NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Predators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6d6e445ee73643fea053acf8cbf545deb7e3a1266ff7272521f699c41a20fe4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Predatorsof Maple Leafs, Predators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $232,815
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $230,147
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $232,815 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc48e…2c02backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 102,518$62,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,535.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ff…6e4fbacked Predators | 39c | 102,500$39,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,525 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5147…c45cbacked Maple Leafs | 62c | 26,652$16,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,580.96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0851…5a31backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 23,372$14,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,550 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Predators | 38c | 17,574$6,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,921.25 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Predators | 38c | 8,420$3,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,224.39 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Predators | 35c | 7,851$2,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,103.12 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Predators | 41c | 7,236$2,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,241.3 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed Maple Leafs | 33c | 6,411$2,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,115.63 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf13…0a9abacked Predators | 67c | 6,395$4,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,110.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 5,677$3,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,196.73 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Predators | 44c | 4,905$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,764.35 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Predators | 39c | 4,689$1,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,878.56 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Predators | 36c | 4,567$1,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940.73 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 4,152$2,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,490.16 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…b2d1backed Predators | 13c | 3,450$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,001.94 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Predators | 42c | 3,000$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,746.91 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…76fabacked Predators | 40c | 2,639$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.61 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Predators | 38c | 2,500$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.02 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 2,150$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.98 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked Predators | 49c | 2,000$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +13.2wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Predators | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Predators | 39c | 1,950$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.5 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4345…77fabacked Predators | 70c | 1,948$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.7 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Predators | 43c | 1,908$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Predators | 39c | 1,892$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.44 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Predators | 38c | 1,578$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.36 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0317…6289backed Predators | 77c | 1,560$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.87 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9139…fbc0backed Predators | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Predators | 40c | 1,348$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.26 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Predators | 39c | 1,342$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.44 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Predators | 38c | 1,252$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.12 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Predators | 38c | 1,088$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.46 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 1,000$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.74 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Predators | 39c | 942.44$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.89 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…f91cbacked Maple Leafs | 62c | 896.36$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Predators | 80c | 832.5$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.5 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ec…240abacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 831.02$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.92 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54df…3449backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 670$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.7 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Predators | 40c | 605.99$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.6 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Predators | 38c | 525$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.5 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +17.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Maple Leafs | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 460.38$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.83 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Predators | 39c | 444$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.84 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1741…cffbbacked Maple Leafs | 62c | 433.11$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d44…b15ebacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 420.65$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.9 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 401.32$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d60…4fa9backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 400$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce34…9d52backed Predators | 41c | 400$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe08d…d5d4backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Predators | 38c | 313$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.03 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…6df6backed Maple Leafs | 13c | 307.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +14%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Predators | 39c | 304.99$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.05 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d50…3b2fbacked Predators | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Maple Leafs | 35c | 284.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Predators | 39c | 276.97$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.95 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d2…fcf1backed Predators | 39c | 249$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.89 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccd…3766backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 249$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb868…a94ebacked Predators | 43c | 230.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.39 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.32per pick | 47cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda3b…0ee3backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 226$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa731…dd3dbacked Predators | 39c | 226$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.86 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7454…f609backed Predators | 39c | 226$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.86 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7e…31d7backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 226$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.86 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Maple Leafs | 39c | 217.17$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.4 | 301 | 55.1%166 W · 135 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 212 | 55.7%118 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Predators | 40c | 165.84$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.92 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…80f2backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 161.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x504a…bc82backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Predators | 39c | 160.18$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.21 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 159.74$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.01 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d52…c840backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5220…4e88backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Predators | 39c | 146$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.06 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dea…8128backed Predators | 40c | 132.5$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 126.4$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.66 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 125$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0532…0b95backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 105.03$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.87 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -5.5wins | -0.24per pick | 50cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Predators | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Predators | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Maple Leafs | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…0775backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 208 | 61.5%128 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 99.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Maple Leafs | 28c | 99.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf07b…60a3backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 88.78$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b2…7c50backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 80.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa343…135bbacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 80.44$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Predators | 39c | 80$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Predators | 38c | 75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.26 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3803…0a69backed Predators | 40c | 74.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.43 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f4…0336backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 74.03$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.58 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef89…73e2backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc4…8c38backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 95 | 67.4%64 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Predators | 39c | 64.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd32d…3c32backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 64.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad93…c030backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…b415backed Predators | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.