TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Oilers vs. Golden Knights

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Oilersof Oilers, Golden Knights
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$598,173
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$644,146

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $598,173 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 832 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4259…936fbacked Golden Knights52c99,971$51,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,493.52330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Oilers48c39,790$19,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,690.844848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Golden Knights53c39,185$20,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,690.8610745.8%49 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Golden Knights29c25,178$7,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,185.5517448.9%85 W · 89 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5248…aabbbacked Oilers49c24,835$12,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,690.935147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7adc…9856backed Golden Knights56c24,093$13,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,489.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f2…5495backed Oilers51c22,248$11,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,847.684151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Oilers51c20,667$10,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,152.385843.1%25 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7988…9619backed Oilers46c16,189$7,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,742.062334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Golden Knights51c15,143$7,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,782.692646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f86…0fa0backed Oilers50c13,972$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,971.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa320…8232backed Oilers50c13,014$6,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,530.222161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Golden Knights56c12,762$7,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,100.6411441.2%47 W · 67 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Golden Knights52c12,605$6,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,5003844.7%17 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Oilers46c11,180$5,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,986.941,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Oilers46c9,999$4,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,432.5431546.3%146 W · 169 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Golden Knights52c9,634$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.8537738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Oilers47c9,590$4,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,082.4536242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc84…3e67backed Oilers49c8,934$4,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,536.824852.1%25 W · 23 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5fb…84b5backed Oilers52c8,578$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,078.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fad…1d0abacked Golden Knights48c8,279$3,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,973.96714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick37cpaid-67.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Golden Knights46c8,104$3,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,750.751,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x35f0…d29ebacked Oilers49c7,385$3,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,783.22742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Golden Knights51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,55039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe25b…0f1bbacked Oilers50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5001855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Oilers46c4,199$1,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,255.6466951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbbf…dbf5backed Golden Knights56c4,106$2,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,285.951136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-34.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6919…5effbacked Golden Knights54c4,022$2,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,172.033040%12 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Oilers50c3,995$1,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,997.399750.5%49 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Golden Knights47c3,990$1,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,892.911,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Golden Knights49c3,880$1,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,913.411,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Oilers45c3,556$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,955.872847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9fb…1d77backed Oilers47c3,500$1,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Golden Knights54c3,453$1,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,854.3730549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Oilers50c3,275$1,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,632.171952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Oilers46c3,274$1,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,761.8716645.8%76 W · 90 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Oilers44c3,271$1,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,847.7392848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc91a…c6b8backed Oilers47c3,261$1,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,713.381942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Oilers46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6201,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Golden Knights52c2,825$1,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,482.981,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0814…1f30backed Oilers47c2,800$1,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fdc…0771backed Oilers53c2,790$1,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.861225%3 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-46.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Golden Knights54c2,752$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50027958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb63…33d8backed Golden Knights54c2,600$1,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,403.99666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+44.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Golden Knights47c2,520$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1853,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Oilers50c2,509$1,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.8242751.1%218 W · 209 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda0f…2c70backed Oilers47c2,500$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Oilers48c2,500$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3004050%20 W · 20 L+6.0wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+29.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9f93…39a1backed Oilers46c2,500$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,350966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1331…3d82backed Golden Knights54c2,370$1,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,276.257163.4%45 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf35…b5eabacked Golden Knights52c2,331$1,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,22311445.6%52 W · 62 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ccf…a574backed Oilers47c2,300$1,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,218.98250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Golden Knights52c2,150$1,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,11832251.9%167 W · 155 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Oilers52c2,134$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.314844.6%66 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74f9…d5f3backed Oilers47c2,100$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1132100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+99%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Oilers48c2,046$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.8328842%121 W · 167 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2b8…9cafbacked Oilers49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0201050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b5…0e50backed Oilers47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0601100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xada8…b670backed Oilers47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0601100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c77…b194backed Oilers46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0801100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c73…2949backed Oilers47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Golden Knights49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9809942.4%42 W · 57 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd8a2…3b96backed Oilers51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1006…e4a6backed Oilers47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0601100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Golden Knights52c2,000$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,044.5797651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa97b…388dbacked Golden Knights54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.751361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+23.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Golden Knights54c1,987$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0707659.2%45 W · 31 L+7.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+29.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe0d…18ddbacked Oilers47c1,900$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0071100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60fe…a7e0backed Golden Knights53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa93d…36cabacked Oilers47c1,800$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Golden Knights17c1,705$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.22339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd319…b3f9backed Golden Knights53c1,613$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cc1…6375backed Golden Knights53c1,611$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4946…e041backed Oilers53c1,585$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.5612462.9%78 W · 46 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed Oilers51c1,572$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.19742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-24.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ed0…77f7backed Oilers47c1,500$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.994438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57cf…137cbacked Oilers49c1,403$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Golden Knights52c1,311$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.7154418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5287…09bdbacked Golden Knights53c1,302$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Golden Knights46c1,298$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.852,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75aa…58f1backed Golden Knights56c1,256$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7002544%11 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6391…bc1cbacked Golden Knights55c1,252$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.366144.3%27 W · 34 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed Golden Knights52c1,235$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.292751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe22…cd4ebacked Golden Knights53c1,198$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.9430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ff4…5a2dbacked Golden Knights53c1,189$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29a8…be6ebacked Golden Knights53c1,168$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.0430%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x703b…e4d0backed Golden Knights53c1,132$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Golden Knights52c1,126$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.7584051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Oilers50c1,097$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.5812556.8%71 W · 54 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x696d…fae5backed Golden Knights53c1,062$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa581…45b2backed Oilers48c1,043$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.8713158.8%77 W · 54 L+8.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x86ae…a071backed Golden Knights53c1,038$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb25…ce36backed Golden Knights53c1,038$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb111…03aebacked Golden Knights53c1,038$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe168…0f95backed Golden Knights53c1,019$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.07250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b6…cd1abacked Golden Knights54c1,019$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.2620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce4d…a7fabacked Oilers48c1,012$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.9925555.3%141 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8efa…7b51backed Golden Knights53c1,004$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.1220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Golden Knights1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6713…3878backed Oilers50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.