TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe973…7338

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
45
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: MLB, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 59 out of 100; worst La Liga at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+47.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$5,164Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,164.43
Padres vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,508Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$1,392
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,760Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$3,240
Rangers vs. Diamondbacksbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,101Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$2,901.74
Mariners vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,719Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$1,651.3
Orioles vs. Padresbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,062Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$2,967.69
Phillies vs. Brewersbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$579Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$832.49
Braves vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,650Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$2,350
Giants vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,159Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,159.02
Angels vs. Astrosbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,102Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,102.1
Athletics vs. Cardinalsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,113Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$2,918.55
White Sox vs. Twinsbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$616Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$1,005.63
Guardians vs. Red Soxbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$530.19
Brewers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$7,489Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,488.5
Padres vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,779Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$3,219.54
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$7,507Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+100%+$7,506.65
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT+100%+$22
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,110Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$1,890
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$694Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$694.32
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,010Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$990
Mavericks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,449Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$1,100.5
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,200
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$820Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$820
Suns vs. Spursbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,141Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$1,141.14
Grizzlies vs. Pacersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$856Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$855.57
Hornets vs. Nuggetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$280
Clippers vs. Bucksbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$918Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$918
Magic vs. Hawksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$636Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST+88.7%+$564
All 14 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2025, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+54.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+56.2%+$10.8
Senators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$1,600
Devils vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$6,118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$3,013.56
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,680Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$1,319.94
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,080
Sweden vs. USAbacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+177.8%+$1,280
All 6 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alabama A&M vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluffbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$810Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$810
Lamar vs. Northwestern Statebacked Lamar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+108.3%+$520
Jackson State vs. Bethune-Cookmanbacked Jackson State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$705Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+112.8%+$795
Alcorn State vs. Florida A&Mbacked Alcorn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$154.4
Northern Iowa vs. Murray Statebacked Murray State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$585Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$585
All 5 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
49ers vs. Ramsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$2,333.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win on 2025-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$6.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mercury vs. Acesbacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$4,004Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,003.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Notre Dame vs. Miamibacked Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$521Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$520.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$103.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.