TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Tommy Fleetwood win The 2025 Open Championship?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,403
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$30,720

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,403 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd80e…fbabbacked Yes4c8,373$328 inLost-$32820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9700…0e70backed Yes3c3,250$110 inLost-$110.540%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes3c3,075$92 inLost-$92.2523319.3%45 W · 188 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-31.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0495…c68fbacked Yes4c1,300$51 inLost-$50.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe65f…a749backed Yes4c1,000$40 inLost-$40140%0 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85cf…51e8backed Yes4c984.27$40 inLost-$40175.9%1 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-80.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes4c724.17$25 inLost-$25.352953.7%11 W · 284 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-73.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8039…6b4bbacked Yes4c502.99$20 inLost-$20128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick16cpaid-87.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bf8…ba0dbacked Yes4c500.13$20 inLost-$20714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick7cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5387…c91ebacked Yes3c440$14 inLost-$14.321227.4%9 W · 113 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-42%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda58…7ba8backed Yes3c400$12 inLost-$12.32236.4%8 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe80f…b6b9backed Yes4c366.59$15 inLost-$1530%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Yes4c324.1$13 inLost-$12.6430%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4274…ba73backed Yes4c280$10 inLost-$10.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5543…4195backed Yes4c268.5$11 inLost-$10.7450%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa518…41e3backed No56c101$57 inWon+$44.44887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick62cpaid+38.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb28a…6d4abacked Yes44c101$44 inLost-$44.44812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick38cpaid-75.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd3d5…5dcbbacked Yes20c50$10 inLost-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.