NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Panthers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac068c4633299a2bb347fc4e36999f2dfb688a5c6fc6fce7d4dc537af9862f39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panthersof Maple Leafs, Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $353,022
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $362,430
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $353,022 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 309 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Maple Leafs | 35c | 64,573$22,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,746.46 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Maple Leafs | 33c | 44,329$14,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,493.69 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Panthers | 65c | 40,584$26,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,391.89 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Panthers | 64c | 33,333$21,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,999.85 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5248…aabbbacked Maple Leafs | 36c | 32,221$11,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,599.56 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Panthers | 70c | 28,812$20,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,583.07 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Panthers | 64c | 22,236$14,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,027.66 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Maple Leafs | 37c | 14,312$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 13,889$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Panthers | 67c | 13,502$9,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,430.19 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Panthers | 72c | 13,406$9,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,766.63 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Panthers | 65c | 12,164$7,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,280.57 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Panthers | 64c | 11,568$7,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,119.91 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x928e…0f5cbacked Panthers | 63c | 9,996$6,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,698.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5107…f1fdbacked Maple Leafs | 37c | 9,996$3,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,698.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 9,012$3,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,244.31 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4940…0de1backed Panthers | 63c | 8,920$5,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300.4 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Panthers | 78c | 8,638$6,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,931.4 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Panthers | 75c | 8,442$6,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120.04 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Panthers | 64c | 8,294$5,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,996.32 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Maple Leafs | 35c | 7,000$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,459.97 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Maple Leafs | 16c | 6,250$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Panthers | 64c | 6,208$3,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,234.99 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Maple Leafs | 27c | 6,045$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610.17 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Panthers | 64c | 6,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Panthers | 65c | 5,584$3,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,981.32 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad71…4c93backed Maple Leafs | 37c | 5,245$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940.65 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 5,053$1,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,802.47 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Maple Leafs | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Maple Leafs | 23c | 4,658$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.1 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Panthers | 65c | 4,615$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.25 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Panthers | 63c | 4,077$2,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.4 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Maple Leafs | 35c | 3,713$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.48 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Panthers | 64c | 3,671$2,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.52 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Maple Leafs | 19c | 3,008$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.93 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Panthers | 64c | 2,653$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.33 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…ca8dbacked Maple Leafs | 37c | 2,555$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.35 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698a…e498backed Maple Leafs | 6c | 2,076$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 2,050$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7988…9619backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Maple Leafs | 6c | 2,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Panthers | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.98 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Maple Leafs | 17c | 1,771$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.47 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Panthers | 71c | 1,679$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.62 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Maple Leafs | 18c | 1,676$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Panthers | 62c | 1,674$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.85 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Maple Leafs | 32c | 1,650$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.5 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -12.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 1,555$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.84 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Panthers | 64c | 1,514$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.72 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Maple Leafs | 28c | 1,502$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb608…ebdfbacked Maple Leafs | 9c | 1,500$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Panthers | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.99 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Panthers | 65c | 1,480$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…61bcbacked Maple Leafs | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Panthers | 72c | 1,348$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.88 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3bd…43d3backed Maple Leafs | 26c | 1,340$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa78d…e8cbbacked Maple Leafs | 2c | 1,325$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Maple Leafs | 20c | 1,252$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.49 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Maple Leafs | 29c | 1,243$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.81 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3451…49a5backed Maple Leafs | 27c | 1,158$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Maple Leafs | 22c | 1,136$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…6925backed Maple Leafs | 37c | 1,120$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.4 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…eb07backed Maple Leafs | 20c | 1,064$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.36 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 1,054$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.88 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccba…0ce8backed Maple Leafs | 7c | 1,024$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…1592backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 999.99$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Panthers | 64c | 999.99$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.99 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…48a9backed Panthers | 78c | 948.25$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.5 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +9.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Panthers | 74c | 877.47$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.37 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5413backed Maple Leafs | 28c | 872.24$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.03 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Maple Leafs | 24c | 836.73$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.58 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Maple Leafs | 20c | 775$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x188d…6583backed Maple Leafs | 27c | 736.95$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe528…1511backed Maple Leafs | 21c | 705.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0111…0463backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 694.44$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x666e…d5d7backed Maple Leafs | 31c | 648.15$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…96e4backed Maple Leafs | 20c | 634.11$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Maple Leafs | 35c | 627.77$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.72 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6159backed Panthers | 65c | 613.85$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.85 | 88 | 70.5%62 W · 26 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…52a8backed Maple Leafs | 16c | 606.92$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.11 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Maple Leafs | 14c | 600$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 103 | 1%1 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 569.68$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.08 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa068…9574backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 558.33$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 427 | 51.1%218 W · 209 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 554.04$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.49 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Panthers | 68c | 551$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.76 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14d3…d6c6backed Maple Leafs | 26c | 547.23$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…b82fbacked Maple Leafs | 37c | 539.84$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbf…dbf5backed Maple Leafs | 24c | 535.88$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.61 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Maple Leafs | 37c | 518.68$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.35 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba8…61b7backed Maple Leafs | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…acb6backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Maple Leafs | 17c | 498.13$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.08 | 140 | 12.9%18 W · 122 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Panthers | 63c | 445.27$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.75 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3539…b17bbacked Panthers | 75c | 421.81$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.08 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…26a2backed Panthers | 67c | 418.23$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeae9…0710backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 418.08$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Maple Leafs | 22c | 400$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.37 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.