TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6713…3878

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
109
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Golf, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Golf at 53 out of 100; worst NHL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT5966.1%39 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brownsburg: Stefan Kozlov vs Harry Wendelkenbacked Stefan Kozlov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
Brownsburg: Joel Schwaerzler vs Andres Andradebacked Andres Andrade · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.02
Cincinnati Open: Simona Waltert vs Petra Marcinkobacked Petra Marcinko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.62
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Hanne Vandewinkel vs Rebecca Sramkovabacked Hanne Vandewinkel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.58
Cincinnati Open: Darja Vidmanova vs Anhelina Kalininabacked Darja Vidmanova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.52
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Camila Osoriobacked Camila Osorio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.85
Cincinnati Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Kimberly Birrellbacked Kamilla Rakhimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.01
Todi: Nicolas Kicker vs Thomas Faurelbacked Nicolas Kicker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.9
Hamburg: Andrej Nedic vs Carlos Tabernerbacked Andrej Nedic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.87
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatekbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.01
Plovdiv 2: Gabriele Piraino vs Carlos Sanchez Joverbacked Gabriele Piraino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+37%+$8.06
National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.46
Lexington: Spencer Johnson vs Andres Martinbacked Andres Martin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.56
Lexington: Andre Ilagan vs Sebastian Gorznybacked Andre Ilagan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.03
National Bank Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$11.96
Lexington: Rei Sakamoto vs Edas Butvilasbacked Edas Butvilas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$7.73
Lexington: Abedallah Shelbayh vs Dusan Lajovicbacked Dusan Lajovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.11
National Bank Open: Iva Jovic vs Alina Korneevabacked Alina Korneeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$9.21
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Joel Schwaerzler vs Ilya Ivashkabacked Joel Schwaerzler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.44
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Michele Ribecai vs Andrea Guerrieribacked Michele Ribecai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.5
Lexington: Spencer Johnson vs Jay Dylan Friendbacked Spencer Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.35
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Madison Keysbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.32
Lexington: Rei Sakamoto vs Michael Mmohbacked Rei Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.86
National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Juncheng Shangbacked Juncheng Shang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.69
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2025, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$175
Hurricanes vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$310
Stars vs. Oilersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Hurricanes vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$420
Oilers vs. Starsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$558Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$341.99
Jets vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,755Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+88%+$1,545
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$735Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$735
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$224.99
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+100%+$500
Jets vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$360
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$38
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$164.99
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$720
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$72.5
Avalanche vs. Maple Leafsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$194
Red Wings vs. Senatorsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
All 18 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2025, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick25cpaid+42.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$340.54
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$66
All 3 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveirabacked Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
UFC 317: Royval vs. Vanbacked Royval · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
UFC 317: Dariush vs. Moicanobacked Moicano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GELO drop another Billboard top 100 hit in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+257.1%+$28.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will xAI have the top AI model on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$156
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+100%+$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Duke win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$101.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.