TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 Open Championship?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$466,458
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$461,240

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $466,458 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes30c201,819$59,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141,914.472718.5%5 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No35c53,806$18,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,576.691533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+76.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed No26c51,721$13,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,353.555133.3%17 W · 34 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe411…04c5backed No41c21,090$8,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,587.364540%18 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a0…c3b9backed Yes62c18,338$11,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,895.57933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x61bf…647ebacked No80c17,599$14,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,006.54450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes25c15,946$3,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,017.76316.5%2 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick12cpaid-81.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes16c14,670$2,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,373.09917.7%7 W · 84 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-76.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Yes62c13,937$8,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,311.641540%6 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed No41c13,459$5,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,565.223444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-26.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b60…76d5backed Yes45c12,570$5,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,967.553545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Yes15c12,000$1,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,205.07650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+93.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c1e…0cd2backed No31c11,627$3,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,593.4190%0 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked No59c10,203$6,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,020.351833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-46.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes51c9,363$4,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,580.964955.1%27 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked No41c8,814$3,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,654.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes68c7,330$4,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,346.533525.7%9 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-49.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Yes62c7,305$4,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,759.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e16…c77dbacked No45c6,523$2,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,920.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c54…da75backed No43c6,037$2,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,595.71633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-57.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2424…3b61backed Yes55c3,636$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,636.35520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-63.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed No54c3,471$1,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,874.663411.8%4 W · 30 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-80.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No67c3,248$2,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,168.33540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-46.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Yes64c2,516$1,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.02742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd347…5205backed Yes75c2,186$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.63560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d6f…482cbacked No58c2,031$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8db6…da81backed No57c2,009$1,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150.85316.5%2 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick19cpaid-58.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No75c2,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-35.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes15c1,989$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,690.844918.4%9 W · 40 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes38c1,974$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.9510850%54 W · 54 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6dff…e1bdbacked Yes57c1,760$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.663517.1%6 W · 29 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-61.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Yes28c1,509$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.51225%3 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-45.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No10c1,449$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.6914043.6%61 W · 79 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+1.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Yes75c1,400$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3491741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-33.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No41c1,081$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.123319.3%45 W · 188 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-31.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Yes60c1,075$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Yes15c1,025$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870.88425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+66.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6713…3878backed No27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick25cpaid+42.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75b1…e2e8backed No50c953.38$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.6920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe65f…a749backed No43c945$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.12140%0 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6ab…ecf7backed No13c908.75$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12040%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed No31c900$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2791428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-48.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No3c862.81$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.042953.7%11 W · 284 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-73.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes54c799.99$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick25cpaid+103.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcc9…4534backed No78c795.9$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.91837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.28per pick66cpaid-45.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4b7a…4817backed No43c733.41$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.02633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5445…4e0bbacked Yes22c720.7$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.452100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+205.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c1f…62f3backed Yes15c706.15$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+561.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa20…fd0dbacked No72c679.97$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.55425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid+21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f5…dab4backed Yes30c678.3$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.48650%3 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+153.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0102…e4d2backed Yes16c669.06$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.013823.7%9 W · 29 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No48c667.49$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.614035%14 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa15a…49aebacked Yes15c666.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.671414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick9cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cad…ca89backed Yes15c666.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.67922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick26cpaid+17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c4…501bbacked Yes59c594.15$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.03425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-57.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96ac…633bbacked Yes14c580$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.8425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick10cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No63c568.45$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.195341.5%22 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No15c558.89$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.46633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x454c…bd22backed No16c545.99$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Yes29c502.89$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.654916.3%8 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-35.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked No17c500$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked No43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2151827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-47.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b6a…3134backed No72c500$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x562b…dc09backed No72c487.5$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351425%1 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick72cpaid-67%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x80f7…0d6fbacked No60c451.69$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x09cb…b1b6backed Yes15c420.87$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.74250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+233.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Yes56c418.91$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.234748.9%23 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4243…35d1backed Yes73c408.79$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes31c400$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.93429.4%10 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+87.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf86c…ba99backed No42c400$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20d7…7f5cbacked Yes79c400$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-74.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ee1…9801backed No17c394.12$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673411.8%4 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick22cpaid-80.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed No22c350$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7720%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcebd…3769backed No68c339.53$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Yes15c315.33$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.03250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick9cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fc7…969bbacked No4c300$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f55…74dabacked Yes68c295.92$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-50.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed No13c271.35$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.36504%2 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick8cpaid-62.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Yes55c250$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.661030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-52.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5387…c91ebacked Yes21c240.01$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.431227.4%9 W · 113 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-42%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No29c204.74$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.744520%9 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05df…3efebacked Yes17c201$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+491.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x383d…a9f2backed No72c200$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda58…7ba8backed No42c200$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.52236.4%8 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8cc…7b16backed Yes79c169.89$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7918…b683backed Yes72c167.67$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f20…086abacked No73c146.55$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.32850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x350e…6539backed Yes58c141.52$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.84728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-42.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a61…1787backed Yes39c134.85$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.911010%1 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-74.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6ec…1dadbacked No77c129$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.63333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-41.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bf8…ba0dbacked Yes16c125$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick7cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb55…1564backed No21c121.75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+61.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd881…ea25backed No43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd5a…f7a4backed No55c115$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.2560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Yes19c113.94$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.85450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+82.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8803…8ddfbacked Yes47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa518…41e3backed No49c101$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.49887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick62cpaid+38.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb28a…6d4abacked Yes51c101$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.49812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick38cpaid-75.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa16f…fdcabacked Yes15c100$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd02…60e0backed Yes15c100$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+72.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.