersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$343.9
Sabres vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$750
Red Wings vs. Golden Knightsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$494.98
Maple Leafs vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$914.98
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick34cpaid+73.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$759Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+203%+$1,541
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+257.1%+$467.99
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+177.8%+$192
Will West Ham United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$168
Will Everton FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+300%+$202.49
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$273
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$254.8
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,220Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$1,220
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+122.2%+$137.5
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+121.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+163.2%+$930
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+138.1%+$232
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,220Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+63.9%+$779.99
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+121.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
49ers vs. Coltsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,380Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+44.9%+$619.99
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,406Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+170.3%+$2,394
Falcons vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+150%+$37.51
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mets vs. Padresbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$513Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$513
Phillies vs. White Soxbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT+203%+$335
Guardians vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.79
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick36cpaid+150%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-01-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+400%+$200
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$1,020
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+162.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Braga win on 2025-12-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$457Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+162.4%+$742.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$12.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.