Euroleague · resolved market
Anadolu Efes vs. Virtus Bologna
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec5a1a2298768762cef8af8e88f0f70dc6dea43f0256530302074dc425c09591
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Anadolu Efesof Anadolu Efes, Virtus Bologna
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,345
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,345 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Anadolu Efes | 63c | 1,666$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.59 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Virtus Bologna | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Virtus Bologna | 9c | 1,161$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.74 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b2…2983backed Virtus Bologna | 37c | 1,011$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Anadolu Efes | 62c | 856.34$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.2 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Anadolu Efes | 63c | 719.42$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.19 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…6b8abacked Virtus Bologna | 16c | 610.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Anadolu Efes | 71c | 499$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.71 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Virtus Bologna | 35c | 496$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.42 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…7a4ebacked Virtus Bologna | 12c | 420.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Virtus Bologna | 12c | 352.91$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.04 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Virtus Bologna | 35c | 199.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 114 | 55.3%63 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Anadolu Efes | 65c | 194.6$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18b…51b9backed Virtus Bologna | 36c | 194.44$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Anadolu Efes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Virtus Bologna | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Virtus Bologna | 26c | 118.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…8ad7backed Anadolu Efes | 65c | 103.78$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd824…8d96backed Virtus Bologna | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Virtus Bologna | 35c | 99.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Anadolu Efes | 64c | 95.37$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.33 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed Virtus Bologna | 36c | 86.08$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Virtus Bologna | 34c | 82.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Anadolu Efes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Anadolu Efes | 76c | 76.36$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…1848backed Anadolu Efes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Virtus Bologna | 42c | 75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Anadolu Efes | 65c | 74.56$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Virtus Bologna | 37c | 68.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Anadolu Efes | 68c | 62.14$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…64e1backed Anadolu Efes | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Anadolu Efes | 63c | 58.86$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Virtus Bologna | 35c | 58.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaadd…637dbacked Virtus Bologna | 44c | 50.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Anadolu Efes | 66c | 49.43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe40c…074abacked Virtus Bologna | 27c | 46.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Anadolu Efes | 65c | 46.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Virtus Bologna | 29c | 44.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc494…db1dbacked Virtus Bologna | 37c | 36.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…2dcfbacked Anadolu Efes | 65c | 30.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbf…06d3backed Anadolu Efes | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f4…966fbacked Anadolu Efes | 66c | 26.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb571…effdbacked Anadolu Efes | 65c | 25.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4289…3df1backed Anadolu Efes | 65c | 23.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd95b…188ebacked Anadolu Efes | 65c | 23.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb447…8582backed Anadolu Efes | 65c | 22.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fd…1596backed Anadolu Efes | 65c | 21.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd0…6f8cbacked Anadolu Efes | 65c | 21.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Anadolu Efes | 64c | 18.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa388…511fbacked Anadolu Efes | 65c | 15.77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c0…5baabacked Anadolu Efes | 65c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.