NHL · resolved market
Oilers vs. Stars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e0d879731fd71a5b860e5f1b978af04fbd38c2ba1ed79f04ef155177aef94e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oilersof Oilers, Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $788,722
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $775,962
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $788,722 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 865 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Stars | 40c | 150,683$60,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,710.19 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Stars | 52c | 81,214$41,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,839.16 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93fc…34b6backed Stars | 52c | 67,500$35,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,099.99 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Oilers | 66c | 60,000$39,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,400 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Oilers | 60c | 56,756$34,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,688.05 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Stars | 53c | 47,051$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Oilers | 48c | 44,915$21,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,578.77 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Oilers | 48c | 43,210$20,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,469.07 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Oilers | 48c | 37,821$18,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,766.74 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ad…337dbacked Oilers | 48c | 30,417$14,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,918.47 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Stars | 53c | 22,271$11,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,728.48 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Oilers | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Stars | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Oilers | 47c | 19,169$9,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,077.75 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed Stars | 5c | 19,156$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.29 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Oilers | 48c | 12,831$6,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,671.97 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Oilers | 47c | 12,010$5,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,365.26 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Oilers | 47c | 10,400$4,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,557.87 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5248…aabbbacked Oilers | 47c | 9,998$4,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,298.98 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Stars | 1c | 9,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7e…ce6dbacked Stars | 52c | 8,888$4,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,621.76 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.36per pick | 48cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Oilers | 65c | 8,473$5,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,936.77 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Oilers | 48c | 8,145$3,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,265.61 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Stars | 49c | 8,003$3,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,929.99 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc642…565ebacked Stars | 4c | 7,522$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.72 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Stars | 51c | 7,473$3,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,811.13 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Oilers | 48c | 7,030$3,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,676.65 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Oilers | 47c | 6,774$3,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,560.47 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Oilers | 48c | 5,083$2,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,643.93 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccba…0ce8backed Stars | 2c | 5,038$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.83 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Oilers | 48c | 4,319$2,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,245.92 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d6…c0f4backed Stars | 52c | 4,200$2,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,184 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Stars | 53c | 3,998$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119.62 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Stars | 52c | 3,720$1,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,934.27 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…9996backed Stars | 0c | 3,650$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa203…56e8backed Oilers | 48c | 3,250$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Oilers | 48c | 3,009$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.78 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Oilers | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Stars | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Stars | 53c | 2,893$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.06 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Oilers | 52c | 2,543$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.44 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf032…4456backed Oilers | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Oilers | 47c | 2,458$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.13 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Oilers | 47c | 2,200$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Oilers | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.84 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe168…0f95backed Oilers | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1d…13e3backed Oilers | 48c | 2,085$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3339…48a5backed Stars | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Oilers | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2eb…9b76backed Oilers | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.95 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Stars | 3c | 1,983$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…ccbbbacked Oilers | 48c | 1,958$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Oilers | 78c | 1,819$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.06 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b3…4ca9backed Stars | 52c | 1,712$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Oilers | 49c | 1,621$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.45 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e2…c67fbacked Stars | 4c | 1,607$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Oilers | 63c | 1,575$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a8…be6ebacked Stars | 52c | 1,538$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Oilers | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Stars | 6c | 1,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.9 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Stars | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x083a…c64dbacked Stars | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec2…10dabacked Stars | 52c | 1,453$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8f…9e4dbacked Oilers | 48c | 1,425$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…957dbacked Stars | 52c | 1,300$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa72…1e52backed Stars | 52c | 1,225$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb39…ed7abacked Oilers | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Stars | 52c | 1,155$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.64 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ad…9e0cbacked Stars | 52c | 1,119$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3d…41f3backed Stars | 52c | 1,096$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a91…65a6backed Stars | 14c | 1,091$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783f…631bbacked Oilers | 48c | 1,079$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aea…afe5backed Oilers | 48c | 1,075$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.39 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.38per pick | 52cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Oilers | 49c | 1,062$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.3 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…8253backed Oilers | 48c | 1,050$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Oilers | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0c…2512backed Oilers | 48c | 1,004$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Oilers | 46c | 1,002$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.08 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Stars | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd6…a014backed Oilers | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d97…6fd3backed Oilers | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…d69cbacked Stars | 52c | 981$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe920…5ee7backed Stars | 52c | 981$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7e…7bb1backed Stars | 52c | 978$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f01…6f56backed Stars | 52c | 977$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Oilers | 48c | 970$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.4 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Oilers | 48c | 945$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.4 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb472…9145backed Stars | 52c | 923$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6de4…aa6dbacked Stars | 52c | 900$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6713…3878backed Oilers | 62c | 899.99$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.99 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505e…7ddabacked Oilers | 48c | 896$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.92 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Oilers | 49c | 888$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.88 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf19f…9084backed Oilers | 48c | 871$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ae…a897backed Stars | 52c | 854$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Oilers | 48c | 842.85$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.28 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Oilers | 66c | 829.57$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.57 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Oilers | 49c | 815$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.65 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Stars | 9c | 812.8$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.41 | 140 | 12.9%18 W · 122 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked Stars | 37c | 810.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Stars | 52c | 800$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.