Tennis · resolved market
Swiss Open: Kym vs. Cazaux
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38ec23ef03eae127bf4c710160ef6208ef07a97cbe2d4af15536eed59fbbf3c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cazauxof Kym, Cazaux
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,896
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,979
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,896 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0f3…759dbacked Kym | 21c | 5,111$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.51 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Kym | 37c | 3,064$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.47 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…8250backed Cazaux | 79c | 3,002$2,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.45 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Kym | 48c | 1,149$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.45 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…5c93backed Cazaux | 50c | 1,094$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.18 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Cazaux | 52c | 1,033$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.64 | 122 | 31.1%38 W · 84 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Kym | 32c | 850.05$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.94 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Kym | 47c | 564.17$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.16 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Kym | 20c | 553.57$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.89 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Kym | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Cazaux | 53c | 490.36$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.47 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Cazaux | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 296 | 36.8%109 W · 187 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Cazaux | 69c | 346.63$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.56 | 312 | 55.4%173 W · 139 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed Cazaux | 55c | 333$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.85 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Cazaux | 66c | 311$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.8 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Kym | 51c | 298.82$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 154 | 39.6%61 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Cazaux | 53c | 263.85$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.01 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Kym | 46c | 218.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.17 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Kym | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Kym | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Cazaux | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.99 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cazaux | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed Cazaux | 58c | 180$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc559…ac69backed Cazaux | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Kym | 38c | 155$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Kym | 44c | 107.14$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.14 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Cazaux | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Cazaux | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Cazaux | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Kym | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e9…ed08backed Cazaux | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33ee…6198backed Cazaux | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53d…c0debacked Cazaux | 61c | 59.51$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kym | 29c | 56.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Cazaux | 54c | 55.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…f540backed Cazaux | 65c | 55.38$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed Kym | 30c | 46.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Kym | 45c | 44.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9e…f0f9backed Kym | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe913…1a90backed Cazaux | 54c | 37.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Cazaux | 66c | 36.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Cazaux | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06c6…4162backed Cazaux | 60c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Cazaux | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Cazaux | 51c | 26.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Kym | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…cb45backed Cazaux | 66c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.