Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Alcorn State vs. Florida A&M
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d28da4015770d7ef6bb44cd6c183fd0292bd9d15343fff7ed7132fa1edf9724
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Florida A&Mof Alcorn State, Florida A&M
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,090
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,746
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,090 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Alcorn State | 38c | 1,007$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.76 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Florida A&M | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd99b…8e5abacked Florida A&M | 61c | 724.79$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Alcorn State | 39c | 439.62$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.49 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcf…d6a9backed Florida A&M | 60c | 386$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe973…7338backed Alcorn State | 40c | 386$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f69…e82bbacked Florida A&M | 50c | 271$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…f310backed Florida A&M | 61c | 254.1$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.1 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Alcorn State | 42c | 238.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Alcorn State | 42c | 204.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Alcorn State | 17c | 142.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Alcorn State | 44c | 126$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Florida A&M | 56c | 123.35$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.34 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2283…5fa5backed Alcorn State | 50c | 123$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Alcorn State | 40c | 115.55$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.04 | 104 | 29.8%31 W · 73 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88bb…1dbfbacked Alcorn State | 50c | 104$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…6525backed Florida A&M | 50c | 104$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +103.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Alcorn State | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x003e…3a12backed Florida A&M | 50c | 93$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…13ecbacked Alcorn State | 50c | 84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7059…5754backed Florida A&M | 50c | 82$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…7915backed Alcorn State | 50c | 74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05c…25afbacked Alcorn State | 50c | 72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f63…e682backed Florida A&M | 50c | 66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf8…7183backed Alcorn State | 50c | 64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae5…9596backed Alcorn State | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…4784backed Florida A&M | 50c | 58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Florida A&M | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc10…da6ebacked Alcorn State | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Alcorn State | 39c | 49.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee4c…ea13backed Alcorn State | 50c | 43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…1c52backed Florida A&M | 61c | 40.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc43…bf16backed Alcorn State | 51c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8323…3786backed Alcorn State | 53c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…a03bbacked Alcorn State | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ab…6ee3backed Florida A&M | 48c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…8643backed Florida A&M | 70c | 28.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1c…809ebacked Florida A&M | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +151.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cf…dd8dbacked Alcorn State | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…f29abacked Florida A&M | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a80…9dbfbacked Florida A&M | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd85a…259bbacked Alcorn State | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa77d…c3c1backed Alcorn State | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee8…b97abacked Florida A&M | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b8a…b428backed Alcorn State | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7524…f145backed Alcorn State | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.