TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd95b…188e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
57
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sao Leopoldo: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Juan Manuel La Sernabacked Felipe Meligeni Alves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.03
Bucharest Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Alex Molcanbacked Gabriel Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.89
Naples: Daniel Altmaier vs Enrico Dalla Vallebacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+37%+$23.09
Alicante: Jan Choinski vs Roman Safiullinbacked Jan Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.95
Miami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegulabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.27
Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Karen Khachanovbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$5.85
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Iva Jovic vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+81.8%+$15.45
US Open: Elena Rybakina vs Marketa Vondrousovabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.09
ATP Cincinnati - Khachanov vs. Brooksbybacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$8.21
Will Jack Draper win the 2025 Madrid Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.48
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.42per pick58cpaid-71.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Anadolu Efes vs. Virtus Bolognabacked Anadolu Efes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+53.8%+$8.1
Olimpia Milano vs. Olympiacos B.C.backed Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10.83
Euro Basket: Estonia vs Portugalbacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+150%+$17.17
Euro Basket: Sweden vs Montenegrobacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.69
All 4 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Predators vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+69.5%+$11.04
Lightning vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$50.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$21.02
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$26.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pisa SC vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+29.9%+$33.51
Will Inter win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Le Havre AC vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Gaimin Gladiators - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$39.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 12, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sun vs Valkyriesbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$3.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Inter Milan vs. Fluminense: 3+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$27.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Reds vs. Piratesbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$157.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$59.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-11-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$26.51
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.