NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2746fc128268efa23f119acdc528592565de87089368fade1b2aa818169bb13b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Twolvesof Lakers, Twolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,375,625
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,419,198
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,375,625 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 588 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Lakers | 41c | 214,658$87,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,326.24 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Twolves | 60c | 124,502$74,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,800.91 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Lakers | 49c | 118,803$57,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,823.04 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3196…146fbacked Twolves | 47c | 88,667$41,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,038.1 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Twolves | 59c | 79,618$47,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,415.39 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Twolves | 60c | 60,808$36,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,323.35 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…f347backed Lakers | 33c | 60,000$19,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,599.99 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Twolves | 64c | 52,162$33,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,639.54 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Twolves | 64c | 48,763$31,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,500.75 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Twolves | 73c | 48,686$35,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,295.48 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Twolves | 59c | 39,335$23,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,127.34 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Lakers | 39c | 36,866$14,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,538.45 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Lakers | 41c | 36,049$14,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,648.94 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Lakers | 31c | 31,973$10,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,071.06 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Lakers | 41c | 31,600$12,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,960.61 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Twolves | 58c | 31,084$18,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,055.14 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Lakers | 40c | 30,491$12,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,276.53 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Twolves | 61c | 29,118$17,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,333.62 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Twolves | 64c | 27,647$17,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,880.18 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Lakers | 40c | 25,306$10,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,122.54 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Twolves | 64c | 25,235$16,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,075.64 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7e…ce6dbacked Lakers | 41c | 24,390$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.77 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Twolves | 64c | 19,370$12,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,966.08 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Lakers | 47c | 18,511$8,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,700.39 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Lakers | 33c | 18,207$5,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,985.23 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…16f3backed Twolves | 60c | 17,269$10,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,907.55 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Lakers | 35c | 16,927$5,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,973.36 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7c…c933backed Lakers | 23c | 15,971$3,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,649.91 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…dcafbacked Twolves | 60c | 15,602$9,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,270.17 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12bd…730dbacked Twolves | 60c | 15,057$9,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,992.38 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Twolves | 62c | 14,465$8,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,496.61 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Twolves | 61c | 13,226$8,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,151.51 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Lakers | 37c | 13,187$4,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,815.09 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Lakers | 40c | 13,120$5,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,248.09 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…265cbacked Lakers | 40c | 13,043$5,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,162.33 | 44 | 84.1%37 W · 7 L | +9.7wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…3bd9backed Lakers | 41c | 12,236$5,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,016.73 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +8.8wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Twolves | 47c | 10,738$5,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,691.29 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Twolves | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Twolves | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Twolves | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,099.99 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Twolves | 68c | 9,238$6,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,989.76 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Twolves | 72c | 9,036$6,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,553.29 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Lakers | 55c | 8,112$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Lakers | 0c | 8,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Twolves | 60c | 7,963$4,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,185.2 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Lakers | 19c | 7,767$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.58 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Lakers | 41c | 7,460$3,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,058.58 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffec…7a8bbacked Lakers | 40c | 7,450$3,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,004.46 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Lakers | 40c | 6,557$2,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,622.15 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaf…4513backed Twolves | 60c | 5,938$3,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,375.33 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Lakers | 39c | 5,871$2,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,316.61 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xabe9…8826backed Lakers | 39c | 5,231$2,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,063.8 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Twolves | 67c | 5,168$3,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,705.48 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Lakers | 41c | 5,050$2,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Twolves | 70c | 5,025$3,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510.88 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Twolves | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Lakers | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.96 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5d…8e9ebacked Lakers | 41c | 4,581$1,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,878.21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…b991backed Lakers | 37c | 4,446$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.69 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Twolves | 66c | 4,208$2,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.4 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Lakers | 38c | 4,173$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Lakers | 34c | 4,034$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.22 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3375…a8d8backed Lakers | 35c | 4,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Lakers | 41c | 4,000$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,630.08 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 27cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Twolves | 61c | 3,738$2,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.63 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf714…74d6backed Twolves | 56c | 3,565$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.69 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…3a04backed Lakers | 18c | 3,505$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.78 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Twolves | 59c | 3,500$2,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435 | 221 | 37.6%83 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Twolves | 66c | 3,364$2,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.37 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f72…4d8ebacked Lakers | 27c | 3,307$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.88 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…0e7cbacked Lakers | 34c | 3,235$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Lakers | 43c | 3,179$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.7 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…13b6backed Twolves | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.99 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4d75…74a5backed Lakers | 34c | 2,944$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Twolves | 67c | 2,823$1,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.6 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Lakers | 36c | 2,739$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Twolves | 68c | 2,669$1,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.18 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4727…aa86backed Twolves | 60c | 2,633$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Lakers | 40c | 2,501$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.5 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc43e…0141backed Lakers | 41c | 2,432$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Lakers | 33c | 2,432$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.5 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Lakers | 22c | 2,414$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.02 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Twolves | 57c | 2,395$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.13 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…c0e6backed Lakers | 25c | 2,180$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Lakers | 45c | 2,119$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.44 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…f661backed Twolves | 54c | 2,034$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.54 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Twolves | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.99 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Lakers | 1c | 1,986$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Lakers | 39c | 1,905$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.95 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Lakers | 36c | 1,835$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.03 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Lakers | 42c | 1,811$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.31 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Twolves | 58c | 1,725$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.5 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Twolves | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Twolves | 61c | 1,641$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.39 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Lakers | 1c | 1,605$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e0…5e9abacked Lakers | 42c | 1,550$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Lakers | 38c | 1,548$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.3 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Twolves | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Twolves | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Lakers | 6c | 1,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.