TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa388…511f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
138
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Tennis, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 61 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT3281.3%26 W · 6 L+5.6wins+0.17per pick64cpaid+27.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Tennis — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bordeaux: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Quentin Halysbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$16.66
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$43.24
Bordeaux: Benjamin Bonzi vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.4
Elena Rybakina vs. Jessica Pegula: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+56.6%+$56.71
Miami Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$83.34
Miami Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.29
Miami Open: Linda Noskova vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.89
Miami Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.88
BNP Paribas Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Marton Fucsovicsbacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$42.59
BNP Paribas Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+25%+$8.53
Thionville: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Jan Choinskibacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+51.5%+$11.6
BNP Paribas Open: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Sebastian Baezbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+38.9%+$6.3
Brasilia: Gustavo Heide vs Daniel Galanbacked Gustavo Heide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+53.8%+$25.92
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Benjamin Bonzi vs Jack Pinnington Jonesbacked Benjamin Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+92.3%+$145.67
Thionville: Justin Engel vs Giulio Zeppieribacked Giulio Zeppieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+61.3%+$38.18
Kigali: Florent Bax vs Gabriele Pennafortibacked Florent Bax · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+31.6%+$14.97
Kigali: Jonas Forejtek vs Luka Mikrutbacked Luka Mikrut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+51.5%+$16.38
Kigali: Andrej Martin vs Filip Jianubacked Filip Jianu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+40.8%+$9.24
Rio Open: Joao Fonseca vs Ignacio Busebacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$49.2
Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Karen Khachanovbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+56.3%+$17.71
Wang vs. Jones: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+37%+$24.52
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Andrey Rublev vs Yibing Wubacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+48.6%+$11.28
Open de Moselle: Daniel Altmaier vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+156.4%+$22.18
Chengdu Open: Marcos Giron vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$57.2
US Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Beatriz Haddad Maiabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$4.56
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT2572%18 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+35.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$46.49
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$208.95
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+203%+$170.89
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+100%+$23.88
Grizzlies vs. Magic: 1H O/U 117.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+97.6%+$136.12
Knicks vs. Mavericksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+35.1%+$9.95
Bulls vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.59
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$465.22
Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$22.39
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$84.06
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$47.96
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$8
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$5.62
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$13.29
Clippers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$23.2
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST-100%-$10.63
Nets vs. Hornetsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+132.6%+$47.46
Trail Blazers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$130.92
Spurs vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST+47.8%+$40.73
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST+104.1%+$101.75
Thunder vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2025, EST+72.4%+$18.27
Suns vs. Hornetsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST-100%-$27.73
Suns vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$362Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+75.4%+$272.73
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST+29.9%+$14.48
All 25 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$19.54
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$56.03
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+156.4%+$35.61
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$15.74
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+25%+$8.62
Leicester City FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+37%+$5.26
Will Manchester United win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$178.73
Will Tottenham win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$26.64
Will Brentford win on 2025-09-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$11.75
Will Brighton win on 2025-08-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.96
Liverpool wins the Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.36
Will Wolves vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.04
Will Aston Villa win on 2024-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$26.05
Will Manchester United vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+31.6%+$11.63
Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+43.2%+$8.64
All 16 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.82
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs VP.Prodigy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.22
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+132.5%+$234.8
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+60.6%+$66.87
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$21.1
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.31
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.86
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$23.86
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$24.92
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$52.06
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+51.5%+$17.7
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Heroic (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+58.7%+$15.21
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic (BO3)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+31.6%+$5.76
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs. Xtreme Gamingbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.31
All 14 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST1080%8 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+35.1%+$26.14
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+36%+$17.19
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$105.73
FC Augsburg vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+104.1%+$77.11
VfB Stuttgart vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+25%+$14.83
SG Dynamo Dresden vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+25.2%+$40.5
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+28.2%+$41.06
SC Freiburg vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+31.6%+$34.94
FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$11.46
Will Hamburger SV vs. FC St. Pauli end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$5.27
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+62.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Porto vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+35.1%+$19.35
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+29.9%+$19.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+28.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-30%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+40.1%+$60.63
Will AS Roma beat Frankfurt?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST-100%-$83.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 3, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Piratesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.84
Dodgers vs. Marlinsbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$27.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Anadolu Efes vs. Virtus Bolognabacked Anadolu Efes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+54.6%+$5.57
Anadolu Efes vs. Barcelonabacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$24.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$10.45
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Racing Club vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+56.9%+$66.39
Club Necaxa vs. Atlas FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$91.51
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$21.95
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$303.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chargers vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+143.9%+$79.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Finland vs. Italy: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+49.3%+$10.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+37%+$32.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$5.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$3.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+28.2%+$6.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brisbane Roar FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$6.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump releases Epstein list today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$92.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$46.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will global temperature increase by between 1.30-1.34ºC in January 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$19.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$39.31
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.