NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Grizzlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b442ab870754d6042a8cb8f269dbf97e88bedfbf479296eeffcfdb130924ca5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Mavericks, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,476,505
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,459,549
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,476,505 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 434 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Mavericks | 0c | 279,578$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.31 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f1…9357backed Grizzlies | 70c | 153,000$107,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,900 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd9…901abacked Mavericks | 30c | 151,941$45,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,582.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Mavericks | 26c | 78,935$20,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,869.35 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Grizzlies | 68c | 70,000$47,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,099.95 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Grizzlies | 68c | 54,452$36,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,589 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8136…ff77backed Mavericks | 31c | 52,820$16,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,374.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6818…72d1backed Grizzlies | 69c | 52,246$36,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,196.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Mavericks | 24c | 43,779$10,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,702.54 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Mavericks | 33c | 42,620$13,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,956.09 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa745…c20fbacked Mavericks | 31c | 38,266$11,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,862.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Grizzlies | 67c | 37,331$24,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,372.72 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Mavericks | 32c | 35,438$11,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,340.02 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd189…c895backed Grizzlies | 69c | 35,300$24,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,943 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…3cc1backed Mavericks | 31c | 31,980$9,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,913.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Mavericks | 32c | 29,689$9,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,479.41 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8c…6ac2backed Grizzlies | 69c | 29,150$20,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,036.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Mavericks | 13c | 28,128$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,779.71 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Mavericks | 7c | 27,312$1,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,891 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Mavericks | 31c | 25,978$8,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,053.15 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Grizzlies | 77c | 24,405$18,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,582.91 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Mavericks | 5c | 19,095$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.31 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Grizzlies | 79c | 17,072$13,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,589.04 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Grizzlies | 68c | 15,932$10,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,042.6 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12bd…730dbacked Grizzlies | 68c | 15,232$10,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,939.97 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd95a…4844backed Mavericks | 0c | 15,160$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.77 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Grizzlies | 74c | 13,785$10,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,630.55 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Mavericks | 1c | 13,501$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Mavericks | 32c | 11,956$3,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,862.4 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8171…8e32backed Mavericks | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Grizzlies | 68c | 10,110$6,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,264.91 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5019…7d1fbacked Grizzlies | 70c | 10,001$7,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…0357backed Grizzlies | 70c | 10,001$7,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbc…52dabacked Grizzlies | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +250.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…e4cfbacked Grizzlies | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000.05 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d56…c0d8backed Grizzlies | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Mavericks | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.98 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7382…dafcbacked Mavericks | 30c | 9,998$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bdb…8eb1backed Mavericks | 30c | 9,993$2,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,997.85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b47…2f60backed Mavericks | 30c | 9,993$2,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,997.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc066…672dbacked Mavericks | 30c | 9,993$2,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,997.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3c…8e95backed Mavericks | 30c | 9,992$2,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,997.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Mavericks | 5c | 9,172$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.62 | 224 | 30.8%69 W · 155 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Grizzlies | 69c | 9,059$6,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,834.46 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Mavericks | 13c | 8,220$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.06 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Mavericks | 28c | 8,181$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Mavericks | 31c | 7,000$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,169.94 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Mavericks | 14c | 6,999$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.86 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Grizzlies | 68c | 6,500$4,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,110 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2543…71b2backed Grizzlies | 69c | 6,377$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,976.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad5…ac2ebacked Mavericks | 6c | 5,909$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Grizzlies | 71c | 5,767$4,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672.34 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Grizzlies | 69c | 5,633$3,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766.81 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Mavericks | 27c | 5,409$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Mavericks | 2c | 5,000$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Mavericks | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 424 | 34.4%146 W · 278 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda93…f09cbacked Mavericks | 31c | 4,964$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,538.91 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Grizzlies | 67c | 4,848$3,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.02 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee63…07a4backed Mavericks | 29c | 4,793$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.36 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c70…232abacked Mavericks | 31c | 4,728$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Mavericks | 16c | 4,410$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.5 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Mavericks | 8c | 4,320$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.17 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9c…48c4backed Mavericks | 0c | 4,277$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed Grizzlies | 67c | 4,228$2,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.24 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -8.4wins | -0.17per pick | 70cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Grizzlies | 70c | 4,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Mavericks | 32c | 4,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…6179backed Mavericks | 5c | 4,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41ba…dfbbbacked Grizzlies | 69c | 3,640$2,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.77 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Mavericks | 2c | 3,611$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.1 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe973…7338backed Grizzlies | 69c | 3,550$2,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98fd…b575backed Mavericks | 31c | 3,522$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.82 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Mavericks | 32c | 3,500$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…d6c9backed Mavericks | 32c | 3,431$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda79…db5ebacked Mavericks | 7c | 3,418$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Mavericks | 30c | 3,345$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.88 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda87…4e9bbacked Mavericks | 30c | 3,223$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.09 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Mavericks | 34c | 3,158$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.87 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69d4…6775backed Mavericks | 33c | 3,061$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.94 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Grizzlies | 69c | 3,023$2,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.78 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mavericks | 19c | 3,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb370…9f2bbacked Mavericks | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Mavericks | 33c | 2,980$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.4 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb571…effdbacked Grizzlies | 67c | 2,854$1,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.83 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies | 77c | 2,795$2,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.64 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ed…3cc4backed Mavericks | 5c | 2,754$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.06 | 113 | 40.7%46 W · 67 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Mavericks | 15c | 2,629$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Mavericks | 34c | 2,576$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Mavericks | 33c | 2,559$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.4 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…e86bbacked Mavericks | 12c | 2,536$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7490…f3efbacked Mavericks | 6c | 2,479$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.83 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb993…c0f5backed Mavericks | 31c | 2,455$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Grizzlies | 69c | 2,201$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.28 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Grizzlies | 68c | 2,186$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.77 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Mavericks | 31c | 2,100$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Mavericks | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb8…43f6backed Mavericks | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc824…f574backed Grizzlies | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Grizzlies | 69c | 2,000$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.25 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Grizzlies | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.99 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf5…6638backed Mavericks | 10c | 1,970$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.