MLB · resolved market
Padres vs. Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1b0ad35c5e6c2f8398ae5cd41eedba0c2d69869674ba4d9e7082664866848a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Twinsof Padres, Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $549,714
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $554,085
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $549,714 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 279 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Twins | 55c | 380,782$207,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173,027.37 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Padres | 45c | 190,691$85,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85,810.95 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Padres | 50c | 56,363$28,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,346.53 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Padres | 45c | 36,874$16,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,593.22 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Twins | 54c | 28,094$15,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,923.44 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Twins | 50c | 24,214$12,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,210.31 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Padres | 46c | 22,000$10,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,120 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Padres | 46c | 22,000$10,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,120 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Padres | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,200 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Padres | 47c | 15,957$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Padres | 46c | 13,690$6,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,297.4 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Padres | 45c | 12,600$5,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,670 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Twins | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Padres | 43c | 9,485$4,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,115.12 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Padres | 46c | 8,889$4,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,088.77 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Twins | 56c | 7,615$4,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,332.93 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Padres | 45c | 7,500$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Padres | 46c | 7,170$3,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,298.2 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe973…7338backed Twins | 54c | 6,999$3,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,219.54 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Twins | 59c | 6,045$3,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,506.29 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Padres | 47c | 5,555$2,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,610.85 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Twins | 53c | 5,180$2,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,434.6 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Padres | 46c | 3,330$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.65 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres | 46c | 2,853$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.45 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Padres | 18c | 2,800$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Padres | 47c | 2,698$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.68 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Padres | 29c | 2,602$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.79 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Padres | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Padres | 46c | 2,124$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.99 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Padres | 5c | 1,853$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Padres | 46c | 1,543$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.99 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Twins | 51c | 1,471$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.79 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…ca28backed Twins | 55c | 1,302$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.04 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Padres | 47c | 1,295$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.61 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Padres | 46c | 1,111$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.06 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Twins | 55c | 1,047$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.98 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Padres | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Padres | 48c | 990.12$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.26 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Twins | 54c | 841.12$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.01 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Twins | 52c | 831.95$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.34 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Padres | 46c | 807.6$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.72 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Padres | 2c | 642.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Padres | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Padres | 46c | 580.06$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.83 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Padres | 47c | 553$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.91 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Padres | 46c | 550$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Padres | 47c | 538$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.65 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Padres | 40c | 522.22$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.02 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Padres | 47c | 519.47$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.15 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Twins | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Twins | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…93c2backed Padres | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Padres | 18c | 493.94$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.18 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92ed…82c6backed Padres | 35c | 470$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.4 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…47c1backed Padres | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -10.5wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Twins | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.5 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Twins | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Padres | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Twins | 79c | 363.85$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.1 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Padres | 46c | 350$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Twins | 66c | 335.27$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.02 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Padres | 46c | 324$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.04 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Twins | 50c | 315.05$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.03 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Padres | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Padres | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Padres | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Padres | 47c | 249.48$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.25 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Padres | 45c | 221.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Padres | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Twins | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +30%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Twins | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd0…7efcbacked Padres | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…e142backed Padres | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8381…ebcfbacked Padres | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…78e3backed Padres | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc94…72debacked Twins | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb290…27c5backed Padres | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…cdf1backed Twins | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb523…0d72backed Twins | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef2…220bbacked Twins | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc213…f12bbacked Twins | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…ed7bbacked Padres | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2916…bb5bbacked Padres | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…f24dbacked Twins | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf50e…b539backed Padres | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e00…c26cbacked Twins | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab5…dce6backed Twins | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8be8…7066backed Twins | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe91a…5145backed Twins | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…5d65backed Twins | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02a6…050cbacked Twins | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…2522backed Padres | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f3…94d4backed Twins | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5581…12e8backed Twins | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c7…c60fbacked Padres | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa308…46aebacked Padres | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc26…1430backed Padres | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3161…661fbacked Padres | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe736…6b50backed Padres | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x479b…64e9backed Twins | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Padres vs. Twinsthis page
- Padres vs. Twins: O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.