MLB · resolved market
Marlins vs. Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xddf5a99f525217db95596de1827a166a8f55a9c693fb7c420f68c4382d9ee68c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Padresof Marlins, Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $143,440
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $139,457
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,440 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf980…6528backed Padres | 58c | 25,907$15,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,880.76 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Marlins | 41c | 25,703$10,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,530.03 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…41a9backed Padres | 61c | 24,401$14,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,632.22 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Marlins | 42c | 11,844$4,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,983.59 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Marlins | 41c | 9,522$3,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,933.56 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Marlins | 28c | 7,725$2,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,173.85 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Padres | 55c | 3,508$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.27 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Padres | 65c | 3,034$1,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.03 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2016…b4bebacked Padres | 76c | 3,019$2,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Marlins | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.99 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Padres | 60c | 2,976$1,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.12 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f84…dd89backed Marlins | 17c | 2,951$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Marlins | 39c | 2,836$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.1 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Marlins | 12c | 2,494$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.31 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Marlins | 39c | 2,096$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.61 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Marlins | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Padres | 59c | 1,816$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.56 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Marlins | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.99 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Marlins | 12c | 1,475$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.54 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Padres | 59c | 1,332$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.95 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Marlins | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa06b…b36ebacked Marlins | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x944a…a9adbacked Marlins | 19c | 1,042$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Marlins | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Marlins | 41c | 974.3$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Padres | 59c | 932$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.12 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Marlins | 42c | 842.77$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.96 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Marlins | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Padres | 55c | 702.94$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.11 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd6…a014backed Padres | 57c | 700$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Marlins | 65c | 665$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.24 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Marlins | 12c | 663.18$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.58 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Marlins | 41c | 658.09$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.82 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d2…cfb1backed Padres | 65c | 650.31$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…5c93backed Marlins | 31c | 647$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.57 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.9wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Padres | 45c | 629.04$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.85 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Padres | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.06 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Marlins | 42c | 600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb58d…818ebacked Marlins | 58c | 584.93$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.08 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Marlins | 48c | 572.2$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.86 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Padres | 66c | 555.49$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.14 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Padres | 68c | 550.3$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.1 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Marlins | 46c | 547.34$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.52 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Marlins | 68c | 518.73$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.74 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Marlins | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…8253backed Padres | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Marlins | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Padres | 71c | 494.11$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.92 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Marlins | 41c | 477.81$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.9 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd33b…4e00backed Marlins | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Marlins | 24c | 425.61$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.24 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29db…ae12backed Marlins | 42c | 411$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.62 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Marlins | 13c | 400$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Padres | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Marlins | 41c | 329.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.29 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Marlins | 42c | 275.59$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.75 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Marlins | 32c | 274.66$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.29 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Padres | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1009…9ad0backed Padres | 59c | 250$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Marlins | 32c | 249.16$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.55 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Marlins | 17c | 248$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.42 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Marlins | 42c | 239.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.47 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Padres | 59c | 237.29$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.29 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Padres | 59c | 203.39$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.39 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Padres | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Padres | 58c | 199.98$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Padres | 31c | 192.13$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.13 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Padres | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9e…3723backed Padres | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Padres | 56c | 162.43$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.47 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Padres | 41c | 158.16$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.13 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Padres | 80c | 150.91$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…f8e7backed Padres | 68c | 148.88$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.64 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Padres | 59c | 144.75$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.35 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…26a2backed Marlins | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1326…522fbacked Marlins | 33c | 136.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Marlins | 44c | 120.45$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc5…2941backed Marlins | 42c | 113.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Marlins | 42c | 109.4$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.95 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Marlins | 59c | 102.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0243…3bc2backed Padres | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Padres | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Padres | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Marlins | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Padres | 53c | 87.13$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.13 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Marlins | 29c | 85.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Padres | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Padres | 60c | 78.7$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Padres | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d651backed Padres | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68d6…8b0ebacked Marlins | 58c | 63.85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a47…a16abacked Padres | 59c | 62.71$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +35%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…c29dbacked Marlins | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5547…ca51backed Marlins | 42c | 61.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Marlins | 42c | 59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…0775backed Padres | 58c | 56.9$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…e7edbacked Padres | 56c | 54.87$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc8…e126backed Padres | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Marlins | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Marlins | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.