TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Liverpool win on 2025-04-20?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$255,203
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$320,259

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $255,203 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x038d…d484backed No22c56,820$12,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,465.05540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+74.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f5b…d411backed Yes70c21,060$14,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,3181100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed No20c20,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.9913829%40 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0269…128ebacked Yes80c17,226$13,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,445.132556%14 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Yes76c15,330$11,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,638.384766%31 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Yes80c9,468$7,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,893.53658.3%21 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No20c7,990$1,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,597.9422744.5%101 W · 126 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No17c7,615$1,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,331.9979650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed No20c7,517$1,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,497.5921445.8%98 W · 116 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No31c6,697$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,079.8938645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3550…68b6backed No5c5,772$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.885413%7 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x178e…76f7backed No20c5,478$1,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,095.62231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed No20c5,258$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.723240.6%13 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+39.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed No21c5,242$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.6320744%91 W · 116 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd3cf…a5d4backed Yes71c4,699$3,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,362.581070%7 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda93…f09cbacked No20c4,325$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No30c4,190$1,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,236.917745.8%81 W · 96 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b6b…68eebacked No20c3,020$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6042454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+43.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No19c2,941$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.8340640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked No19c2,602$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.4711454.4%62 W · 52 L+8.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x41ba…dfbbbacked Yes80c2,500$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001580%12 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+38.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked No19c2,212$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.285650%28 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No23c2,209$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49832037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes79c2,126$1,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.2612053.3%64 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes80c2,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40056453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed No21c2,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4103718.9%7 W · 30 L-7.0wins-0.19per pick38cpaid-63.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc824…f574backed No21c2,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.9940%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xabe9…8826backed Yes70c1,717$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.9540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No18c1,706$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.5883459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf1b…7b78backed Yes80c1,625$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-48.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36f7…b122backed Yes79c1,475$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3151100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Yes60c1,347$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.861241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7322…bb35backed Yes79c1,300$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.93366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes71c1,233$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.9227024.8%67 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes66c1,105$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.5129044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63d5…cc5ebacked Yes79c1,080$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.91540%6 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb49…43febacked Yes79c1,009$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.347963.3%50 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7592…b5cbbacked Yes80c897.18$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.442867.9%19 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-0.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff7b…52a8backed Yes80c855.5$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes80c800$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16044939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No37c780.42$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.1337652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked No19c776.73$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.589255.4%51 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc560…1fc1backed Yes80c700$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-68.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes80c660$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13227752%144 W · 133 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Yes80c625$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1254440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed No19c537.47$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.8214953.7%80 W · 69 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ba8…f9f7backed Yes57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.322245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6e6…79b5backed Yes80c516.07$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.214372.1%31 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8773…302fbacked Yes80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe742…7559backed Yes80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1005253.8%28 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No37c476.29$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.9934251.8%177 W · 165 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes58c460$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.2569772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x34a2…b10bbacked No19c416$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.04837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-43.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Yes80c378.09$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.627835.9%28 W · 50 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb43c…d43bbacked Yes74c350$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904055%22 W · 18 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f8c…462cbacked Yes74c337.84$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x716a…f358backed Yes70c327.53$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e5…18f4backed Yes73c311.28$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.052070%14 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c43…b289backed Yes80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6012149.6%60 W · 61 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+95.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5444…bbdabacked Yes78c272.66$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.661136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick59cpaid-39.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8896…7d78backed Yes77c261.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.33666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83d…3324backed Yes80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502544%11 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x194f…3d95backed Yes80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5026054.2%141 W · 119 L+1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43f3…1712backed Yes80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42e2…0b39backed Yes70c242.86$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.86450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+35.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x89f6…4e9cbacked Yes80c215.64$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.13540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-47.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6828…75f4backed Yes80c209.13$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3814754.4%80 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed No21c200$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.218752.9%99 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b9…7726backed No20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x235c…8c1abacked Yes74c190.23$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.721353.8%7 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a05…7afdbacked Yes80c187.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.52965.5%19 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c8c…1428backed Yes80c187.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes80c186.66$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.3332737.6%123 W · 204 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75a2…8e7cbacked No21c181.86$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.19520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-64.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8362…c1b6backed Yes79c181.67$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.15450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2798…3d88backed Yes67c169.99$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569436.2%34 W · 60 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0a…4fe1backed No18c166.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3017…b0f1backed Yes79c161.9$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-57.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a85…a1bdbacked Yes80c150.73$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.156346%29 W · 34 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc430…3c45backed Yes66c150$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid-25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89b3…6ed8backed Yes80c142.5$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.56177%47 W · 14 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick68cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f14…b199backed Yes80c134.36$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.87757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2a4…8935backed No20c125.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.03333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Yes79c125$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.253545.7%16 W · 19 L-7.2wins-0.21per pick66cpaid-38.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xf0e6…1a7abacked No21c122.38$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.730%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3e4…7268backed No20c122.3$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+35%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No21c120$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.240135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44ab…a5dabacked Yes80c113.95$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.795100%5 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+45.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa2fa…4d49backed Yes80c109.43$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.896350.8%32 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6705…8184backed Yes70c103.1$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.594850%24 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2032736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2392…0d4bbacked Yes66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-13.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cc…73e6backed No20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick35cpaid-69.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked No19c95$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.055444.4%24 W · 30 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xef9f…425ebacked Yes80c87.5$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.57659.2%45 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2453…28e2backed Yes58c86.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4325637.9%97 W · 159 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c36…c074backed Yes80c81.71$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.34771.4%5 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick71cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd95b…188ebacked Yes80c81.33$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.27757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.