NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x485b2b401577dd076584aa75a25dbda92ef62b19fe4a1bc6987a31e30558c5f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $683,117
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $756,692
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $683,117 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 269 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3196…146fbacked Cavaliers | 66c | 101,011$66,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,343.85 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Heat | 34c | 78,991$26,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,856.84 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a56…0a04backed Heat | 33c | 41,060$13,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,549.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Cavaliers | 68c | 39,687$26,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,726.96 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6790…5e06backed Heat | 34c | 38,000$12,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,819.99 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a7…7cebbacked Cavaliers | 67c | 33,950$22,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,203.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Heat | 7c | 30,488$2,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,134.19 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Cavaliers | 66c | 19,056$12,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,507.14 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Heat | 34c | 13,432$4,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,512.58 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Heat | 4c | 11,076$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.63 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Cavaliers | 67c | 10,547$7,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,480.52 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Heat | 3c | 10,450$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.03 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Heat | 44c | 10,339$4,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,549.11 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Heat | 34c | 10,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Heat | 35c | 9,777$3,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,413.54 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…c5b2backed Heat | 0c | 8,900$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Cavaliers | 60c | 8,696$5,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,492.58 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…128ebacked Cavaliers | 67c | 8,000$5,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Heat | 0c | 8,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791b…a810backed Cavaliers | 67c | 7,110$4,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,346.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Heat | 32c | 7,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.98 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Cavaliers | 66c | 6,765$4,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,328.69 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Heat | 11c | 6,440$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.44 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Cavaliers | 56c | 5,354$2,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,355.86 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c59…1862backed Heat | 33c | 5,244$1,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,730.52 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba8…f9f7backed Cavaliers | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Heat | 34c | 4,612$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.94 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Heat | 11c | 4,480$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.8 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Heat | 32c | 4,336$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.5 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Heat | 33c | 4,162$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.33 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Heat | 34c | 4,100$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.97 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Cavaliers | 66c | 4,000$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.99 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Heat | 32c | 3,452$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.79 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Heat | 40c | 3,214$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.66 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Heat | 34c | 3,204$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.36 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Cavaliers | 72c | 3,092$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.81 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf110…5724backed Cavaliers | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb63d…9dd6backed Cavaliers | 67c | 2,844$1,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.52 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…2485backed Heat | 33c | 2,800$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Heat | 19c | 2,652$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.89 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Heat | 39c | 2,646$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.81 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e27…0ee1backed Heat | 4c | 2,564$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Heat | 27c | 2,557$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Heat | 24c | 2,495$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Heat | 2c | 2,461$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Heat | 32c | 2,400$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57fa…dda8backed Cavaliers | 66c | 2,244$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.91 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Heat | 14c | 2,174$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Heat | 17c | 2,113$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.79 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Heat | 12c | 2,035$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.15 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Heat | 20c | 2,018$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.91 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Heat | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Cavaliers | 65c | 1,978$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.2 | 221 | 37.6%83 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Heat | 35c | 1,973$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.65 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Heat | 4c | 1,950$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.98 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Heat | 1c | 1,605$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8222…8b4ebacked Cavaliers | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.78 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…8f37backed Cavaliers | 68c | 1,491$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.06 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x42b2…f8d4backed Heat | 32c | 1,489$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.48 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Cavaliers | 75c | 1,455$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.85 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Heat | 15c | 1,364$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Heat | 31c | 1,292$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.52 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6641…4a1abacked Cavaliers | 68c | 1,260$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.77 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d06…0bf9backed Cavaliers | 67c | 1,175$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Cavaliers | 67c | 1,166$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.78 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Cavaliers | 67c | 1,098$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.35 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Cavaliers | 67c | 1,014$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.57 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Cavaliers | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Cavaliers | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cavaliers | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1288…a806backed Cavaliers | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Heat | 32c | 985.96$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.51 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Heat | 32c | 911.84$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.79 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Cavaliers | 67c | 898.09$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.37 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…4b79backed Heat | 37c | 897.14$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…97bebacked Heat | 34c | 888$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.92 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Heat | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf714…74d6backed Cavaliers | 68c | 808.82$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.82 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cavaliers | 60c | 796.27$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.41 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Cavaliers | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Cavaliers | 66c | 748.98$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.65 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Cavaliers | 65c | 700$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Cavaliers | 66c | 698.87$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.62 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Cavaliers | 67c | 658.62$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.26 | 333 | 48.9%163 W · 170 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Cavaliers | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 561 | 54.5%306 W · 255 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Cavaliers | 66c | 522.99$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.82 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Cavaliers | 67c | 522.39$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.39 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Cavaliers | 66c | 500.01$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Heat | 9c | 499.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 122 | 22.1%27 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Cavaliers | 67c | 499.96$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.99 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x411c…e9c0backed Heat | 7c | 479.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 107 | 24.3%26 W · 81 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Heat | 28c | 468.2$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.19 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Cavaliers | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 347 | 47%163 W · 184 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…dfaabacked Cavaliers | 67c | 443.6$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.39 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…16fbbacked Cavaliers | 62c | 415$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.39 | 178 | 46.1%82 W · 96 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Cavaliers | 66c | 409.48$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.23 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Cavaliers | 66c | 406.34$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.16 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Heat | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…96e4backed Heat | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | +7.8wins | +0.15per pick | 17cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Cavaliers | 65c | 391.46$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.66 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.