TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Giants vs. Rockies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Giantsof Giants, Rockies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$170,892
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$199,141

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,892 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1117…3532backed Giants58c37,188$21,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,618.9960451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Rockies11c11,955$1,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,270.971,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Rockies42c11,888$4,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,992.9630255.6%168 W · 134 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Rockies42c10,383$4,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,360.8635952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Giants57c9,653$5,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,150.738043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Rockies18c8,402$1,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,494.1878445.3%355 W · 429 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockies42c8,400$3,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5281,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Rockies43c7,733$3,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,325.319649.5%97 W · 99 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefaa…0af8backed Rockies3c5,368$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.681258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Giants56c5,048$2,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,210.4443949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe973…7338backed Rockies43c5,021$2,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,159.021566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+47.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Rockies44c4,444$1,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,955.341,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x532f…83ccbacked Giants57c3,815$2,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,640.457548%36 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89f8…3a79backed Giants69c3,315$2,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.661735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-37.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Giants60c3,245$1,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,303.691,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rockies21c3,241$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.369,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Giants57c2,879$1,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.688549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Rockies43c2,436$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.4838949.1%191 W · 198 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rockies41c2,045$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.341,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Giants80c2,040$1,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.629255.4%51 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Rockies1c2,000$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222242.7%6 W · 218 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick7cpaid-64.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Rockies42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.9771751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c3c…5c56backed Rockies24c1,880$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.82934.5%10 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-34.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Rockies43c1,860$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.81,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Giants58c1,728$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.795648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Rockies42c1,601$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.4150843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Rockies12c1,285$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.2620747.8%99 W · 108 L-11.6wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed Rockies43c1,244$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.9111947.9%57 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x351b…4d06backed Rockies44c1,227$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54012939.5%51 W · 78 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Giants58c1,141$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.388852.3%46 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rockies43c1,020$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.351,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Rockies1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Giants57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43083248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Rockies2c934.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.855852.1%12 W · 573 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Rockies19c933.27$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.628530.6%26 W · 59 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6148…acadbacked Rockies42c931$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.0224547.3%116 W · 129 L+21.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Giants63c800$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29613359.4%79 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Rockies45c784.31$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.9470946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Rockies21c722.06$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.026,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf647…7911backed Rockies44c700$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3081850%9 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Giants57c685.76$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.882,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rockies17c657$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.3212,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Rockies42c632.99$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.8544443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Giants58c578$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.7626650.8%135 W · 131 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Rockies42c576.9$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.351347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Rockies4c554.73$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2811553%61 W · 54 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+38%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Giants56c535$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.41,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Rockies24c527.11$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.3576456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Rockies42c518$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.5663152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Rockies42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21040152.4%210 W · 191 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e86…93c2backed Rockies43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2152948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked Giants55c499.98$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.9932651.5%168 W · 158 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Giants57c426.93$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.5817243%74 W · 98 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Rockies43c400$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1723,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Rockies42c400$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1709842.9%42 W · 56 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Giants56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1456351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Rockies42c350.21$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.094341.9%18 W · 25 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Rockies45c350$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.518649.5%92 W · 94 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Giants55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13530151.5%155 W · 146 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4201…f6edbacked Giants58c258.62$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.623345.5%15 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2cd3…1174backed Rockies18c239.67$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1219052.6%100 W · 90 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Giants58c224.14$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1499951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Rockies9c216$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.446,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Rockies11c201.82$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.280955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xffc3…8fffbacked Rockies21c190.48$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Giants56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.572,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a88…fd7fbacked Giants56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5712558.4%73 W · 52 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Giants58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4151953.2%276 W · 243 L-24.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Rockies32c164.86$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.714,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Giants63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7317355.5%96 W · 77 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1a8…3b1fbacked Rockies26c152.46$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6410459.6%62 W · 42 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x81d6…bec9backed Giants57c140.35$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.356149.2%30 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3088…ec44backed Rockies15c137.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204040%16 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cf3…2b57backed Rockies12c130.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156341.3%26 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Rockies18c127.77$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc655…8467backed Giants56c110.99$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8424351.4%125 W · 118 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa9e…f0f9backed Giants58c103.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.454753.2%25 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked Rockies44c101.68$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.741,07846.3%499 W · 579 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Rockies19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1945732.2%147 W · 310 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Rockies42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8643…85b2backed Giants56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447553.3%40 W · 35 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e4d…67a5backed Giants56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4412352.8%65 W · 58 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b4…cacabacked Giants80c95.99$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.27140.8%29 W · 42 L-8.9wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-27.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4e9c…95a1backed Giants56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2940144.1%177 W · 224 L-17.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b79…14edbacked Giants57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.72450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91a7…cac6backed Giants58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2110948.6%53 W · 56 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Rockies41c72.2$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.61,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f2d…e348backed Rockies43c70$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.118159.1%107 W · 74 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked Rockies43c63.51$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3166250.2%332 W · 330 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c90…f36cbacked Giants64c62.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.522958.5%134 W · 95 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Rockies43c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.825548.6%124 W · 131 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Rockies43c58.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2525954.1%140 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Rockies37c57.35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2270841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa50a…1e42backed Giants58c51.93$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.81333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x618c…4215backed Giants58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.721855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Giants59c50.8$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8323248.3%112 W · 120 L-13.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Rockies43c49.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.535245.5%160 W · 192 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Giants56c49$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.562,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2000…df78backed Giants58c48.28$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.284843.8%21 W · 27 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a66…5b12backed Rockies43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014450.7%73 W · 71 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.