TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Robert MacIntyre win The 2025 Open Championship?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,574
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,133

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,574 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc0f3…759dbacked Yes3c15,437$480 inLost-$48070%0 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed Yes3c10,000$290 inLost-$290.372611.5%3 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick8cpaid-23.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes3c2,814$71 inLost-$70.8490%0 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb907…63f2backed Yes3c1,100$31 inLost-$30.8128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-56.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9538…83a6backed Yes6c983.88$60 inLost-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5387…c91ebacked Yes3c630$17 inLost-$16.981227.4%9 W · 113 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-42%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes3c621.49$17 inLost-$17.16812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7ac…c208backed Yes3c517.24$15 inLost-$15425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-57.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes3c484$15 inLost-$152953.7%11 W · 284 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-73.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f54…ba15backed Yes3c402$11 inLost-$10.8510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e6…e838backed Yes5c200$10 inLost-$10633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.