TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfa9e…f0f9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
111
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT4753.2%25 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Angels vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Cardinals vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Rockies vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$7.89
Dodgers vs. Giantsbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Angels vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Reds vs. Athleticsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Rockies vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$13.33
Rays vs. White Soxbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
Rockies vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+32.2%+$9.67
Red Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Brewers vs. Rangersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Nationals vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Cubs vs. Bravesbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Orioles vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Giants vs. Rockiesbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$19.7
Braves vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Dodgers vs. Piratesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Marlins vs. Nationalsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Braves vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
Giants vs. Rockiesbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$43.45
Angels vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
White Sox vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Marlins vs. Nationalsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Braves vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT2965.5%19 W · 10 L+3.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+32.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Raptors vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Nets vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Mavericks vs. 76ersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Magic vs. Netsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Kings vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+117.7%+$52.99
Warriors vs. Grizzliesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$37.14
Raptors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Magicbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Nets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Jazz vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Hornets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Hawks vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT+237.7%+$71.3
Nets vs. Wizardsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 22, 2025, EDT1968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chiefs vs. Giantsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
Cowboys vs. Bearsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Bengals vs. Vikingsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Texans vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Falcons vs. Panthersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Chargers vs. Raidersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Buccaneers vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Falcons vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Giants vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Jaguars vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Titans vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+25%+$6.25
Texans vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Panthers vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Giants vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Steelers vs. Jetsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$18.1
Bengals vs. Brownsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Cardinals vs. Saintsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+37%+$7.4
Chiefs vs. Chargersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Cowboys vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
All 19 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+56.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$42.5
Swiss Open: Kym vs. Cazauxbacked Kym · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Sep 9, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jordan win on 2025-09-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Will Sri Lanka win on 2025-09-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Sep 3, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Georgia vs. Tennesseebacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Clemson vs. Georgia Techbacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solana all time high before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will XRP reach $3.50 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US add between 0 and 25k jobs in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+400%+$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silvabacked Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+203%+$60.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Sep 10, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+64.6%+$16.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como win on 2025-09-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford backed Canelo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.