TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc0f3…759d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
23
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: MLB, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 52 out of 100; worst Golf at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 29, 2025, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open: Priscilla Hon vs Ann Libacked Hon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$6,583Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,583.19
US Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Jan Lennard Struffbacked Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$5,812Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,812.35
US Open: Ben Shelton vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT+416.4%+$10,408.41
US Open: Marketa Vondrousova vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$4,508Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,508.23
US Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,569Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT+186.3%+$4,785.56
US Open: Elena Rybakina vs Emma Raducanubacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$945Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT+60.5%+$572.03
US Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,199Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,199.36
ATP Kitzbuhel – Bublik vs. Shevchenkobacked Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,097Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,096.73
Swiss Open: Kym vs. Cazauxbacked Kym · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,096Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,095.51
Wimbledon: Alcaraz vs. Fritz backed Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,104.1
Wimbledon: Draper vs. Cilic backed Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,993Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,992.61
All 11 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Aug 24, 2025, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$629Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$629.48
Astros vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$1,240.2
Royals vs. Marlinsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$595Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$595.34
Giants vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$309.92
Red Sox vs. Cubsbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$138.6
All 5 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.