TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x792b…0775

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
439
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 52 out of 100; worst World Politics at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2025, EDT20861.5%128 W · 80 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 208 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$27
Hurricanes vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Stars vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$14.07
Hurricanes vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$29.33
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$66
Jets vs. Starsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$66
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.7
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$109.44
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$35.6
Jets vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$19.32
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.42
Lightning vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$42.57
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$28.38
Hurricanes vs. Devilsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.92
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.98
Jets vs. Bluesbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.55
Golden Knights vs. Wildbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.65
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.2
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.9
Wild vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.13
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.1
Devils vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$22.33
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.92
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$15.64
Canadiens vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$14.7
Showing 25 of 208 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT14667.1%98 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 146 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.84
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+149.2%+$68.63
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$40.45
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$10.42
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$24.89
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$66
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+37%+$24.41
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+37%+$28.48
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$35.75
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.65
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.29
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$95.16
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.73
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.12
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.56
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$37.62
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$77.66
Lakers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Twolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$27.06
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$22.44
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.9
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$18.15
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$13.86
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$11.75
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$25.5
Showing 25 of 146 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2025, EDT4158.5%24 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Rockiesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$12.83
Phillies vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$24.89
Rays vs. Royalsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Blue Jays vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Nationals vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Reds vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$44
Yankees vs. Angelsbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$22.93
Nationals vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Rockies vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$9.86
Pirates vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Red Sox vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$24.89
White Sox vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Marlins vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$23.9
Pirates vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$12.38
Dodgers vs. Guardiansbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$13.48
White Sox vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT+36.5%+$8.03
Blue Jays vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Red Sox vs. Brewersbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Rockies vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$6.57
Dodgers vs. Metsbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Yankees vs. Rockiesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$7.73
Padres vs. Bravesbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$14.67
Cubs vs. Redsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$19.51
Rangers vs. White Soxbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$15.93
Orioles vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT234.3%1 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-86.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on April 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.21
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 11°C on April 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 12°C on April 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on April 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.3
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on April 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.92
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.22
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.87
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C or higher on April 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on April 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.1
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on April 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.11
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on April 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.48
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on April 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.6
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.65
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.57
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.24
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.78
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.34
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.22
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+203%+$44.22
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on April 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.87
All 23 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.48
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $2600 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$11.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the EU impose tariffs on the U.S. before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+29.9%+$20.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$9.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$13.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lucknow Super Giants vs. Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.