TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb0cc…73e6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
262
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2025, EDT14539.3%57 W · 88 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 145 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Reds vs. Red Soxbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.51
Marlins vs. Diamondbacksbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+211%+$806.21
Nationals vs. Angelsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$320
Nationals vs. Padresbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$287.71
Marlins vs. Padresbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$115.75
White Sox vs. Metsbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$184
Yankees vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.64
Marlins vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$476.32
Mariners vs. Astrosbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$370
Brewers vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$229.23
Blue Jays vs. Raysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Orioles vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
Guardians vs. Tigersbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$78.01
Dodgers vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$860Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$859.93
Orioles vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$155
Brewers vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.05
Braves vs. Nationalsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Angels vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$196
Padres vs. Blue Jaysbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Rangers vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+66.9%+$149.8
Angels vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Rangers vs. Yankeesbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$115.5
Padres vs. Blue Jaysbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$242.5
Guardians vs. Twinsbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$419Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+97%+$405.93
Orioles vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$272.12
Showing 25 of 145 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2025, EDT4143.9%18 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Oilersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$481Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$480.57
Oilers vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$89.9
Oilers vs. Starsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$856Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$856.35
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$157.5
Jets vs. Starsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$207.5
Jets vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$123
Golden Knights vs. Oilersbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$698Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$697.83
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$116
Golden Knights vs. Oilersbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$774Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+108%+$835.92
Capitals vs. Hurricanesbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$128
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$86
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$64
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$416Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$415.8
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$122
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$673Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$672.84
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$157.5
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$806Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+238.8%+$1,924.8
Jets vs. Bluesbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$130
Golden Knights vs. Wildbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$100
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT+455.8%+$749.88
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$795Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT+58.3%+$463.67
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$39.3
Golden Knights vs. Wildbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$436.29
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$90.17
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2025, EDT3545.7%16 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$393.85
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$879Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$878.98
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,540Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+183.4%+$2,825.71
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$795Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$794.99
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,367Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,366.93
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$176.01
Over 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$156.78
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$219
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$201
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$87
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$417Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+93.6%+$390.8
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$124
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$972Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+190.6%+$1,852.84
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$69.65
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+400%+$2,478.76
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$262.5
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$1,258.22
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$157.5
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$802Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$801.6
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$659Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$658.52
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$192
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$226.7
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$254.15
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2025, EDT1921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick35cpaid-69.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-05-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$112.32
Will Crystal Palace vs. Wolves end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$340
Will Manchester City win on 2025-05-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$260
Will Manchester City vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.9
Will Brighton vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$242.75
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$144
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$750.18
Will Manchester City win on 2025-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$82.5
Will Wolves win on 2025-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.16
Will Arsenal vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$384
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$380
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$362.13
Will Tottenham win on 2025-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$223.18
Will Leicester vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+25%+$20
Will Liverpool win on 2025-04-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester United win on 2025-04-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
Will Fulham win on 2025-04-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Will Manchester United win on 2025-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
All 19 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-37.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2025, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+37%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Storm vs Lynxbacked Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$170.32
Mystics vs Valkyriesbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$730Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+174%+$1,270
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
IEM Dallas: MOUZ vs. Falconsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$672.02
IEM Dallas: Liquid vs. FaZebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$133.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+164.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tommy Paul vs. Alex de Minaur backed Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+164.5%+$186.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Espanyol beat Barcelona?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$377.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.